NASDAQ$GT

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Goodyear's performance was driven by the Cooper Tire merger, improvements in price/mix, increased sales from other tire-related businesses and higher volume.

Goodyear reported a net sales growth of 42% compared to Q3 2020, with a net income of $132 million and an adjusted net income of $206 million. Merger-adjusted segment operating income reached $449 million, and global consumer replacement volume continued to exceed industry levels.

  • Net sales increased by 42% compared to the third quarter of 2020, with 16% growth excluding the Cooper Tire transaction.
  • Goodyear's net income was $132 million, with an adjusted net income of $206 million.
  • Merger-adjusted segment operating income amounted to $449 million.
  • Global consumer replacement volume continued to surpass industry levels, driven by large-rim diameter volume.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.93B

Previous: $3.47B+42.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.72

Previous: $0.10+620.0%
Total tire units

48.2M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$666M

Previous: -$487M-36.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$534M

Previous: -$489M-9.2%
Net Income

$132M

Previous: -$2M+6700.0%
Operating Income

-$4.74B

Previous: -$3.54B-33.7%
Gross Profit

$1.04B

Previous: $690M+50.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.19B

Previous: $1.06B+12.3%
Total Assets

$21.6B

Previous: $16.2B+33.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Goodyear · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.93B

Q3 2021+42.4%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Goodyear · $4.93B total across 3 segments · Q3 2021

  • Americas
    $2.97B+62.8%
  • EMEA
    $1.4B+20.8%
  • Asia Pacific
    $570M+17.3%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates a benefit of $250 million in run-rate synergies by mid-2023 and expects to realize approximately $20 million of these savings in 2021. The combination is expected to generate net present value of $450 million or more by utilizing Goodyear’s available U.S. tax attributes. The company also continues to expect $250 million in one-time working capital benefits.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates a benefit of $250 million in run-rate synergies by mid-2023
  • Expected to realize approximately $20 million of these savings in 2021.
  • Combination is expected to generate net present value of $450 million or more by utilizing Goodyear’s available U.S. tax attributes.
  • Expected to reduce the company’s cash tax payments, positioning it to generate additional free cash flow.
  • Continues to expect $250 million in one-time working capital benefits.

Headwinds

  • Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Delays or disruptions in our supply chain or the provision of services to us
  • Inflationary cost pressures
  • Changes in tariffs, trade agreements or trade restrictions
  • Increases in the prices paid for raw materials and energy

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.2%-19.7%-21.8%
Q4 2025-13.5%-10.3%-32.8%
Q3 2025+7.8%+9.9%+22.9%
Q1 2025-0.8%+2.5%-3.4%
Q4 2024+17.3%+30.1%+12.0%
Q3 2024+12.3%+21.5%+31.5%
Q2 2024-15.1%-28.0%-23.9%
Q1 2024+1.5%+5.9%-0.6%
Q4 2023-13.9%-8.5%-6.6%
Q3 2023+2.5%+2.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023-17.5%-21.8%-16.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+6.4%+23.1%
Q4 2022-6.8%-0.1%-1.9%
Q3 2022-13.7%-18.4%-10.4%
Q2 2022+8.2%+11.2%+8.0%
Q1 2022-16.4%-17.2%-2.8%
Q4 2021-26.3%-24.3%-40.1%
Q3 2021+7.6%+7.6%-2.3%
Q2 2021+7.2%+11.5%+6.9%
Q1 2021+0.0%+8.4%+11.8%
Q4 2020+9.9%+10.5%+41.2%
Q3 2020-13.1%-11.0%+10.3%
Q2 2020-9.4%-4.4%+1.5%
Q1 2020-17.7%-23.8%-5.6%
Q4 2019-10.2%-15.8%-51.6%
Q3 2019+10.8%+8.6%+5.4%
Q2 2019-7.5%-8.2%-24.4%
Q1 2019-1.9%-5.4%-25.2%
Q4 2018-9.2%-9.3%-14.2%
Q3 2018+2.3%+2.4%+9.6%
Q2 2018+14.0%+13.0%+11.5%
Q1 2018-5.5%-6.6%-6.3%
Q4 2017-10.4%-12.3%-14.1%
Q3 2017-7.5%-10.2%-8.9%
Q2 2017-11.4%-11.7%-15.5%
Q1 2017+0.5%-0.8%-8.0%
Q4 2016+3.1%+10.8%+10.0%
Q3 2016-6.6%-10.2%+0.3%
Q2 2016+3.0%+3.1%+3.9%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015+8.5%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015+0.6%
Q1 2015+4.2%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2014+7.4%
Q2 2014-8.9%
Q1 2014-7.4%
Q4 2013+10.7%
Q3 2013-2.9%
Q2 2013+8.6%
Q1 2013-2.9%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-7.2%
Q2 2012+11.0%
Q4 2011-8.0%
Q1 2012-5.0%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2010+9.6%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q4 2008+14.3%
Q4 2010+14.3%
Q3 2010-12.0%
Q3 2009-12.0%
Q2 2009-10.7%
Q2 2010-10.7%
Q4 2009-10.7%

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