NASDAQ$JBLU

JetBlue Airways Corp · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported earnings for the third quarter of 2021.

JetBlue reported GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.40 in Q3 2021. Revenue declined 5.5% year over two. The company ended the quarter with approximately $3.3 billion in unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments.

  • GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.40 in Q3 2021, compared to diluted earnings per share of $0.63 in Q3 2019.
  • Revenue declined 5.5% year over two, better than the planned assumption of a 6% to 9% decline.
  • Operating expenses per available seat mile decreased 2.1% year over two.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2021 was $140 million, exceeding the planning assumption range of $75 to $125 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.97B

Previous: $492M+300.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.12

Previous: -$1.75+93.1%
Load Factor

79.9%

No prior period
Average Fuel Cost per Gallon

$2.08

Previous: $1.23+69.1%
Free Cash Flow

$130M

Previous: -$393M+133.1%
Net Income

$130M

Previous: -$393M+133.1%
Operating Income

$186M

Previous: -$516M+136.0%
Gross Profit

-$613M

Previous: -$209M-193.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.19B

Previous: $2.45B-10.6%
Total Assets

$14.1B

Previous: $13.4B+4.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $5M+20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

JetBlue · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.97B

Q3 2021+300.8%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

JetBlue · $1.74B total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Passenger
    $1.6B+139.3%
  • Other
    $133M+111.1%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter, JetBlue is planning for revenue to decline between (8%) and (13%) year over two and estimates EBITDA will range between negative ($50) million to positive $50 million dollars.

Tailwinds

  • Demand is poised to re-accelerate into the peak holiday periods.
  • Trends have stabilized and are improving.
  • Expect robust revenue acceleration throughout the quarter as the holidays approach.
  • Continue to expect CASM ex-Fuel to improve from a double-digit growth rate in the second half of 2021 to low-single-digit growth in 2022, versus 2019 levels.
  • Plan to maintain a balanced approach to capital allocation to help achieve our financial targets.

Headwinds

  • Troughs to be challenging, exacerbated by a slower business travel recovery.
  • The holidays are performing meaningfully better, and we took tactical capacity actions to better align with the demand environment.
  • Planning assumption is for capacity to decline between (4%) and (7%) year over two.
  • Sequential decrease is due to the seasonal leisure demand pattern.
  • Pressure from the recent material spike in fuel prices, as well as ramp-up related labor costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%-1.6%+8.7%
Q4 2025-6.1%-4.1%+14.2%
Q3 2025-12.3%-11.0%-4.2%
Q1 2025+2.7%+17.0%+24.3%
Q4 2024-25.7%-18.7%-19.7%
Q3 2024-23.1%-21.2%-18.6%
Q2 2024+8.1%-6.2%-15.9%
Q1 2024-21.3%-23.0%-25.4%
Q4 2023-3.5%+4.4%+17.8%
Q3 2023-12.1%+4.5%+5.2%
Q2 2023-11.2%-14.0%-23.8%
Q1 2023+0.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q4 2022-5.2%-4.9%-3.1%
Q3 2022-1.1%+2.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+0.0%+1.0%-10.4%
Q1 2022-14.0%-15.7%-18.8%
Q4 2021+2.9%+10.1%+14.9%
Q3 2021-4.4%-4.8%-1.9%
Q2 2021-4.7%-8.0%-5.6%
Q1 2021-2.7%-1.0%-0.1%
Q4 2020-2.3%-1.7%+25.5%
Q3 2020-11.5%-4.7%+26.0%
Q2 2020-2.7%+1.1%+13.4%
Q1 2020+13.3%+0.5%+70.7%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2019+7.8%+7.1%+6.3%
Q2 2019+3.2%+2.2%-5.0%
Q1 2019+8.1%+7.7%+4.5%
Q4 2018+2.7%+5.1%-0.1%
Q3 2018-4.5%-1.8%+8.9%
Q2 2018-13.1%-8.9%-4.6%
Q1 2018-3.7%-3.2%-4.4%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.3%-3.3%
Q3 2017-0.8%-2.5%+0.1%
Q2 2017-3.0%-3.1%-15.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+0.4%+4.9%
Q4 2016-9.7%-9.9%-10.1%
Q3 2016-6.4%-7.9%+11.9%
Q2 2016+7.4%+6.1%-7.3%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015+5.2%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014-7.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%
Q3 2013-4.2%
Q2 2013-1.7%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+3.5%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q3 2009+1.0%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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