NASDAQ$CRNC

Cerence Inc. · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cerence reported record first quarter 2021 results, exceeding company quarterly guidance on all GAAP and non-GAAP financial metrics and continuing to deliver strong GAAP Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA performance.

Cerence Inc. reported a strong start to fiscal year 2021 with revenue growth of 23% compared to the same quarter last year. The company exceeded its quarterly guidance on all GAAP and non-GAAP financial metrics. They also secured multiple contract awards for new applications, including winning back a major European OEM.

  • Won back a major European OEM’s next generation infotainment design for cars starting production in 2023
  • First major bookings for new applications including Cerence Pay
  • Revenue grew by 23% compared to the same period last fiscal year, setting a new quarterly record
  • Continued to deliver strong GAAP Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA performance

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$95M

Previous: $77.5M+22.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.59

Previous: $0.29+103.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.37M

Previous: -$3.61M+34.4%
Free Cash Flow

$19.3M

Previous: -$15.4M+225.3%
Net Income

$21.6M

Previous: -$11.8M+284.0%
Operating Income

$20.3M

Previous: -$2.1M+1066.7%
Gross Profit

$68.1M

Previous: $51.5M+32.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$110M

Previous: $113M-2.7%
Total Assets

$1.7B

Previous: $1.66B+2.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.3M

Previous: $8.97M+48.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Cerence · Revenue · Quarterly

$95M

Q1 2021+22.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 9 quarters(78%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cerence · $80.8M total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • License
    $43.1M+126.9%
  • Connected Services
    $19.2M+5.9%
  • Professional Services
    $18.5M-12.1%

Forward guidance

For the fiscal quarter ending March 31, 2021, revenue is expected to be in the range of $92M to $95M representing a 6% to 10% increase compared to the same period in the prior year. GAAP Net Income is expected to be in the range of $5M to $6M, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $34M to $37M. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2021, revenue is now expected to be in the range of $370M to $380M, representing a 12% to 15% increase compared to the prior year. GAAP Net Income for the fiscal year is expected to be in the range of $33 to $39M. Adjusted EBITDA for the full year is expected to be in the range of $131M to $140M.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue for Q2 2021 is expected to increase by 6% to 10% compared to the same period in the prior year.
  • GAAP Net Income for Q2 2021 is expected to be in the range of $5M to $6M.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2021 is expected to be in the range of $34M to $37M.
  • Revenue for fiscal year 2021 is expected to increase by 12% to 15% compared to the prior year.
  • GAAP Net Income for fiscal year 2021 is expected to be in the range of $33 to $39M.

Headwinds

  • Second quarter guidance accounts for the expected impact of semiconductor shortages on auto production in the first half of the calendar year.
  • Semiconductor shortages should be resolved by mid-year resulting in auto production growth of 13.7% for the 2021 calendar year.
  • The guidance is in consideration of the risks and uncertainties surrounding the semiconductor device shortages.
  • Acquisition-related costs are excluded from the Adjusted EBITDA guidance.
  • Amortization of acquired intangible assets is excluded from the Adjusted EBITDA guidance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+6.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.5%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

20 / 30 earnings

Positive

+155.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-44.0%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+3.8%+1.3%+0.5%
Q1 2026+4.1%-18.6%-29.2%
Q4 2025+26.8%+29.5%+41.7%
Q2 2025-12.1%+1.7%+1.8%
Q1 2025+13.7%+12.1%-19.1%
Q4 2024+155.3%+129.4%+172.0%
Q3 2024+6.3%+6.1%+23.2%
Q2 2024-44.0%-47.8%-68.2%
Q1 2024-20.2%-16.6%-29.5%
Q4 2023+2.2%+1.7%+15.4%
Q3 2023+2.1%+1.4%-7.0%
Q2 2023-13.6%-10.7%+14.5%
Q1 2023+3.7%+1.9%-9.5%
Q4 2022+33.5%+25.0%+22.1%
Q3 2022-20.4%-20.7%-37.3%
Q2 2022-1.6%+10.2%+11.3%
Q1 2022-28.0%-31.8%-48.5%
Q4 2021-24.8%-25.9%-30.6%
Q3 2021+12.9%+10.0%-1.4%
Q2 2021-4.3%-5.3%+29.0%
Q1 2021-3.8%+6.2%-19.1%
Q4 2018+19.0%+22.7%+43.0%
Q4 2020+6.0%+27.4%+42.4%
Q3 2019+4.3%-1.3%-1.4%
Q3 2020+31.2%+21.3%+24.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+8.0%+63.5%
Q2 2020+13.8%+27.1%+83.3%
Q1 2019+3.3%+2.5%-25.7%
Q1 2020+2.5%+5.9%-28.6%
Q4 2019+15.5%+21.1%+21.0%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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