NASDAQ$DCGO

Docgo Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced record fourth quarter and full-year 2023 results and updated 2024 revenue guidance.

DocGo reported a strong fourth quarter with total revenues of $199.2 million, an 83% increase compared to the previous year. Net income increased by 13% to $8.0 million, and adjusted EBITDA saw a substantial rise of 232% to $22.6 million. The company's full-year revenue increased by 42% to $624.2 million.

  • Total revenues for Q4 2023 were $199.2 million, an increase of 83% compared to Q4 2022.
  • Net income for Q4 2023 was $8.0 million, a 13% increase compared to Q4 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2023 was $22.6 million, a 232% increase compared to Q4 2022.
  • Mobile Health Services revenues in Q4 2023 increased by 110% to $150.4 million compared to Q4 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$199M

Previous: $109M+83.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.07

Previous: $0.10-30.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.29M

Previous: $1.2M-373.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.14M

Previous: -$9.94M+8.0%
Net Income

$7.99M

Previous: $8.06M-0.9%
Operating Income

$11.7M

Previous: $3.08M+279.6%
Gross Profit

$66.8M

Previous: $42.4M+57.5%
R&D Expense

$3.19M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$5.81M

Previous: $3.44M+68.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Docgo · Revenue · Quarterly

$199M

Q4 2023+83.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Docgo · $187M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Mobile Health Services
    $139M
  • Transportation Services
    $47.2M

Forward guidance

DocGo expects full-year 2024 revenues to be between $720 million and $750 million and adjusted EBITDA to be between $80 million and $85 million.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2024 revenues are expected to be $720-750 million.
  • Full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $80-85 million.
  • Full-year 2024 cash flow from operations is expected to be $65-$75 million.
  • Payer relationships continue to expand with commercial rollouts in Michigan, Connecticut and New Jersey in late 2023.
  • Work with major hospital systems has continued to grow.

Headwinds

  • Assumed some moderation in migrant-related revenues as the year progresses.
  • There is typically a slight lag as these leading indicators transition to improved profitability, and we observed that play out late in 2023 and early in 2024.
  • Gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2023 was 33.5%, compared to 39.0% in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • The Company’s ability to improve gross margins
  • The Company’s ability to implement cost-containment measures

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

12 / 21 earnings

Positive

+32.3%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-40.4%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%+0.2%-2.6%
Q4 2025+17.7%+4.0%-9.7%
Q3 2025+0.0%-3.6%-15.3%
Q1 2025-40.4%-39.9%-34.3%
Q4 2024-21.2%-22.4%-32.7%
Q3 2024+9.6%+14.0%+11.8%
Q2 2024+18.2%+7.8%+18.2%
Q1 2024-13.5%-11.2%-12.6%
Q4 2023+4.1%+0.3%+3.3%
Q3 2023+1.2%-5.3%-9.3%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%-15.6%
Q1 2023+5.2%+2.4%+11.3%
Q4 2022-1.5%-4.9%-4.7%
Q3 2022-7.7%-5.1%-19.8%
Q2 2022+4.1%+16.9%+11.5%
Q1 2022-0.8%-7.3%+16.7%
Q2 2021+32.3%+48.9%+36.2%
Q4 2021+13.2%+39.2%+29.7%
Q3 2021+4.0%-2.2%-15.9%
Q1 2021-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
Q4 2020-0.8%-0.5%+0.3%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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