NASDAQ$CRNC

Cerence Inc. · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cerence reported strong Q4 and fiscal year 2021 results, with revenue growth and strategic wins.

Cerence Inc. reported its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 results, showing a 7.5% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth. The company secured strong bookings of $590 million for the full year, increasing the backlog to approximately $2 billion. Cerence also won its first major customer in the building mobility market for the connected elevator of the future.

  • Strong bookings of $590M in FY21 increases backlog to approximately $2 billion
  • Momentum for new products leads to orders representing nearly 20% of total bookings
  • Won first major customer in the building mobility market for the connected elevator of the future
  • VinFast selected Cerence to power conversational AI across its lineup of smart EVs

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$67M

Previous: $90.9M-26.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.66

Previous: $0.61+8.2%
Capital Expenditures

$3.99M

Previous: $2.94M+35.9%
Free Cash Flow

$19.3M

Previous: $23.3M-17.0%
Net Income

$8M

Previous: $6.82M+17.4%
Operating Income

$10.8M

Previous: $14.1M-23.8%
Gross Profit

$73.9M

Previous: $65.3M+13.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$128M

No prior period
Total Assets

$1.71B

Previous: $1.69B+1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.4M

Previous: $14.3M+28.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Cerence · Revenue · Quarterly

$67M

Q4 2021-26.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 12 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cerence · $80.8M total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • License
    $43.1M+126.9%
  • Connected Services
    $19.2M+5.9%
  • Professional Services
    $18.5M-12.1%

Forward guidance

For the fiscal quarter ending December 31, 2021, revenue is expected to be in the range of $91M to $96M which is flat year-over-year at the midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $31M to $35M. The full-year guidance is for revenue to be in the range of $400M to $425M representing a 7% increase at the midpoint compared to the prior year.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue expected to be in the range of $91M to $96M for the fiscal quarter ending December 31, 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $31M to $35M for the next quarter.
  • Full-year revenue guidance is in the range of $400M to $425M.
  • Revenue is expected to increase 12% year-over-year at the midpoint, adjusting for the legacy decline.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the full year is expected to be in the range of approximately $144M to $163M.

Headwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be flat year-over-year at the midpoint for the next quarter.
  • IHS auto production forecast is expected to be down 21% for the same period.
  • Guidance reflects an expected reduction of $23M in revenue related to our “legacy” contract.
  • Industry headwinds due to semiconductor shortages.
  • Acquisition-related costs, amortization of acquired intangible assets, stock-based compensation, and restructuring and other costs are excluded from the adjusted EBITDA guidance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+6.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.5%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

20 / 30 earnings

Positive

+155.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-44.0%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+3.8%+1.3%+0.5%
Q1 2026+4.1%-18.6%-29.2%
Q4 2025+26.8%+29.5%+41.7%
Q2 2025-12.1%+1.7%+1.8%
Q1 2025+13.7%+12.1%-19.1%
Q4 2024+155.3%+129.4%+172.0%
Q3 2024+6.3%+6.1%+23.2%
Q2 2024-44.0%-47.8%-68.2%
Q1 2024-20.2%-16.6%-29.5%
Q4 2023+2.2%+1.7%+15.4%
Q3 2023+2.1%+1.4%-7.0%
Q2 2023-13.6%-10.7%+14.5%
Q1 2023+3.7%+1.9%-9.5%
Q4 2022+33.5%+25.0%+22.1%
Q3 2022-20.4%-20.7%-37.3%
Q2 2022-1.6%+10.2%+11.3%
Q1 2022-28.0%-31.8%-48.5%
Q4 2021-24.8%-25.9%-30.6%
Q3 2021+12.9%+10.0%-1.4%
Q2 2021-4.3%-5.3%+29.0%
Q1 2021-3.8%+6.2%-19.1%
Q4 2018+19.0%+22.7%+43.0%
Q4 2020+6.0%+27.4%+42.4%
Q3 2019+4.3%-1.3%-1.4%
Q3 2020+31.2%+21.3%+24.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+8.0%+63.5%
Q2 2020+13.8%+27.1%+83.3%
Q1 2019+3.3%+2.5%-25.7%
Q1 2020+2.5%+5.9%-28.6%
Q4 2019+15.5%+21.1%+21.0%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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