NASDAQ$GT

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Goodyear's first quarter results were significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with sales declining by 15% and a net loss of $619 million.

Goodyear reported a challenging first quarter in 2020, with sales down 15% to $3.1 billion due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The company reported a net loss of $619 million, or $2.65 per share, compared to a net loss of $61 million, or $0.26 per share, in the prior year. The company is taking actions to reduce costs and preserve cash, including temporarily closing manufacturing facilities and reducing payroll costs.

  • First quarter results were significantly affected by the sharp declines in demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Cash and available liquidity of $3.6 billion following successful U.S. credit facility refinancing.
  • Global manufacturing facilities are resuming production during late April / early May.
  • Industry conditions are continuing to improve in China.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.06B

Previous: $3.6B-15.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.60

Previous: $0.19-415.8%
Total tire units

31.3M

Previous: 38.2M-18.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$211M

Previous: -$221M+4.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$830M

Previous: -$282M-194.3%
Net Income

-$619M

Previous: -$61M-914.8%
Operating Income

-$3.34B

Previous: -$3.52B+5.3%
Gross Profit

$504M

Previous: $719M-29.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$971M

Previous: $860M+12.9%
Total Assets

$16.7B

Previous: $18.3B-8.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Goodyear · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.06B

Q1 2020-15.1%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Goodyear · $3.06B total across 3 segments · Q1 2020

  • Americas
    $1.67B-10.8%
  • EMEA
    $995M-18.5%
  • Asia Pacific
    $388M-22.6%

Forward guidance

Goodyear is taking actions to reduce operating costs and capital expenditures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The company expects 2020 capital expenditures to be no more than $700 million.

Tailwinds

  • Phased restart of production during the second quarter, which began earlier this month with some of its commercial truck tire facilities in the U.S. and Europe.
  • The company expects the majority of its manufacturing facilities to resume operations by the end of May.
  • The company’s plant in Pulandian, China is operating with 100% of its workforce, but is not yet operating at full capacity and is expected to continue ramping up production during the second quarter.
  • Implementing new protocols covering employee screening and other protective measures recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to ensure the safety and well-being of its associates as operations gradually resume.
  • Credit Facility Refinancing On April 9, 2020, the company refinanced its $2.0 billion asset-based revolving credit facility.

Headwinds

  • The company has temporarily suspended its quarterly dividend in light of the increased uncertainty resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • First quarter results were significantly affected by the sharp declines in demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Most of the company’s manufacturing facilities in the Americas and Europe, as well as several of its tire plants in Asia, were closed to protect the safety and well-being of its associates and conserve cash.
  • The company expects the closure will result in approximately $130 million of annual savings in 2021 when compared with 2019.
  • The decline reflects lower volume and reduced price/mix, partially offset by favorable raw material costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.2%-19.7%-21.8%
Q4 2025-13.5%-10.3%-32.8%
Q3 2025+7.8%+9.9%+22.9%
Q1 2025-0.8%+2.5%-3.4%
Q4 2024+17.3%+30.1%+12.0%
Q3 2024+12.3%+21.5%+31.5%
Q2 2024-15.1%-28.0%-23.9%
Q1 2024+1.5%+5.9%-0.6%
Q4 2023-13.9%-8.5%-6.6%
Q3 2023+2.5%+2.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023-17.5%-21.8%-16.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+6.4%+23.1%
Q4 2022-6.8%-0.1%-1.9%
Q3 2022-13.7%-18.4%-10.4%
Q2 2022+8.2%+11.2%+8.0%
Q1 2022-16.4%-17.2%-2.8%
Q4 2021-26.3%-24.3%-40.1%
Q3 2021+7.6%+7.6%-2.3%
Q2 2021+7.2%+11.5%+6.9%
Q1 2021+0.0%+8.4%+11.8%
Q4 2020+9.9%+10.5%+41.2%
Q3 2020-13.1%-11.0%+10.3%
Q2 2020-9.4%-4.4%+1.5%
Q1 2020-17.7%-23.8%-5.6%
Q4 2019-10.2%-15.8%-51.6%
Q3 2019+10.8%+8.6%+5.4%
Q2 2019-7.5%-8.2%-24.4%
Q1 2019-1.9%-5.4%-25.2%
Q4 2018-9.2%-9.3%-14.2%
Q3 2018+2.3%+2.4%+9.6%
Q2 2018+14.0%+13.0%+11.5%
Q1 2018-5.5%-6.6%-6.3%
Q4 2017-10.4%-12.3%-14.1%
Q3 2017-7.5%-10.2%-8.9%
Q2 2017-11.4%-11.7%-15.5%
Q1 2017+0.5%-0.8%-8.0%
Q4 2016+3.1%+10.8%+10.0%
Q3 2016-6.6%-10.2%+0.3%
Q2 2016+3.0%+3.1%+3.9%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015+8.5%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015+0.6%
Q1 2015+4.2%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2014+7.4%
Q2 2014-8.9%
Q1 2014-7.4%
Q4 2013+10.7%
Q3 2013-2.9%
Q2 2013+8.6%
Q1 2013-2.9%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-7.2%
Q2 2012+11.0%
Q4 2011-8.0%
Q1 2012-5.0%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2010+9.6%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q4 2008+14.3%
Q4 2010+14.3%
Q3 2010-12.0%
Q3 2009-12.0%
Q2 2009-10.7%
Q2 2010-10.7%
Q4 2009-10.7%

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