NASDAQ$AVO

Mission Produce Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mission Produce's financial performance for the fiscal third quarter of 2021 was announced, highlighting revenue growth and navigating industry volatility.

Mission Produce reported a 4% increase in revenue to $246.8 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2021. Net income was $18.4 million, or $0.26 per diluted share. The company navigated industry volatility with its global sourcing and distribution network and owned production in Peru.

  • Total revenue increased by 4% to $246.8 million compared to the same period last year.
  • Avocado volume sold increased 2%, and the average selling price increased 2% compared to the same period last year.
  • Gross profit was $40.9 million, with a gross profit percentage of 16.6%.
  • Net income was $18.4 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, compared to $23.4 million, or $0.37 per diluted share, for the same period last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$247M

Previous: $656M-62.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.27

Previous: $0.16+68.8%
Pounds of avocados sold

167.2M

Previous: 164.2M+1.8%
Average sales price per pound

$1.43

Previous: $1.41+1.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$61.3M

Previous: $40.4M-251.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$42.9M

Previous: -$7.5M-472.0%
Net Income

$18.4M

Previous: $23.4M-21.4%
Operating Income

$23.7M

Previous: $30.7M-22.8%
Gross Profit

$40.9M

Previous: $44.2M-7.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$70.9M

Previous: $36.5M+94.2%
Total Assets

$821M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$500K

Previous: $1.1M-54.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Mission Produce · Revenue · Quarterly

$247M

Q3 2021-62.3%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 4 of 9 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mission Produce · $39.6M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • International Farming
    $38.2M+855.0%
  • Blueberries
    $1.4M+366.7%

Forward guidance

Mission Produce updated its full fiscal year modeling assumptions for sales, volume and adjusted EBITDA.

Tailwinds

  • Full year fiscal 2021 net sales are now expected in the range of $890 million to $910 million.
  • Expectations for avocado production from owned farms remains unchanged in the range of 95 million to 105 million pounds.

Headwinds

  • Total annual volume in the range of 655 million to 665 million pounds, which is lower than prior guidance by approximately 15 million pounds, partially due to a smaller size curve on Mexican fruit.
  • Full year fiscal 2021 adjusted EBITDA is now expected in the range of $88 million to $94 million, but may be influenced by future pricing and margin dynamics.
  • The reduction in adjusted EBITDA from prior guidance is due primarily to the shortfalls experienced in fiscal third quarter, combined with continued pressure on per-unit gross margins that are extending into the early part of the fiscal fourth quarter, due to challenging supply conditions in Mexico.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

13 / 25 earnings

Positive

+21.1%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-18.1%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+7.6%+11.0%
Q1 2026-8.2%-5.6%+11.9%
Q4 2025+0.3%-10.4%-5.3%
Q3 2025+1.7%-1.0%-9.0%
Q2 2025+0.0%+1.9%-3.9%
Q1 2025-13.2%-14.5%-17.5%
Q4 2024+14.7%+14.2%-0.9%
Q3 2024+21.1%+22.8%+14.0%
Q2 2024-3.5%-9.7%-15.5%
Q1 2024+9.0%+9.6%+4.1%
Q4 2023+10.4%+14.2%+8.9%
Q3 2023-3.2%+3.1%+5.0%
Q2 2023+6.4%-3.1%-6.0%
Q1 2023-5.4%-4.4%+0.6%
Q4 2022-18.1%-22.9%-20.7%
Q3 2022+0.3%-1.1%-7.3%
Q2 2022+5.3%-0.4%+4.7%
Q1 2022-10.7%-12.9%-2.1%
Q4 2021-11.0%-10.9%-23.8%
Q4 2019-11.0%-10.9%-23.8%
Q3 2021-10.3%-2.9%-7.9%
Q3 2020-10.3%-2.9%-7.9%
Q2 2021+3.5%+2.2%-5.8%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.7%-6.0%
Q4 2020+3.8%+3.6%+33.1%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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