NASDAQ$LINC

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lincoln Tech reported solid growth in the first quarter, driven by revenue growth and new student starts.

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation reported a 6.9% increase in revenue to $86.4 million and a 6.4% increase in new student starts. The company is increasing its revenue and earnings outlook for the full year.

  • Revenues increased by 6.9% to $86.4 million.
  • New student starts increased by 6.4%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $2.2 million.
  • The company is increasing its revenue and earnings outlook for the full year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$87.3M

Previous: $82.6M+5.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: $0.01+183.6%
Average Population

12.4K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.25M

Previous: -$1.05M-208.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.36M

Previous: -$782K-329.4%
Net Income

-$109K

Previous: $272K-140.1%
Operating Income

-$1.12M

Previous: -$326K-242.3%
Gross Profit

$49.2M

Previous: $46.4M+6.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$40.3M

Previous: $65.6M-38.6%
Total Assets

$281M

Previous: $288M-2.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Lincoln Tech · Revenue · Quarterly

$87.3M

Q1 2023+5.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is increasing its financial guidance for Revenue, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue in the range of $355 million to $365 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $21 million to $25 million
  • Adjusted Net income in the range of $9 million to $12 million
  • Student start growth of 5% to 10%
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $35 million to $40 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+9.6%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+61.0%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.5%+9.6%+6.0%
Q4 2025+4.0%+20.8%+38.7%
Q3 2025+12.9%+17.2%+25.6%
Q1 2025+1.9%+3.7%+3.4%
Q4 2024+15.3%+14.0%-3.0%
Q3 2024+4.3%-6.2%+0.9%
Q2 2024+2.8%+1.9%-2.1%
Q1 2024+7.3%+9.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023+4.4%+2.7%+6.6%
Q3 2023+6.4%+11.5%+7.1%
Q2 2023+24.0%+22.2%+17.5%
Q1 2023+3.1%+12.6%+17.6%
Q4 2022-2.7%+3.0%-6.5%
Q3 2022+14.3%+10.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-13.0%-15.7%-12.4%
Q1 2022-15.6%-19.0%-5.4%
Q4 2021+0.8%-0.8%-5.0%
Q3 2021+3.7%+3.7%+9.4%
Q2 2021-6.9%-3.2%-14.9%
Q1 2021+3.7%+4.4%+8.7%
Q4 2020-1.3%-1.2%+7.6%
Q3 2020+6.7%+9.2%+10.4%
Q2 2020+25.5%+41.0%+29.6%
Q1 2020+9.8%+9.0%+65.9%
Q4 2019+14.9%+15.4%-5.0%
Q3 2019-7.2%+1.1%+32.6%
Q2 2019-7.0%+1.1%+15.6%
Q1 2019+4.6%-5.9%-12.5%
Q4 2018-0.9%-8.7%-3.4%
Q3 2018+11.5%+10.7%+8.6%
Q2 2018+22.2%+17.2%+26.1%
Q1 2018-7.4%-11.8%-10.8%
Q4 2017+25.0%+20.4%+30.9%
Q3 2017+11.7%+11.3%+3.8%
Q2 2017-3.9%-11.4%-19.0%
Q1 2017+6.3%+15.7%+19.9%
Q4 2016+15.5%+19.3%+50.3%
Q3 2016+4.4%+9.4%+26.9%
Q2 2016-5.3%+4.3%+0.5%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015+6.7%
Q3 2015+61.0%
Q2 2015-25.7%
Q1 2015-3.0%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+13.9%
Q2 2014-25.6%
Q1 2014+3.3%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013+6.6%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013+9.2%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-17.9%
Q1 2011-2.1%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010+1.1%

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