NASDAQ$GT

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Goodyear's Q3 2024 earnings were announced, revealing a net loss but an increase in Goodyear Forward targets.

Goodyear reported a net loss of $34 million for Q3 2024, but adjusted net income was $105 million. The company increased its Goodyear Forward gross run-rate gains target to $1.5 billion by the end of 2025 and raised its 2024 Goodyear Forward gross benefits guidance to $450 million.

  • Goodyear reported a net loss of $34 million, or $0.12 per share, for the third quarter of 2024.
  • Adjusted net income for the third quarter was $105 million, or $0.37 per share.
  • Segment operating income was $347 million, with a margin of 7.2%, up approximately 70 bps year-over-year.
  • The company increased its target for gross run-rate gains from Goodyear Forward to $1.5 billion by the end of 2025.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.82B

Previous: $5.14B-6.2%
EPS

-$0.12

Previous: $0.36-133.3%
Total tire units

42.5M

No prior period
Americas tire units

21.0M

No prior period
EMEA tire units

12.2M

No prior period
Asia Pacific tire units

9.3M

No prior period
Segment operating margin

7.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$912M

Previous: -$807M-13.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$946M

Previous: -$896M-5.6%
Net Income

-$34M

Previous: -$89M+61.8%
Operating Income

-$4.62B

Previous: -$5.04B+8.3%
Gross Profit

$943M

Previous: $971M-2.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$905M

Previous: $1B-9.7%
Total Assets

$22.5B

Previous: $22.5B+0.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Goodyear · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.82B

Q3 2024-6.2%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Goodyear · $5.14B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Americas
    $3.12B-5.6%
  • EMEA
    $1.37B+1.2%
  • Asia Pacific
    $648M-0.2%

Forward guidance

Goodyear has raised its guidance for 2024 Goodyear Forward gross benefits to $450 million and continues to expect an additional $750 million of year-over-year gross benefits in 2025. They remain confident they will achieve their 10% SOI margin and 2.0x – 2.5x leverage targets in the fourth quarter of next year.

Tailwinds

  • Consistent and strong execution of Goodyear Forward transformation plan.
  • Delivering solid results throughout the company.
  • Increasing target for gross run-rate gains from Goodyear Forward to $1.5 billion by the end of 2025.
  • Raised guidance for 2024 Goodyear Forward gross benefits to $450 million.
  • Continue to expect an additional $750 million of year-over-year gross benefits in 2025.

Headwinds

  • Ability to implement successfully the Goodyear Forward plan and our other strategic initiatives, including the sale of our off-the-road tire business
  • Risks relating to the ability to consummate the sale of our off-the-road tire business on a timely basis or at all, including failure to obtain the required regulatory approvals or to satisfy other conditions to closing
  • Increases in the prices paid for raw materials and energy
  • Inflationary cost pressures
  • Delays or disruptions in our supply chain or the provision of services to us

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.2%-19.7%-21.8%
Q4 2025-13.5%-10.3%-32.8%
Q3 2025+7.8%+9.9%+22.9%
Q1 2025-0.8%+2.5%-3.4%
Q4 2024+17.3%+30.1%+12.0%
Q3 2024+12.3%+21.5%+31.5%
Q2 2024-15.1%-28.0%-23.9%
Q1 2024+1.5%+5.9%-0.6%
Q4 2023-13.9%-8.5%-6.6%
Q3 2023+2.5%+2.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023-17.5%-21.8%-16.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+6.4%+23.1%
Q4 2022-6.8%-0.1%-1.9%
Q3 2022-13.7%-18.4%-10.4%
Q2 2022+8.2%+11.2%+8.0%
Q1 2022-16.4%-17.2%-2.8%
Q4 2021-26.3%-24.3%-40.1%
Q3 2021+7.6%+7.6%-2.3%
Q2 2021+7.2%+11.5%+6.9%
Q1 2021+0.0%+8.4%+11.8%
Q4 2020+9.9%+10.5%+41.2%
Q3 2020-13.1%-11.0%+10.3%
Q2 2020-9.4%-4.4%+1.5%
Q1 2020-17.7%-23.8%-5.6%
Q4 2019-10.2%-15.8%-51.6%
Q3 2019+10.8%+8.6%+5.4%
Q2 2019-7.5%-8.2%-24.4%
Q1 2019-1.9%-5.4%-25.2%
Q4 2018-9.2%-9.3%-14.2%
Q3 2018+2.3%+2.4%+9.6%
Q2 2018+14.0%+13.0%+11.5%
Q1 2018-5.5%-6.6%-6.3%
Q4 2017-10.4%-12.3%-14.1%
Q3 2017-7.5%-10.2%-8.9%
Q2 2017-11.4%-11.7%-15.5%
Q1 2017+0.5%-0.8%-8.0%
Q4 2016+3.1%+10.8%+10.0%
Q3 2016-6.6%-10.2%+0.3%
Q2 2016+3.0%+3.1%+3.9%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015+8.5%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015+0.6%
Q1 2015+4.2%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2014+7.4%
Q2 2014-8.9%
Q1 2014-7.4%
Q4 2013+10.7%
Q3 2013-2.9%
Q2 2013+8.6%
Q1 2013-2.9%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-7.2%
Q2 2012+11.0%
Q4 2011-8.0%
Q1 2012-5.0%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2010+9.6%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q4 2008+14.3%
Q4 2010+14.3%
Q3 2010-12.0%
Q3 2009-12.0%
Q2 2009-10.7%
Q2 2010-10.7%
Q4 2009-10.7%

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