NASDAQ$JBLU

JetBlue Airways Corp · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

JetBlue reported earnings for the fourth quarter of 2019.

JetBlue's fourth quarter 2019 earnings showed an increase in diluted earnings per share to $0.56, compared to $0.55 in Q4 2018. The company's GAAP pre-tax income also rose to $220 million, up from $201 million in the same quarter of the previous year. However, RASM decreased by 2.7% year over year, while CASM ex-fuel was flat.

  • Diluted earnings per share increased to $0.56, compared to $0.55 in Q4 2018.
  • GAAP pre-tax income increased to $220 million, up from $201 million in Q4 2018.
  • Pre-tax margin increased by 0.6 percentage points to 10.8% from 10.2% in Q4 2018.
  • RASM decreased 2.7% year over year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.03B

Previous: $1.97B+3.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.56

Previous: $0.50+12.0%
Pre-tax Margin

10.8%

Previous: 10.2%+5.9%
Net Income

$161M

Previous: $169M-4.7%
Operating Income

$227M

Previous: $221M+2.7%
Gross Profit

$575M

Previous: $567M+1.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$929M

Previous: $474M+96.0%
Total Assets

$11.9B

Previous: $11B+8.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$7M

Previous: $8M-12.5%

Revenue & EPS history

JetBlue · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.03B

Q4 2019+3.2%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

JetBlue · $2.03B total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Passenger
    $1.95B
  • Other
    $83M

Forward guidance

JetBlue expects earnings per share to range between $0.10 and $0.20 in the first quarter 2020. For the full year, JetBlue expects earnings per share to range between $2.50 and $3.00. Capacity is expected to increase between 1.5% and 3.5% year over year in the first quarter 2020. For the full year 2020, JetBlue expects capacity to increase between 5.5% and 7.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Strong sequential improvement in RASM in both domestic and Latin markets
  • Capacity actions
  • Revenue initiatives
  • Easier comps
  • Lower scheduled growth

Headwinds

  • Earnings per share is expected to range between $0.10 and $0.20 in the first quarter 2020.
  • RASM growth is expected to range between 0.0% and 3.0% for the first quarter 2020 compared to the same period in 2019.
  • CASM ex-fuel is expected to increase between 1.5% and 3.5% for the first quarter of 2020.
  • First quarter guidance of 0 to 3 percent includes a headwind of approximately one half point to our system RASM, due to earthquakes in Puerto Rico.
  • Our first quarter 2020 growth is unusually low

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%-1.6%+8.7%
Q4 2025-6.1%-4.1%+14.2%
Q3 2025-12.3%-11.0%-4.2%
Q1 2025+2.7%+17.0%+24.3%
Q4 2024-25.7%-18.7%-19.7%
Q3 2024-23.1%-21.2%-18.6%
Q2 2024+8.1%-6.2%-15.9%
Q1 2024-21.3%-23.0%-25.4%
Q4 2023-3.5%+4.4%+17.8%
Q3 2023-12.1%+4.5%+5.2%
Q2 2023-11.2%-14.0%-23.8%
Q1 2023+0.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q4 2022-5.2%-4.9%-3.1%
Q3 2022-1.1%+2.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+0.0%+1.0%-10.4%
Q1 2022-14.0%-15.7%-18.8%
Q4 2021+2.9%+10.1%+14.9%
Q3 2021-4.4%-4.8%-1.9%
Q2 2021-4.7%-8.0%-5.6%
Q1 2021-2.7%-1.0%-0.1%
Q4 2020-2.3%-1.7%+25.5%
Q3 2020-11.5%-4.7%+26.0%
Q2 2020-2.7%+1.1%+13.4%
Q1 2020+13.3%+0.5%+70.7%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2019+7.8%+7.1%+6.3%
Q2 2019+3.2%+2.2%-5.0%
Q1 2019+8.1%+7.7%+4.5%
Q4 2018+2.7%+5.1%-0.1%
Q3 2018-4.5%-1.8%+8.9%
Q2 2018-13.1%-8.9%-4.6%
Q1 2018-3.7%-3.2%-4.4%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.3%-3.3%
Q3 2017-0.8%-2.5%+0.1%
Q2 2017-3.0%-3.1%-15.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+0.4%+4.9%
Q4 2016-9.7%-9.9%-10.1%
Q3 2016-6.4%-7.9%+11.9%
Q2 2016+7.4%+6.1%-7.3%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015+5.2%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014-7.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%
Q3 2013-4.2%
Q2 2013-1.7%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+3.5%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q3 2009+1.0%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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