NASDAQ$LINC

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lincoln Tech's Q2 2022 performance saw revenue increase, student starts rise, and strategic growth initiatives progress.

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation reported a 2.1% increase in revenue to $82.1 million and a 4.0% increase in student starts for Q2 2022. The company is executing its five-year growth strategy, including developing a new campus in Atlanta and forming corporate partnerships. However, student start growth was lower than anticipated due to macro-operating factors and the transition to a centralized financial aid support system.

  • Revenue increased by 2.1% to $82.1 million compared to the prior year.
  • Student starts increased by 4.0% year-over-year.
  • A new campus in Atlanta, Georgia, is expected to open in Q3 2023, with projected annual revenue of $20 million.
  • The company repurchased 414,963 shares of common stock for approximately $2.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$82.1M

Previous: $80.5M+2.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: $0.06-83.4%
Student Starts

3.852

No prior period
Average Population

12.6K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.58M

Previous: -$3.52M-1.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.32M

Previous: -$1.09M-204.9%
Net Income

$259K

Previous: $2.43M-89.3%
Operating Income

$396K

Previous: $3.45M-88.5%
Gross Profit

$46M

Previous: $46.8M-1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$67M

Previous: $33M+102.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Lincoln Tech · Revenue · Quarterly

$82.1M

Q2 2022+2.1%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Lincoln is updating its 2022 full year guidance based on six-month results and current expectations regarding a lower level of start growth than previously anticipated.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue in the range of $340 million to $350 million.
  • Student start decline / growth in the range of -3% to 3%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $25 million to $30 million.
  • Net income in the range of $10 million to $15 million.
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $8.0 million to $11.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+9.6%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+61.0%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.5%+9.6%+6.0%
Q4 2025+4.0%+20.8%+38.7%
Q3 2025+12.9%+17.2%+25.6%
Q1 2025+1.9%+3.7%+3.4%
Q4 2024+15.3%+14.0%-3.0%
Q3 2024+4.3%-6.2%+0.9%
Q2 2024+2.8%+1.9%-2.1%
Q1 2024+7.3%+9.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023+4.4%+2.7%+6.6%
Q3 2023+6.4%+11.5%+7.1%
Q2 2023+24.0%+22.2%+17.5%
Q1 2023+3.1%+12.6%+17.6%
Q4 2022-2.7%+3.0%-6.5%
Q3 2022+14.3%+10.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-13.0%-15.7%-12.4%
Q1 2022-15.6%-19.0%-5.4%
Q4 2021+0.8%-0.8%-5.0%
Q3 2021+3.7%+3.7%+9.4%
Q2 2021-6.9%-3.2%-14.9%
Q1 2021+3.7%+4.4%+8.7%
Q4 2020-1.3%-1.2%+7.6%
Q3 2020+6.7%+9.2%+10.4%
Q2 2020+25.5%+41.0%+29.6%
Q1 2020+9.8%+9.0%+65.9%
Q4 2019+14.9%+15.4%-5.0%
Q3 2019-7.2%+1.1%+32.6%
Q2 2019-7.0%+1.1%+15.6%
Q1 2019+4.6%-5.9%-12.5%
Q4 2018-0.9%-8.7%-3.4%
Q3 2018+11.5%+10.7%+8.6%
Q2 2018+22.2%+17.2%+26.1%
Q1 2018-7.4%-11.8%-10.8%
Q4 2017+25.0%+20.4%+30.9%
Q3 2017+11.7%+11.3%+3.8%
Q2 2017-3.9%-11.4%-19.0%
Q1 2017+6.3%+15.7%+19.9%
Q4 2016+15.5%+19.3%+50.3%
Q3 2016+4.4%+9.4%+26.9%
Q2 2016-5.3%+4.3%+0.5%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015+6.7%
Q3 2015+61.0%
Q2 2015-25.7%
Q1 2015-3.0%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+13.9%
Q2 2014-25.6%
Q1 2014+3.3%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013+6.6%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013+9.2%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-17.9%
Q1 2011-2.1%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010+1.1%

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