NASDAQ$AVO

Mission Produce Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Financial results for the fiscal second quarter ended April 30, 2023 were announced, revealing a mixed performance driven by deflationary pressure on avocado sales prices and increased sales volumes.

Mission Produce reported a decrease in total revenue by 20% to $221.1 million compared to the same period last year, driven by deflationary pressure on avocado sales prices. The company experienced a net loss of $(4.6) million, or $(0.07) per diluted share, compared to a net income of $2.4 million last year. However, sales volumes increased by 19% year over year, and the company saw sequential improvement in both volumes and per-unit margins relative to the first fiscal quarter.

  • Total revenue decreased by 20% to $221.1 million due to deflationary pressure on avocado sales prices.
  • Net loss was $(4.6) million, or $(0.07) per diluted share, compared to net income of $2.4 million last year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 17% to $7.6 million.
  • Avocado volume sold increased by 19% compared to the same period last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$221M

Previous: $278M-20.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: $0.04-75.0%
Pounds of avocados sold

155.9M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$34.9M

Previous: -$29.1M-19.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$39.5M

Previous: -$26.7M-47.9%
Net Income

-$4.6M

Previous: $2.4M-291.7%
Operating Income

-$1.2M

Previous: $1.1M-209.1%
Gross Profit

$18.1M

Previous: $19.8M-8.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$20.9M

Previous: $21.4M-2.3%
Total Assets

$931M

Previous: $901M+3.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.3M

Previous: $900K+44.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Mission Produce · Revenue · Quarterly

$221M

Q2 2023-20.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mission Produce · $223M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Marketing & Distribution
    $215M
  • International Farming
    $6M+36.4%
  • Blueberries
    $1.7M

Forward guidance

For the third quarter of fiscal year 2023, the industry expects volumes to be approximately 20% higher versus the prior year period. Pricing is expected to be consistent on a sequential basis, but lower on a year-over-year basis by approximately 35-40% compared to the $2.03 per pound average experienced in third quarter of fiscal 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Industry expects volumes to be approximately 20% higher in the fiscal 2023 third quarter versus the prior year period.
  • California's harvest shifting to the third quarter versus the second quarter last year.
  • Strong Peruvian harvest outlook.
  • Larger off-bloom Mexican harvest.
  • Expectations for exportable avocado production from Mission’s owned farms is in the range of 125 million to 135 million pounds.

Headwinds

  • Pricing is expected to be lower on a year-over-year basis by approximately 35-40% compared to the $2.03 per pound average experienced in third quarter of fiscal 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

13 / 25 earnings

Positive

+21.1%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-18.1%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+7.6%+11.0%
Q1 2026-8.2%-5.6%+11.9%
Q4 2025+0.3%-10.4%-5.3%
Q3 2025+1.7%-1.0%-9.0%
Q2 2025+0.0%+1.9%-3.9%
Q1 2025-13.2%-14.5%-17.5%
Q4 2024+14.7%+14.2%-0.9%
Q3 2024+21.1%+22.8%+14.0%
Q2 2024-3.5%-9.7%-15.5%
Q1 2024+9.0%+9.6%+4.1%
Q4 2023+10.4%+14.2%+8.9%
Q3 2023-3.2%+3.1%+5.0%
Q2 2023+6.4%-3.1%-6.0%
Q1 2023-5.4%-4.4%+0.6%
Q4 2022-18.1%-22.9%-20.7%
Q3 2022+0.3%-1.1%-7.3%
Q2 2022+5.3%-0.4%+4.7%
Q1 2022-10.7%-12.9%-2.1%
Q4 2021-11.0%-10.9%-23.8%
Q4 2019-11.0%-10.9%-23.8%
Q3 2021-10.3%-2.9%-7.9%
Q3 2020-10.3%-2.9%-7.9%
Q2 2021+3.5%+2.2%-5.8%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.7%-6.0%
Q4 2020+3.8%+3.6%+33.1%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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