NASDAQ$JBLU

JetBlue Airways Corp · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss due to weather-related impacts and rising fuel prices, but focused on cost control and customer service.

JetBlue reported a net loss of $153 million for Q3 2023, impacted by weather and rising fuel prices, while system capacity increased by 7.1% year-over-year. The company is focused on cost savings and expanding transatlantic service to drive future growth.

  • Net loss of $153 million, or $(0.46) per share, and an adjusted net loss of $129 million, or $(0.39) per share.
  • System capacity increased 7.1% year-over-year.
  • Operating revenue totaled $2.4 billion, a decrease of 8.2% year-over-year.
  • Average fuel price was $2.94 per gallon, including hedges.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.35B

Previous: $2.56B-8.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.39

Previous: $0.21-285.7%
Load Factor

85.1%

Previous: 86.1%-1.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$316M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$153M

Previous: $57M-368.4%
Net Income

-$153M

Previous: $57M-368.4%
Operating Income

-$156M

Previous: $139M-212.2%
Gross Profit

-$881M

Previous: -$986M+10.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$973M

Previous: $1.4B-30.5%
Total Assets

$13.4B

Previous: $13.3B+0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $7M+28.6%

Revenue & EPS history

JetBlue · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.35B

Q3 2023-8.2%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

JetBlue · $1.74B total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Passenger
    $1.6B+139.3%
  • Other
    $133M+111.1%

Forward guidance

JetBlue anticipates healthy travel demand during peak periods and the fourth quarter holidays, but industry capacity is outpacing domestic demand during off peak travel periods.

Tailwinds

  • ASM growth between 0.5% - 3.5%
  • Fuel price per gallon between $3.05 - $3.20
  • Focus on managing capacity and reducing schedules in off-peak periods.
  • Structural cost program on track to deliver approximately $70 million in cost savings this year.
  • Fleet modernization program expected to generate $55 million in cost savings by the end of this year.

Headwinds

  • Revenue decrease between (10.5%) - (6.5%)
  • CASM ex-Fuel increase between 8.5% - 10.5%
  • Adjusted Loss per Share (EPS) between ($0.55) - ($0.35)
  • Air traffic control and weather-related delays.
  • Industry capacity outpacing domestic demand during off peak travel periods.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%-1.6%+8.7%
Q4 2025-6.1%-4.1%+14.2%
Q3 2025-12.3%-11.0%-4.2%
Q1 2025+2.7%+17.0%+24.3%
Q4 2024-25.7%-18.7%-19.7%
Q3 2024-23.1%-21.2%-18.6%
Q2 2024+8.1%-6.2%-15.9%
Q1 2024-21.3%-23.0%-25.4%
Q4 2023-3.5%+4.4%+17.8%
Q3 2023-12.1%+4.5%+5.2%
Q2 2023-11.2%-14.0%-23.8%
Q1 2023+0.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q4 2022-5.2%-4.9%-3.1%
Q3 2022-1.1%+2.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+0.0%+1.0%-10.4%
Q1 2022-14.0%-15.7%-18.8%
Q4 2021+2.9%+10.1%+14.9%
Q3 2021-4.4%-4.8%-1.9%
Q2 2021-4.7%-8.0%-5.6%
Q1 2021-2.7%-1.0%-0.1%
Q4 2020-2.3%-1.7%+25.5%
Q3 2020-11.5%-4.7%+26.0%
Q2 2020-2.7%+1.1%+13.4%
Q1 2020+13.3%+0.5%+70.7%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2019+7.8%+7.1%+6.3%
Q2 2019+3.2%+2.2%-5.0%
Q1 2019+8.1%+7.7%+4.5%
Q4 2018+2.7%+5.1%-0.1%
Q3 2018-4.5%-1.8%+8.9%
Q2 2018-13.1%-8.9%-4.6%
Q1 2018-3.7%-3.2%-4.4%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.3%-3.3%
Q3 2017-0.8%-2.5%+0.1%
Q2 2017-3.0%-3.1%-15.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+0.4%+4.9%
Q4 2016-9.7%-9.9%-10.1%
Q3 2016-6.4%-7.9%+11.9%
Q2 2016+7.4%+6.1%-7.3%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015+5.2%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014-7.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%
Q3 2013-4.2%
Q2 2013-1.7%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+3.5%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q3 2009+1.0%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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