NASDAQ$JBLU

JetBlue Airways Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

JetBlue reported a GAAP loss per share of ($0.40) and an adjusted loss per share of ($0.36) for the fourth quarter of 2021.

JetBlue Airways Corporation reported its Q4 2021 results, with a GAAP loss per share of ($0.40) and an adjusted loss per share of ($0.36). The company's revenue declined by 9.7% year over two, but was within the initial planning assumption range despite the impact from the Omicron wave.

  • Reported GAAP loss per share of ($0.40) in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to diluted earnings per share of $0.56 in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Adjusted loss per share was ($0.36) in the fourth quarter of 2021 versus adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.56 in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • GAAP pre-tax loss of ($163) million in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to a pre-tax income of $220 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2021 was $31 million, within the planning assumption range of $(50) to $50 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.83B

Previous: $661M+177.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.36

Previous: -$1.53+76.5%
Load Factor

76.4%

Previous: 52.4%+45.8%
Average Fuel Cost per Gallon

$2.37

No prior period
Net Income

-$129M

Previous: -$381M+66.1%
Operating Income

-$119M

Previous: -$454M+73.8%
Gross Profit

$255M

Previous: -$295M+186.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.02B

Previous: $1.92B+5.2%
Total Assets

$13.6B

Previous: $13.4B+1.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $8M-37.5%

Revenue & EPS history

JetBlue · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.83B

Q4 2021+177.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

JetBlue · $1.74B total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Passenger
    $1.6B+139.3%
  • Other
    $133M+111.1%

Forward guidance

JetBlue expects sequential month-on-month improvement through the first quarter of 2022, ultimately returning to sustained profitability in the spring and beyond. For the first quarter of 2022, the company expects revenue to decrease between 11% and 16% year over three, and capacity to range between (1%) and 2% year over three.

Tailwinds

  • Trends have largely stabilized and are improving across all geographies.
  • Sequential month-on-month improvement leading to a profitable Q2 and a very strong summer peak is expected.
  • Confident that we’re on a path to sequential pre-tax margin improvement with sustained profitability in the spring and beyond.
  • Expect to achieve greater operating leverage as we grow revenue while continuing to improve our unit cost performance.
  • Balance sheet continues to be among the strongest in the industry.

Headwinds

  • Omicron has temporarily weighed on demand in the very near-term.
  • Expect revenue to decrease between 11% and 16% year over three due to the large negative impact from Omicron on Q1 demand.
  • Estimate CASM ex-fuel will increase between 13% to 15% year over three for the first quarter of 2022.
  • Expect elevated unit costs in the first half of the year.
  • Omicron disproportionately impacted the Northeast, hitting New York particularly hard, driving increased Customer cancellations and bookings softness

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%-1.6%+8.7%
Q4 2025-6.1%-4.1%+14.2%
Q3 2025-12.3%-11.0%-4.2%
Q1 2025+2.7%+17.0%+24.3%
Q4 2024-25.7%-18.7%-19.7%
Q3 2024-23.1%-21.2%-18.6%
Q2 2024+8.1%-6.2%-15.9%
Q1 2024-21.3%-23.0%-25.4%
Q4 2023-3.5%+4.4%+17.8%
Q3 2023-12.1%+4.5%+5.2%
Q2 2023-11.2%-14.0%-23.8%
Q1 2023+0.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q4 2022-5.2%-4.9%-3.1%
Q3 2022-1.1%+2.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+0.0%+1.0%-10.4%
Q1 2022-14.0%-15.7%-18.8%
Q4 2021+2.9%+10.1%+14.9%
Q3 2021-4.4%-4.8%-1.9%
Q2 2021-4.7%-8.0%-5.6%
Q1 2021-2.7%-1.0%-0.1%
Q4 2020-2.3%-1.7%+25.5%
Q3 2020-11.5%-4.7%+26.0%
Q2 2020-2.7%+1.1%+13.4%
Q1 2020+13.3%+0.5%+70.7%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%+4.1%
Q3 2019+7.8%+7.1%+6.3%
Q2 2019+3.2%+2.2%-5.0%
Q1 2019+8.1%+7.7%+4.5%
Q4 2018+2.7%+5.1%-0.1%
Q3 2018-4.5%-1.8%+8.9%
Q2 2018-13.1%-8.9%-4.6%
Q1 2018-3.7%-3.2%-4.4%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.3%-3.3%
Q3 2017-0.8%-2.5%+0.1%
Q2 2017-3.0%-3.1%-15.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+0.4%+4.9%
Q4 2016-9.7%-9.9%-10.1%
Q3 2016-6.4%-7.9%+11.9%
Q2 2016+7.4%+6.1%-7.3%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015+5.2%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014-7.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%
Q3 2013-4.2%
Q2 2013-1.7%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+3.5%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q3 2009+1.0%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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