NASDAQ$AVO

Mission Produce Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mission Produce's financial performance reflected a decrease in total revenue due to lower average selling prices, which was partially offset by an increase in avocado volume sold. Net income and adjusted EBITDA also decreased compared to the same period last year.

Mission Produce reported a decrease in revenue by 17% to $261.4 million, driven by lower average selling prices of avocados, though partially offset by a 23% increase in avocado volume sold. Net income was $6.6 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, compared to $18.4 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, for the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 33% to $21.2 million, reflecting lower per unit margins within the International Farming segment.

  • Total revenue decreased by 17% to $261.4 million due to lower average selling prices.
  • Net income was $6.6 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, a decrease from $18.4 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 33% to $21.2 million due to lower per unit margins in the International Farming segment.
  • Avocado volume sold increased by 23% compared to the same period last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$261M

Previous: $313M-16.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.15

Previous: $0.27-44.4%
Pounds of avocados sold

183.8M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$47M

Previous: -$42M-11.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$40.4M

Previous: -$23.6M-71.2%
Net Income

$6.6M

Previous: $18.4M-64.1%
Operating Income

$11M

Previous: $22M-50.0%
Gross Profit

$28.4M

Previous: $42.6M-33.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$23M

Previous: $43.8M-47.5%
Total Assets

$944M

Previous: $954M-1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.2M

Previous: $900K+33.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Mission Produce · Revenue · Quarterly

$261M

Q3 2023-16.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mission Produce · $39.6M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • International Farming
    $38.2M+855.0%
  • Blueberries
    $1.4M+366.7%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023, the company expects industry volumes to be flat to slightly lower versus the prior year period due to reduced supply from Peru. Pricing is expected to be flat to slightly higher on a sequential basis, and higher on a year-over-year basis by approximately 10% compared to the $1.28 per pound average experienced in fourth quarter of fiscal 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Pricing is expected to be flat to slightly higher on a sequential basis.
  • Pricing is expected to be higher on a year-over-year basis by approximately 10% compared to the $1.28 per pound average experienced in fourth quarter of fiscal 2022.

Headwinds

  • Industry volumes are expected to be flat to slightly lower in the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter versus the prior year period due to reduced supply from Peru.
  • Expectations for exportable avocado production from Mission’s owned farms is now in the range of 105 million to 115 million pounds, which is a decrease from its initial expectations due to the industry conditions noted above.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

13 / 25 earnings

Positive

+21.1%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-18.1%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+7.6%+11.0%
Q1 2026-8.2%-5.6%+11.9%
Q4 2025+0.3%-10.4%-5.3%
Q3 2025+1.7%-1.0%-9.0%
Q2 2025+0.0%+1.9%-3.9%
Q1 2025-13.2%-14.5%-17.5%
Q4 2024+14.7%+14.2%-0.9%
Q3 2024+21.1%+22.8%+14.0%
Q2 2024-3.5%-9.7%-15.5%
Q1 2024+9.0%+9.6%+4.1%
Q4 2023+10.4%+14.2%+8.9%
Q3 2023-3.2%+3.1%+5.0%
Q2 2023+6.4%-3.1%-6.0%
Q1 2023-5.4%-4.4%+0.6%
Q4 2022-18.1%-22.9%-20.7%
Q3 2022+0.3%-1.1%-7.3%
Q2 2022+5.3%-0.4%+4.7%
Q1 2022-10.7%-12.9%-2.1%
Q4 2021-11.0%-10.9%-23.8%
Q4 2019-11.0%-10.9%-23.8%
Q3 2021-10.3%-2.9%-7.9%
Q3 2020-10.3%-2.9%-7.9%
Q2 2021+3.5%+2.2%-5.8%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.7%-6.0%
Q4 2020+3.8%+3.6%+33.1%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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