NASDAQ$CRNC

Cerence Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cerence reported strong Q4 and fiscal year results, exceeding revenue and profitability guidance.

Cerence's Q4 2023 revenue was $80.8 million, exceeding the high end of the initial guidance range. The company also reported a GAAP net loss of $11.6 million, but a non-GAAP net income of $3.8 million. Cerence secured 14 strategic design wins in fiscal year 2023, including five competitive winbacks, and maintained a leadership position with Cerence technology in 54% of global auto production.

  • Revenue and profitability exceeded the high end of the initially guided range for the full fiscal year.
  • Cerence had five consecutive quarters of strong execution.
  • Fourteen strategic design wins in the fiscal year including five competitive winbacks.
  • Cerence maintained a leadership position with Cerence penetration staying strong at 54% of global auto production.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$80.8M

Previous: $58.1M+38.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: -$0.14+164.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.53M

Previous: $3.03M-150.4%
Free Cash Flow

$9.73M

Previous: -$7.98M+221.9%
Net Income

-$11.6M

Previous: -$230M+95.0%
Operating Income

$3.9M

Previous: -$229M+101.7%
Gross Profit

$57.7M

Previous: $33.8M+71.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$101M

Previous: $94.8M+6.6%
Total Assets

$1.3B

Previous: $1.32B-1.6%
R&D Expense

$35.1M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$8.97M

Previous: $5.06M+77.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Cerence · Revenue · Quarterly

$80.8M

Q4 2023+38.9%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cerence · $80.8M total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • License
    $43.1M+126.9%
  • Connected Services
    $19.2M+5.9%
  • Professional Services
    $18.5M-12.1%

Forward guidance

For the fiscal quarter ending December 31, 2023, revenue is expected to be in the range of $128 million to $132 million. GAAP Net Income is expected to be in the range of $19 million to $23 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $58 million to $62 million. For the full fiscal year ending September 30, 2024, the company expects revenue to be in the range of $355 million to $375 million. GAAP Net Income is expected to be in the range of $20 million to $35 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $94 million to $109 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+6.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.5%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

20 / 30 earnings

Positive

+155.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-44.0%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+3.8%+1.3%+0.5%
Q1 2026+4.1%-18.6%-29.2%
Q4 2025+26.8%+29.5%+41.7%
Q2 2025-12.1%+1.7%+1.8%
Q1 2025+13.7%+12.1%-19.1%
Q4 2024+155.3%+129.4%+172.0%
Q3 2024+6.3%+6.1%+23.2%
Q2 2024-44.0%-47.8%-68.2%
Q1 2024-20.2%-16.6%-29.5%
Q4 2023+2.2%+1.7%+15.4%
Q3 2023+2.1%+1.4%-7.0%
Q2 2023-13.6%-10.7%+14.5%
Q1 2023+3.7%+1.9%-9.5%
Q4 2022+33.5%+25.0%+22.1%
Q3 2022-20.4%-20.7%-37.3%
Q2 2022-1.6%+10.2%+11.3%
Q1 2022-28.0%-31.8%-48.5%
Q4 2021-24.8%-25.9%-30.6%
Q3 2021+12.9%+10.0%-1.4%
Q2 2021-4.3%-5.3%+29.0%
Q1 2021-3.8%+6.2%-19.1%
Q4 2018+19.0%+22.7%+43.0%
Q4 2020+6.0%+27.4%+42.4%
Q3 2019+4.3%-1.3%-1.4%
Q3 2020+31.2%+21.3%+24.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+8.0%+63.5%
Q2 2020+13.8%+27.1%+83.3%
Q1 2019+3.3%+2.5%-25.7%
Q1 2020+2.5%+5.9%-28.6%
Q4 2019+15.5%+21.1%+21.0%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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