NASDAQ$JRVR

James River Group Holdings Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

James River experienced a transformative year with a focus on E&S and fronting platforms. The company reported strong investment income and profitable underwriting results from continuing operations, particularly from the Excess and Surplus Lines segment.

James River Group Holdings reported a net loss of $152.78 million for Q4 2023, primarily driven by a net loss from discontinued operations including an $80.4 million loss on held for sale classification of JRG Re and an $89.8 million loss from discontinued operations. Adjusted net operating income was $12.4 million, reflecting strong investment income and profitable underwriting results from continuing operations.

  • Full year 2023 Group combined ratio of 96.5%.
  • E&S segment gross written premium exceeded $1.0 billion, a record level, including 12.1% growth in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the prior year quarter.
  • E&S segment combined ratio of 94.2% for the fourth quarter of 2023. E&S renewal rate increased 11.0% in the fourth quarter of 2023, including 10.5% in casualty lines, with nearly all underwriting divisions reporting positive pricing increases.
  • Specialty Admitted segment combined ratio of 92.2% for the fourth quarter of 2023, with fronting and program gross written premium growth of 12.5% compared to the prior year quarter, excluding the non-renewed California workers' compensation program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$218M

Previous: $200M+9.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.33

Previous: $0.53-37.7%
Combined Ratio

98.1%

Previous: 91.7%+7.0%
Expense Ratio

24.2%

Previous: 23.9%+1.3%
Loss Ratio

73.9%

Previous: 67.8%+9.0%
Net Investment Income

$25.6M

Previous: $22.8M+12.1%
Capital Expenditures

$3.13M

Previous: $3.66M-14.4%
Net Income

-$153M

Previous: $17.7M-961.9%
Operating Income

$30.2M

Previous: $30.2M+0.1%
Gross Profit

$201M

Previous: $29.8M+573.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.12M

Previous: $8.12M+12.2%

Revenue & EPS history

James River · Revenue · Quarterly

$218M

Q4 2023+9.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

James River · $184M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Excess and Surplus Lines
    $158M+13.3%
  • Specialty Admitted Insurance
    $26.1M+46.3%

Forward guidance

James River anticipates building on the momentum in 2024, leveraging sustained attractive market conditions. The Board of Directors continues its exploration of strategic alternatives for the Company and expects to provide an update in due course.

Tailwinds

  • E&S segment gross written premium exceeded $1.0 billion, a record level.
  • New business submissions increased 14.9% in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the prior year period.
  • E&S renewal rate increased 11.0% in the fourth quarter of 2023, including 10.5% in casualty lines, with nearly all underwriting divisions reporting positive pricing increases.
  • Fronting and program business growth was driven by both existing programs and new programs initiated earlier in 2023.
  • Growth in income was broad-based across the portfolio, as positive operating cash flow and portfolio cash flow was deployed at higher yields.

Headwinds

  • Net loss from discontinued operations was $170.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2023, which included an $80.4 million loss on held for sale classification of JRG Re.
  • Premium retention in the E&S segment was lower than recent periods and net written premium declined 6.2% from the prior year quarter due to the impact of the restructured ceded reinsurance structure.
  • The consolidated expense ratio was 24.2% for the fourth quarter of 2023, which was an increase from 22.0% in the prior year fourth quarter.
  • Shareholders' equity of $534.6 million at December 31, 2023 declined 5.0% compared to shareholders' equity of $562.5 million at September 30, 2023.
  • During the fourth quarter of 2023, the Company also reduced its estimate of current accident year losses and loss adjustment expenses to reflect the strong level of rate increases, meaningfully above both plan and trend, and other underwriting improvements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-5.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.3%

Avg return

30 days after

24%

12 / 49 earnings

Positive

+14.7%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-28.4%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-23.6%-32.3%-35.7%
Q4 2025-6.5%-9.3%-14.2%
Q3 2025+14.7%+6.6%+15.3%
Q1 2025-1.2%-5.1%+19.3%
Q4 2024-28.4%-16.9%-17.6%
Q3 2024-24.3%-29.3%-30.4%
Q2 2024-8.3%-6.4%-11.4%
Q1 2024-7.9%-6.8%-12.5%
Q4 2023-5.6%-6.7%-12.1%
Q3 2023-6.5%-34.4%-37.3%
Q2 2023-8.1%-9.2%-17.8%
Q1 2023+4.4%+6.6%-2.8%
Q4 2022+8.7%+10.2%-6.6%
Q3 2022-5.3%-9.2%-4.5%
Q2 2022-1.3%+2.3%+0.0%
Q1 2022+6.6%+13.0%+12.3%
Q4 2021-19.3%-21.8%-8.6%
Q3 2021-2.0%-3.9%-20.0%
Q2 2021+4.5%+5.6%-0.5%
Q1 2021-27.6%-26.0%-24.3%
Q4 2020-1.9%-5.9%-7.1%
Q3 2020-4.4%-9.2%-9.9%
Q2 2020+2.0%+1.0%+6.2%
Q1 2020-3.5%-7.8%+5.2%
Q4 2019+5.9%+3.2%-33.6%
Q3 2019-1.3%-1.0%+14.5%
Q2 2019-2.1%-1.4%+2.9%
Q1 2019+3.0%+8.9%+5.6%
Q4 2018-3.0%-2.5%-5.5%
Q3 2018-3.8%-9.6%-3.7%
Q2 2018-0.2%-3.2%-1.1%
Q1 2018+5.3%+4.3%+6.8%
Q4 2017-13.2%-15.8%-14.0%
Q3 2017-2.7%-1.9%-4.1%
Q2 2017-0.6%-0.2%-0.7%
Q1 2017-1.7%-5.2%-9.1%
Q4 2016+4.8%+4.1%-2.2%
Q3 2016-2.0%-1.6%+3.8%
Q2 2016+0.8%+3.8%+9.8%
Q1 2016+5.5%
Q4 2013-0.6%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q2 2015-0.4%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q1 2015-0.5%
Q4 2014-0.5%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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