NASDAQ$CRNC

Cerence Inc. · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced first quarter fiscal year 2022 results, exceeding most profitability metrics and securing initial revenue from fitness products.

Cerence reported a strong start to fiscal year 2022 with the second largest bookings quarter in the company's history. The company exceeded most profitability metrics for the quarter and secured initial revenue contribution from fitness products, a new mobility market. However, the company lowered FY2022 guidance due to evolving conditions within the automotive industry and a slower than expected conversion from bookings to revenue for new products.

  • Delivered second largest bookings quarter in the Company’s history
  • Exceeded most profitability metrics for the quarter
  • Secured initial revenue contribution from fitness products, a new mobility market
  • Won another China-based two-wheeler customer

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$94.4M

Previous: $95M-0.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.59

Previous: $0.59+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.41M

Previous: -$2.37M-86.2%
Free Cash Flow

$14.6M

Previous: $19.3M-24.1%
Net Income

$19M

Previous: $21.6M-12.0%
Operating Income

$22.9M

Previous: $20.3M+13.1%
Gross Profit

$70.2M

Previous: $68.1M+3.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$117M

Previous: $110M+6.2%
Total Assets

$1.69B

Previous: $1.7B-0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.84M

Previous: $13.3M-56.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Cerence · Revenue · Quarterly

$94.4M

Q1 2022-0.6%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 13 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cerence · $80.8M total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • License
    $43.1M+126.9%
  • Connected Services
    $19.2M+5.9%
  • Professional Services
    $18.5M-12.1%

Forward guidance

For the fiscal quarter ending March 31, 2022, revenue is expected to be in the range of $82 million to $86 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $22 million to $26 million. The full-year guidance is for revenue to be in the range of $365 million to $385 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the full year is expected to be in the range of approximately $119 million to $139 million.

Headwinds

  • The rapidly evolving conditions within the automotive industry affecting vehicle production and delivery, including but not limited to ongoing supply chain challenges driven by the semiconductor shortage, and the still unknown and ongoing impact of Covid-19 variants such as Omicron affecting the delivery of new vehicles, factory shutdowns and labor shortages.
  • Analysis of each business unit’s plans, forecasts and assumptions that suggest the conversion from bookings to revenue will take longer than expected for new products.
  • Prior guidance assumed a number of one-time technology license opportunities in fiscal 2022. Although attractive opportunities remain, these may not all be realized during our fiscal year as previously expected.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+6.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.5%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

20 / 30 earnings

Positive

+155.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-44.0%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+3.8%+1.3%+0.5%
Q1 2026+4.1%-18.6%-29.2%
Q4 2025+26.8%+29.5%+41.7%
Q2 2025-12.1%+1.7%+1.8%
Q1 2025+13.7%+12.1%-19.1%
Q4 2024+155.3%+129.4%+172.0%
Q3 2024+6.3%+6.1%+23.2%
Q2 2024-44.0%-47.8%-68.2%
Q1 2024-20.2%-16.6%-29.5%
Q4 2023+2.2%+1.7%+15.4%
Q3 2023+2.1%+1.4%-7.0%
Q2 2023-13.6%-10.7%+14.5%
Q1 2023+3.7%+1.9%-9.5%
Q4 2022+33.5%+25.0%+22.1%
Q3 2022-20.4%-20.7%-37.3%
Q2 2022-1.6%+10.2%+11.3%
Q1 2022-28.0%-31.8%-48.5%
Q4 2021-24.8%-25.9%-30.6%
Q3 2021+12.9%+10.0%-1.4%
Q2 2021-4.3%-5.3%+29.0%
Q1 2021-3.8%+6.2%-19.1%
Q4 2018+19.0%+22.7%+43.0%
Q4 2020+6.0%+27.4%+42.4%
Q3 2019+4.3%-1.3%-1.4%
Q3 2020+31.2%+21.3%+24.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+8.0%+63.5%
Q2 2020+13.8%+27.1%+83.3%
Q1 2019+3.3%+2.5%-25.7%
Q1 2020+2.5%+5.9%-28.6%
Q4 2019+15.5%+21.1%+21.0%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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