NASDAQ$NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Neurocrine Biosciences reported financial results for Q3 2023 and raised 2023 net sales guidance for INGREZZA.

Neurocrine Biosciences reported strong Q3 2023 results, driven by a 29% year-over-year growth in INGREZZA sales, which reached $486 million. The company also raised its full-year sales guidance for INGREZZA to $1.82 - $1.84 billion. Positive Phase 3 results were announced for Crinecerfont in congenital adrenal hyperplasia.

  • INGREZZA third quarter net product sales were $486 million, representing a 29% increase year-over-year.
  • GAAP net income for the third quarter was $83 million, with earnings per share of $0.82.
  • Non-GAAP net income for the third quarter was $156 million, with earnings per share of $1.54.
  • 2023 INGREZZA net product sales guidance raised to $1.82 - $1.84 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$499M

Previous: $388M+28.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.54

Previous: $1.08+42.6%
GAAP R&D Expense

$142M

Previous: $108M+32.0%
GAAP SG&A Expense

$204M

Previous: $186M+9.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$22.9M

Previous: -$14.7M-55.8%
Free Cash Flow

$60.2M

Previous: $53.8M+11.9%
Net Income

$83.1M

Previous: $68.5M+21.3%
Operating Income

$141M

Previous: $87.8M+60.8%
Gross Profit

$488M

Previous: $382M+27.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$294M

Previous: $212M+38.4%
Total Assets

$2.85B

Previous: $2.14B+32.9%
R&D Expense

$142M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$47.8M

Previous: $43.1M+10.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Neurocrine Biosciences · Revenue · Quarterly

$499M

Q3 2023+28.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Neurocrine Biosciences · $486M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • INGREZZA Net Product Sales
    $486M+29.3%

Forward guidance

Neurocrine Biosciences provided updated 2023 sales guidance for INGREZZA and operating expense guidance.

Tailwinds

  • INGREZZA Net Product Sales: $1,820 - $1,840 million
  • GAAP R&D Expense: $560 - $570 million
  • Non-GAAP R&D Expense: $490 - $500 million
  • GAAP and Non-GAAP IPR&D: $144 million
  • GAAP SG&A Expense: $870 - $890 million

Headwinds

  • Non-GAAP SG&A Expense: $740 - $760 million
  • Increased R&D expense in support of an expanded and advancing clinical portfolio including preclinical investments in VMAT2, crinecerfont, and our muscarinic compounds
  • Increased SG&A expense primarily due to ongoing commercial initiatives supporting INGREZZA growth including the expanded indication to treat chorea associated with Huntington’s disease
  • Non-GAAP guidance adjusted primarily to exclude estimated non-cash stock-based compensation expense of $70 million in R&D and $125 million in SG&A.
  • IPR&D guidance includes $143.9 million associated with the new strategic collaboration with Voyager.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+17.2%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-18.5%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%+11.5%+21.3%
Q4 2025-10.4%-7.0%-5.6%
Q3 2025-6.3%-3.7%+3.2%
Q1 2025+8.3%+5.4%+13.5%
Q4 2024-18.5%-22.1%-24.9%
Q3 2024+3.5%+3.7%+9.1%
Q2 2024+8.2%+2.9%-10.2%
Q1 2024+1.7%+3.0%-1.5%
Q4 2023-6.0%-8.8%-2.6%
Q3 2023+4.1%+5.0%+8.8%
Q2 2023+2.2%-0.3%+6.9%
Q1 2023-7.4%-5.4%-10.8%
Q4 2022-5.6%-6.2%-11.1%
Q3 2022+6.0%+5.8%+9.7%
Q2 2022+10.6%+14.5%+9.5%
Q1 2022-3.9%-14.6%+7.7%
Q4 2021+8.7%+7.9%+12.2%
Q3 2021-9.3%-11.6%-23.4%
Q2 2021-2.8%-6.6%+0.4%
Q1 2021-2.3%-0.3%+3.2%
Q4 2020+3.1%+2.6%-17.3%
Q3 2020-9.1%-4.5%-4.5%
Q2 2020-0.2%-4.4%-3.7%
Q1 2020+7.0%+11.6%+13.8%
Q4 2019+2.0%+3.5%-5.4%
Q3 2019-1.2%+6.9%+14.4%
Q2 2019+9.7%+7.5%+11.3%
Q1 2019-6.7%+2.0%+1.4%
Q4 2018-4.6%-4.6%-12.9%
Q3 2018-8.0%-9.0%-25.5%
Q2 2018+14.7%+17.2%+23.3%
Q1 2018+3.3%+1.5%+17.1%
Q4 2017+3.9%+3.7%+11.6%
Q3 2017+17.2%+20.0%+18.5%
Q2 2017+10.2%+10.5%+17.4%
Q1 2017+3.4%+3.8%-15.3%
Q4 2016+0.7%+4.5%+7.2%
Q3 2016-10.0%-1.1%-3.1%
Q2 2016-0.7%-3.6%-2.0%
Q1 2016-0.1%
Q4 2015+6.9%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015-3.7%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2014-4.9%
Q2 2014-2.3%
Q1 2014-3.5%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+6.5%
Q3 2012-1.7%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2011-3.2%
Q1 2012-3.2%
Q4 2011-8.0%
Q4 2009-8.0%
Q3 2010+13.7%
Q3 2011+13.7%
Q4 2010-6.5%
Q2 2010-6.5%
Q2 2011-6.5%
Q1 2010-1.5%

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