NASDAQ$JBLU

JetBlue Airways Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported first quarterly adjusted profit since the start of the pandemic.

JetBlue reported GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.18 and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.21 for the third quarter of 2022. The company reached an important milestone in its recovery by generating its first quarterly adjusted profit since the start of the pandemic.

  • Reported GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.18 in the third quarter of 2022 compared to diluted earnings per share of $0.63 in the third quarter of 2019.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.21 in the third quarter of 2022 versus adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.59 in the third quarter of 2019.
  • GAAP pre-tax income of $105 million in the third quarter of 2022, compared to a pre-tax income of $254 million in the third quarter of 2019.
  • JetBlue ended the third quarter of 2022 with approximately $2.3 billion in unrestricted cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments, and long-term marketable securities, or 28% of 2019 revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.56B

Previous: $1.97B+29.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: -$0.12+275.0%
Load Factor

86.1%

Previous: 79.9%+7.8%
Average Fuel Cost per Gallon

$3.84

Previous: $2.08+84.6%
Free Cash Flow

$57M

Previous: $130M-56.2%
Net Income

$57M

Previous: $130M-56.2%
Operating Income

$139M

Previous: $186M-25.3%
Gross Profit

-$986M

Previous: -$613M-60.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.4B

Previous: $2.19B-36.1%
Total Assets

$13.3B

Previous: $14.1B-5.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$7M

Previous: $6M+16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

JetBlue · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.56B

Q3 2022+29.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

JetBlue · $1.74B total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Passenger
    $1.6B+139.3%
  • Other
    $133M+111.1%

Forward guidance

Looking ahead, JetBlue expects its profitability to carry through to another solid quarter of mid-single-digit pre-tax margins in the fourth quarter, and will look to expand on that further in 2023 as it continues to restore its earnings power. For the fourth quarter we expect capacity to be up 1% to 4% year over three, a modest sequential step-up versus the third quarter. For the fourth quarter, we expect unit revenue to increase between 15% and 19% year over three. For the fourth quarter, we are forecasting CASM ex-Fuel to increase 8.5% to 10.5% year over three.

Tailwinds

  • Expects profitability to carry through to another solid quarter of mid-single-digit pre-tax margins in the fourth quarter.
  • Looks to expand on profitability further in 2023 as it continues to restore its earnings power.
  • Expects capacity to be up 1% to 4% year over three in the fourth quarter.
  • Sees strong leisure and VFR demand trends continuing in the fourth quarter.
  • Confident in the demand backdrop for the year-end holiday peaks.

Headwinds

  • Continued fragile aviation ecosystem.
  • Taking a cautious approach to operational investments.
  • More conservative planning assumptions in place for the summer.
  • Forecasting CASM ex-Fuel to increase 8.5% to 10.5% year over three in the fourth quarter.
  • Hurricanes negatively impacted CASM ex-Fuel by roughly one point in the third quarter with no impact to the fourth quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%-1.6%+8.7%
Q4 2025-6.1%-4.1%+14.2%
Q3 2025-12.3%-11.0%-4.2%
Q1 2025+2.7%+17.0%+24.3%
Q4 2024-25.7%-18.7%-19.7%
Q3 2024-23.1%-21.2%-18.6%
Q2 2024+8.1%-6.2%-15.9%
Q1 2024-21.3%-23.0%-25.4%
Q4 2023-3.5%+4.4%+17.8%
Q3 2023-12.1%+4.5%+5.2%
Q2 2023-11.2%-14.0%-23.8%
Q1 2023+0.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q4 2022-5.2%-4.9%-3.1%
Q3 2022-1.1%+2.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+0.0%+1.0%-10.4%
Q1 2022-14.0%-15.7%-18.8%
Q4 2021+2.9%+10.1%+14.9%
Q3 2021-4.4%-4.8%-1.9%
Q2 2021-4.7%-8.0%-5.6%
Q1 2021-2.7%-1.0%-0.1%
Q4 2020-2.3%-1.7%+25.5%
Q3 2020-11.5%-4.7%+26.0%
Q2 2020-2.7%+1.1%+13.4%
Q1 2020+13.3%+0.5%+70.7%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2019+7.8%+7.1%+6.3%
Q2 2019+3.2%+2.2%-5.0%
Q1 2019+8.1%+7.7%+4.5%
Q4 2018+2.7%+5.1%-0.1%
Q3 2018-4.5%-1.8%+8.9%
Q2 2018-13.1%-8.9%-4.6%
Q1 2018-3.7%-3.2%-4.4%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.3%-3.3%
Q3 2017-0.8%-2.5%+0.1%
Q2 2017-3.0%-3.1%-15.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+0.4%+4.9%
Q4 2016-9.7%-9.9%-10.1%
Q3 2016-6.4%-7.9%+11.9%
Q2 2016+7.4%+6.1%-7.3%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015+5.2%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014-7.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%
Q3 2013-4.2%
Q2 2013-1.7%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+3.5%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q3 2009+1.0%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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