NASDAQ$LINC

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported an increase in revenue and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA compared to the prior year.

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation reported a 5.8% increase in revenue to $82.6 million, driven by a 4.4% increase in average student population. However, adjusted EBITDA decreased to $2.4 million from $5.4 million in the prior year, due to increased investments in marketing and program development.

  • Revenue increased by 5.8% year-over-year, reaching $82.6 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased from $5.4 million to $2.4 million year-over-year.
  • Average student population increased by 4.4% compared to the previous year.
  • The company is reiterating its 2022 full year guidance for revenue, student starts, adjusted EBITDA, net income, and capital expenditures.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$82.6M

Previous: $78M+5.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: $0.13-91.9%
Student Starts

3.4K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.05M

Previous: -$1.22M+13.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$782K

Previous: $3.27M-123.9%
Net Income

$272K

Previous: $4.49M-93.9%
Operating Income

-$326K

Previous: $6.02M-105.4%
Gross Profit

$46.4M

Previous: $45.7M+1.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$65.6M

Previous: $26.7M+145.3%
Total Assets

$288M

Previous: $240M+19.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Lincoln Tech · Revenue · Quarterly

$82.6M

Q1 2022+5.8%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company anticipates low double-digit start growth in the second quarter and reiterates its full year 2022 guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue in the range of $350 million to $365 million
  • Student start growth in the range of 5% to 10%
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $35.0 million to $40.0 million
  • Net Income in the range of $17.0 million to $22.0 million
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $7.0 million to $9.0 million

Headwinds

  • The 2022 guidance excludes the impact of the contemplated consummation of the sale and relocation of the Nashville, Tennessee campus.
  • The 2022 guidance excludes additional costs associated with a new potential campus.
  • The outlook is based on current enrollment trends.
  • The outlook does not account for the impact from continuing COVID-19 issues or any new COVID-19 variants.
  • The guidance may be revised as the year unfolds due to changes in student demand and other factors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+9.6%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+61.0%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.5%+9.6%+6.0%
Q4 2025+4.0%+20.8%+38.7%
Q3 2025+12.9%+17.2%+25.6%
Q1 2025+1.9%+3.7%+3.4%
Q4 2024+15.3%+14.0%-3.0%
Q3 2024+4.3%-6.2%+0.9%
Q2 2024+2.8%+1.9%-2.1%
Q1 2024+7.3%+9.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023+4.4%+2.7%+6.6%
Q3 2023+6.4%+11.5%+7.1%
Q2 2023+24.0%+22.2%+17.5%
Q1 2023+3.1%+12.6%+17.6%
Q4 2022-2.7%+3.0%-6.5%
Q3 2022+14.3%+10.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-13.0%-15.7%-12.4%
Q1 2022-15.6%-19.0%-5.4%
Q4 2021+0.8%-0.8%-5.0%
Q3 2021+3.7%+3.7%+9.4%
Q2 2021-6.9%-3.2%-14.9%
Q1 2021+3.7%+4.4%+8.7%
Q4 2020-1.3%-1.2%+7.6%
Q3 2020+6.7%+9.2%+10.4%
Q2 2020+25.5%+41.0%+29.6%
Q1 2020+9.8%+9.0%+65.9%
Q4 2019+14.9%+15.4%-5.0%
Q3 2019-7.2%+1.1%+32.6%
Q2 2019-7.0%+1.1%+15.6%
Q1 2019+4.6%-5.9%-12.5%
Q4 2018-0.9%-8.7%-3.4%
Q3 2018+11.5%+10.7%+8.6%
Q2 2018+22.2%+17.2%+26.1%
Q1 2018-7.4%-11.8%-10.8%
Q4 2017+25.0%+20.4%+30.9%
Q3 2017+11.7%+11.3%+3.8%
Q2 2017-3.9%-11.4%-19.0%
Q1 2017+6.3%+15.7%+19.9%
Q4 2016+15.5%+19.3%+50.3%
Q3 2016+4.4%+9.4%+26.9%
Q2 2016-5.3%+4.3%+0.5%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015+6.7%
Q3 2015+61.0%
Q2 2015-25.7%
Q1 2015-3.0%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+13.9%
Q2 2014-25.6%
Q1 2014+3.3%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013+6.6%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013+9.2%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-17.9%
Q1 2011-2.1%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010+1.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro