NASDAQ$DCGO

Docgo Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong first quarter results with increased revenue and net income.

DocGo reported a strong first quarter in 2024, marked by a 70% increase in total revenue, reaching $192.1 million, and a significant improvement in net income, which rose to $10.6 million compared to a net loss in the previous year. The company also revised its 2024 revenue guidance due to the accelerated wind-down of migrant-related services, while maintaining a positive outlook for its base business.

  • Total revenue increased by 70% to $192.1 million compared to Q1 2023.
  • Net income improved to $10.6 million, a 372% increase from a net loss in Q1 2023.
  • Mobile Health Services revenue increased by 97% to $143.9 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 330% to $24.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$192M

Previous: $113M+70.0%
EPS

$0.10

Previous: -$0.03+433.3%
GAAP Gross Margin

32.8%

No prior period
Adjusted Gross Margin

35.0%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$24.1M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

12.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$952K

Previous: -$1.98M+51.8%
Free Cash Flow

$9.65M

Previous: -$5.44M+277.4%
Net Income

$10.6M

Previous: -$3.47M+406.0%
Operating Income

$15.9M

Previous: -$6.9M+330.0%
Gross Profit

$192M

Previous: $109M+75.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$41.2M

Previous: $120M-65.6%
Total Assets

$491M

Previous: $408M+20.4%
R&D Expense

$2.39M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$3.99M

Previous: $8.45M-52.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Docgo · Revenue · Quarterly

$192M

Q1 2024+70%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Docgo · $187M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Mobile Health Services
    $139M
  • Transportation Services
    $47.2M

Forward guidance

DocGo revised its 2024 revenue guidance to $600-$650 million due to the accelerated wind-down of migrant-related services, with an expected $320-$350 million contribution from migrant-related revenue. The revenue expectation for the base businesses is $280 - $300 million. 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance is revised to $65-75 million. The company expects to generate $70-$80 million in cash flow from operations for calendar year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Base business (medical transportation and non-migrant mobile health) expected to generate $280 - $300 million in revenue for 2024.
  • Base business expected to grow in excess of 30% in 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin for base business expected to exceed 10% in 2025.
  • Cash flow from operations expected to be $70-$80 million for 2024.
  • Expanded programs with major insurance companies and strong medical transportation business.

Headwinds

  • 2024 revenue guidance revised downward from $720-$750 million to $600-$650 million.
  • Reduction solely due to accelerated wind down of migrant related programs.
  • 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance revised to $65-75 million, from a previous range of $80-$85 million.
  • Migrant-related revenue expected to contribute $320-350 million in 2024.
  • The accelerated wind down of migrant work will allow the company to redirect substantial resources and management’s efforts to support various growth opportunities

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

12 / 21 earnings

Positive

+32.3%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-40.4%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%+0.2%-2.6%
Q4 2025+17.7%+4.0%-9.7%
Q3 2025+0.0%-3.6%-15.3%
Q1 2025-40.4%-39.9%-34.3%
Q4 2024-21.2%-22.4%-32.7%
Q3 2024+9.6%+14.0%+11.8%
Q2 2024+18.2%+7.8%+18.2%
Q1 2024-13.5%-11.2%-12.6%
Q4 2023+4.1%+0.3%+3.3%
Q3 2023+1.2%-5.3%-9.3%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%-15.6%
Q1 2023+5.2%+2.4%+11.3%
Q4 2022-1.5%-4.9%-4.7%
Q3 2022-7.7%-5.1%-19.8%
Q2 2022+4.1%+16.9%+11.5%
Q1 2022-0.8%-7.3%+16.7%
Q2 2021+32.3%+48.9%+36.2%
Q4 2021+13.2%+39.2%+29.7%
Q3 2021+4.0%-2.2%-15.9%
Q1 2021-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
Q4 2020-0.8%-0.5%+0.3%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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