NASDAQ$LINC
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings
Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Lincoln Tech reported continued growth for the fourth quarter and full year 2021.
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation reported a 7.4% increase in revenue to $87.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2021, driven by a 6.3% increase in average student population. The company's net income was $24.0 million, and it ended the quarter with a net cash position of $83.3 million after sale-leaseback transactions and debt retirement.
- Revenue increased by 7.4% to $87.8 million compared to the prior year.
- Adjusted EBITDA increased by 13.1% over the prior year to $15.1 million.
- Average student population increased by 6.3%, and the ending population increased by 6.9% or 850 students.
- Net income was reported at $24.0 million.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Lincoln Tech · Revenue · Quarterly
$87.8M
Forward guidance
Lincoln provided specific operating and financial guidance for the coming year. The company will utilize its strong balance sheet to increase its level of investment in growth strategies and operating efficiencies.
Tailwinds
- Revenue in the range of $350 million to $365 million
- Student start growth in the range of 5% to 10%
- Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $35.0 million to $40.0 million
- Net Income in the range of $17.0 million to $22.0 million
- Capital expenditures in the range of $7.0 million to $9.0 million
Headwinds
- The 2022 guidance excludes the impact of the contemplated consummation of the sale and relocation of the Nashville, Tennessee campus, which is under contract, as well as additional costs associated with a new potential campus.
- The outlook is based on, among other things, current enrollment trends and does not account for the impact from continuing COVID-19 issues or any new COVID-19 variants.
- Approximately 45% of revenue will occur in the first half of the year.
- Operating expenses are expected to range in the low to mid $80 million level each quarter, with the third quarter’s expenses expected to reflect the high point of the year, consistent with the seasonality of the Company’s business.
- The effective tax rate for the year is projected to be 28.5%.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021
+3.0%
Avg return
Earnings day
+6.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+9.6%
Avg return
30 days after
60%
39 / 65 earnings
Positive
+61.0%
Q3 2015
Best reaction
-25.7%
Q2 2015
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +10.5% | +9.6% | +6.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +4.0% | +20.8% | +38.7% | |
| Q3 2025 | +12.9% | +17.2% | +25.6% | |
| Q1 2025 | +1.9% | +3.7% | +3.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | +15.3% | +14.0% | -3.0% | |
| Q3 2024 | +4.3% | -6.2% | +0.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | +2.8% | +1.9% | -2.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +7.3% | +9.5% | -1.1% | |
| Q4 2023 | +4.4% | +2.7% | +6.6% | |
| Q3 2023 | +6.4% | +11.5% | +7.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | +24.0% | +22.2% | +17.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | +3.1% | +12.6% | +17.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | -2.7% | +3.0% | -6.5% | |
| Q3 2022 | +14.3% | +10.6% | +5.9% | |
| Q2 2022 | -13.0% | -15.7% | -12.4% | |
| Q1 2022 | -15.6% | -19.0% | -5.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | +0.8% | -0.8% | -5.0% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.7% | +3.7% | +9.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.9% | -3.2% | -14.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +3.7% | +4.4% | +8.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.3% | -1.2% | +7.6% | |
| Q3 2020 | +6.7% | +9.2% | +10.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +25.5% | +41.0% | +29.6% | |
| Q1 2020 | +9.8% | +9.0% | +65.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | +14.9% | +15.4% | -5.0% | |
| Q3 2019 | -7.2% | +1.1% | +32.6% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.0% | +1.1% | +15.6% | |
| Q1 2019 | +4.6% | -5.9% | -12.5% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.9% | -8.7% | -3.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | +11.5% | +10.7% | +8.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | +22.2% | +17.2% | +26.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | -7.4% | -11.8% | -10.8% | |
| Q4 2017 | +25.0% | +20.4% | +30.9% | |
| Q3 2017 | +11.7% | +11.3% | +3.8% | |
| Q2 2017 | -3.9% | -11.4% | -19.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | +6.3% | +15.7% | +19.9% | |
| Q4 2016 | +15.5% | +19.3% | +50.3% | |
| Q3 2016 | +4.4% | +9.4% | +26.9% | |
| Q2 2016 | -5.3% | +4.3% | +0.5% | |
| Q1 2016 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +61.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -25.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -3.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +13.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -25.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +6.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -4.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +9.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +12.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -17.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -4.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -4.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -13.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -13.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -13.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.1% | — | — |
Discussion
Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.
Join the conversation
Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.
Sign in with eToro