NASDAQ$GT
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co · Q4 2023 earnings
Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Goodyear's Q4 2023 earnings were impacted by lower replacement volume and third-party chemical sales, but adjusted EPS exceeded expectations due to strong operating results in Americas and Asia Pacific.
Goodyear's Q4 2023 net sales decreased by 4.8% year-over-year, driven by lower replacement volume and lower third-party chemical sales. The company reported a net loss of $291 million, compared to a net loss of $104 million in the prior year. However, adjusted earnings per share were $0.47, compared to $0.07 a year ago, driven by strong operating results in Americas and Asia Pacific.
- Fourth quarter sales decreased 4.8% compared to prior year, driven by lower replacement volume and lower third-party chemical sales.
- Net loss was $291 million ($1.02 per share loss) compared to a net loss of $104 million ($0.37 per share) a year ago.
- Adjusted earnings per share on a diluted basis were $0.47 compared to $0.07 a year ago.
- Segment operating income was $383 million, up $147 million compared to prior year.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Goodyear · Revenue · Quarterly
$5.12B
Revenue by segment
Goodyear · $5.14B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023
- Americas$3.12B-5.6%60.7%
- EMEA$1.37B+1.2%26.7%
- Asia Pacific$648M-0.2%12.6%
Forward guidance
First quarter 2024 global unit volumes are expected to be down approximately 2%, driven by replacement. Raw material costs are expected to be lower than prior year by approximately $245 million. The net benefit of price/mix versus raw materials is expected to be approximately $115 million.
Tailwinds
- Raw material costs are expected to be lower than prior year by approximately $245 million.
- The net benefit of price/mix versus raw materials is expected to be approximately $115 million.
- Savings to total approximately $50 million during the first quarter, driven by purchasing.
- Expect low-single digit industry growth in consumer replacement in EMEA.
- Expect consumer replacement industry to be up low-single digits compared to prior year in Americas.
Headwinds
- Global unit volumes are expected to be down approximately 2%, driven by replacement.
- Price/mix is expected to include the negative price impact from indexed agreements and currency-related adjustments (i.e., Brazil).
- Price/mix also reflects negative mix driven by commercial truck tire industry weakness.
- The impact of inflation & other costs is expected to be approximately ($25) million compared to the first quarter of 2023.
- The fire at our operations in Debica, Poland is expected to negatively impact first quarter segment operating income by approximately $15 million.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023
-2.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
-2.9%
Avg return
5 days after
-2.9%
Avg return
30 days after
44%
30 / 68 earnings
Positive
+17.3%
Q4 2024
Best reaction
-26.3%
Q4 2021
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -6.2% | -19.7% | -21.8% | |
| Q4 2025 | -13.5% | -10.3% | -32.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | +7.8% | +9.9% | +22.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8% | +2.5% | -3.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | +17.3% | +30.1% | +12.0% | |
| Q3 2024 | +12.3% | +21.5% | +31.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | -15.1% | -28.0% | -23.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.5% | +5.9% | -0.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -13.9% | -8.5% | -6.6% | |
| Q3 2023 | +2.5% | +2.2% | +12.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | -17.5% | -21.8% | -16.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | +4.7% | +6.4% | +23.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -6.8% | -0.1% | -1.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | -13.7% | -18.4% | -10.4% | |
| Q2 2022 | +8.2% | +11.2% | +8.0% | |
| Q1 2022 | -16.4% | -17.2% | -2.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -26.3% | -24.3% | -40.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | +7.6% | +7.6% | -2.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | +7.2% | +11.5% | +6.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +0.0% | +8.4% | +11.8% | |
| Q4 2020 | +9.9% | +10.5% | +41.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | -13.1% | -11.0% | +10.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | -9.4% | -4.4% | +1.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | -17.7% | -23.8% | -5.6% | |
| Q4 2019 | -10.2% | -15.8% | -51.6% | |
| Q3 2019 | +10.8% | +8.6% | +5.4% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.5% | -8.2% | -24.4% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.9% | -5.4% | -25.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | -9.2% | -9.3% | -14.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | +2.3% | +2.4% | +9.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | +14.0% | +13.0% | +11.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | -5.5% | -6.6% | -6.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | -10.4% | -12.3% | -14.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -7.5% | -10.2% | -8.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | -11.4% | -11.7% | -15.5% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.5% | -0.8% | -8.0% | |
| Q4 2016 | +3.1% | +10.8% | +10.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -6.6% | -10.2% | +0.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +3.0% | +3.1% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -8.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +8.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +5.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +7.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -8.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -7.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +10.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +8.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -7.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +11.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -8.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -5.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -5.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +9.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +14.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +14.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -12.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -12.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -10.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -10.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -10.7% | — | — |
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