NASDAQ$GT
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co · Q3 2023 earnings
Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Goodyear delivered solid operating results driven by strong execution amid improving industry conditions.
Goodyear's Q3 2023 results showed a net loss of $89 million, or $0.31 per share, compared to a net income of $44 million, or $0.16 per share, in the prior year. Adjusted EPS was $0.36 compared to $0.40 a year ago. Net sales decreased by 3.2% to $5.142 billion. The segment operating income was $336 million with a margin of 6.5%.
- Third quarter segment operating income margin was 6.5%.
- Benefits of price/mix vs. raw materials exceeded inflation.
- Asia Pacific segment continued to generate momentum, benefitting from a focus on growing in premium segments of the markets.
- Continued to strengthen premium tire lineup in targeted market segments, evident in a host of new product launches during the quarter.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Goodyear · Revenue · Quarterly
$5.14B
Revenue by segment
Goodyear · $5.14B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023
- Americas$3.12B-5.6%60.7%
- EMEA$1.37B+1.2%26.7%
- Asia Pacific$648M-0.2%12.6%
Forward guidance
Fourth quarter results are expected to be negatively impacted by a fire in our factory in Poland (~$20 million discrete impact). Despite this development, we expect our fourth quarter volume to be the highest of any quarter this year and we continue to expect sequential margin expansion, reflecting strong price / mix benefits from our strategic focus on more premium, high-value segments of the market.
Tailwinds
- OE volumes are expected to be up approximately 5%.
- We expect raw material costs to be lower than prior year by approximately $300 million.
- We expect the net benefit of price/mix vs raw materials to be approximately $250 million.
- Fourth quarter free cash flow is expected to be a significant source of cash, in line with historical seasonality.
- Commercial replacement industry expected to be flat to down slightly, with destocking trends easing.
Headwinds
- Global replacement unit volumes are expected to be 3 to 4% lower than prior year levels.
- Lower production in the third quarter (4.4 million units below the third quarter 2022), excluding the impact of the Debica fire, will negatively impact fourth quarter unabsorbed overhead by approximately $40 million.
- We estimate the impact of net cost savings to be approximately ($65) million compared with the fourth quarter of 2022.
- The fire that impacted our operations in Debica, Poland is expected to negatively impact fourth quarter segment operating income by approximately $15 million and corporate expense by approximately $5 million.
- Expect consumer replacement industry to be down mid-single digits, with the U.S. down about 1 to 2% and double-digit declines in Latin America.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023
-2.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
-2.9%
Avg return
5 days after
-2.9%
Avg return
30 days after
44%
30 / 68 earnings
Positive
+17.3%
Q4 2024
Best reaction
-26.3%
Q4 2021
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -6.2% | -19.7% | -21.8% | |
| Q4 2025 | -13.5% | -10.3% | -32.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | +7.8% | +9.9% | +22.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8% | +2.5% | -3.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | +17.3% | +30.1% | +12.0% | |
| Q3 2024 | +12.3% | +21.5% | +31.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | -15.1% | -28.0% | -23.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.5% | +5.9% | -0.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -13.9% | -8.5% | -6.6% | |
| Q3 2023 | +2.5% | +2.2% | +12.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | -17.5% | -21.8% | -16.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | +4.7% | +6.4% | +23.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -6.8% | -0.1% | -1.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | -13.7% | -18.4% | -10.4% | |
| Q2 2022 | +8.2% | +11.2% | +8.0% | |
| Q1 2022 | -16.4% | -17.2% | -2.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -26.3% | -24.3% | -40.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | +7.6% | +7.6% | -2.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | +7.2% | +11.5% | +6.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +0.0% | +8.4% | +11.8% | |
| Q4 2020 | +9.9% | +10.5% | +41.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | -13.1% | -11.0% | +10.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | -9.4% | -4.4% | +1.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | -17.7% | -23.8% | -5.6% | |
| Q4 2019 | -10.2% | -15.8% | -51.6% | |
| Q3 2019 | +10.8% | +8.6% | +5.4% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.5% | -8.2% | -24.4% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.9% | -5.4% | -25.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | -9.2% | -9.3% | -14.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | +2.3% | +2.4% | +9.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | +14.0% | +13.0% | +11.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | -5.5% | -6.6% | -6.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | -10.4% | -12.3% | -14.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -7.5% | -10.2% | -8.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | -11.4% | -11.7% | -15.5% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.5% | -0.8% | -8.0% | |
| Q4 2016 | +3.1% | +10.8% | +10.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -6.6% | -10.2% | +0.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +3.0% | +3.1% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -8.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +8.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +5.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +7.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -8.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -7.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +10.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +8.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -7.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +11.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -8.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -5.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -5.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +9.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +14.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +14.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -12.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -12.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -10.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -10.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -10.7% | — | — |
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