NASDAQ$DCGO

Docgo Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

DocGo's Q4 2022 financial results, including full-year achievements and forward-looking guidance, were announced.

DocGo reported full-year revenue of $440.5 million, a 38% increase compared to 2021. The company introduced full-year 2023 revenue guidance of $500-$510 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $45-$50 million.

  • Full-year revenue increased to $440.5 million, a 38% increase year-over-year.
  • Full-year revenue increased 75% year-over-year excluding mass Covid testing.
  • The company is implementing a 'rapid normalization initiative' to reduce onboarding costs.
  • A backlog of more than $180 million of new contract awards was created.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$109M

Previous: $121M-10.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.29-65.5%
Capital Expenditures

$1.2M

Previous: $1.98M-39.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.94M

Previous: -$3.07M-223.9%
Net Income

$8.06M

Previous: $23.6M-65.8%
Operating Income

$3.08M

Previous: $15.5M-80.1%
Gross Profit

$42.4M

Previous: $49.4M-14.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$157M

Previous: $176M-10.4%
Total Assets

$393M

Previous: $310M+27.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.44M

Previous: $1.38M+149.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Docgo · Revenue · Quarterly

$109M

Q4 2022-10.3%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Docgo · $187M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Mobile Health Services
    $139M
  • Transportation Services
    $47.2M

Forward guidance

DocGo anticipates 2023 revenue to be approximately $500-$510 million, representing growth of approximately 14% to 16% over 2022. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be approximately $45-$50 million. Full-year gross margin is expected to be approximately 35%.

Tailwinds

  • Continued strong demand from customers for mobile health and transportation services solutions.
  • Anticipated revenue growth of approximately 14% to 16% over 2022.
  • Expected adjusted EBITDA of approximately $45-$50 million.
  • Full-year gross margin is expected to be approximately 35%.
  • Focus on 'rapid normalization initiative' to reduce onboarding costs.

Headwinds

  • Substantial costs associated with the launch of numerous new projects.
  • Estimated incremental costs of approximately $12 million from the usage of subcontracted agency labor in 2022.
  • $3 million from rental vehicle fees in 2022.
  • $14 million from overtime rates in 2022.
  • Negative gross margin impact of more than 600 basis points in 2022 due to project launch costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

12 / 21 earnings

Positive

+32.3%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-40.4%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%+0.2%-2.6%
Q4 2025+17.7%+4.0%-9.7%
Q3 2025+0.0%-3.6%-15.3%
Q1 2025-40.4%-39.9%-34.3%
Q4 2024-21.2%-22.4%-32.7%
Q3 2024+9.6%+14.0%+11.8%
Q2 2024+18.2%+7.8%+18.2%
Q1 2024-13.5%-11.2%-12.6%
Q4 2023+4.1%+0.3%+3.3%
Q3 2023+1.2%-5.3%-9.3%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%-15.6%
Q1 2023+5.2%+2.4%+11.3%
Q4 2022-1.5%-4.9%-4.7%
Q3 2022-7.7%-5.1%-19.8%
Q2 2022+4.1%+16.9%+11.5%
Q1 2022-0.8%-7.3%+16.7%
Q2 2021+32.3%+48.9%+36.2%
Q4 2021+13.2%+39.2%+29.7%
Q3 2021+4.0%-2.2%-15.9%
Q1 2021-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
Q4 2020-0.8%-0.5%+0.3%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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