NASDAQ$ALRM

Alarm.com Holdings Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid results for the quarter and the year, driving growth through a diverse suite of connected property solutions and delivering technology and support for service provider partners.

Alarm.com reported an 8.7% increase in total revenue to $226.2 million and a 10.3% increase in SaaS and license revenue to $148.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2023. GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders increased to $31.3 million, or $0.58 per diluted share.

  • SaaS and license revenue increased 10.3% to $148.3 million compared to Q4 2022.
  • Total revenue increased 8.7% to $226.2 million compared to Q4 2022.
  • GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders increased to $31.3 million, or $0.58 per diluted share, compared to $18.1 million, or $0.34 per diluted share in Q4 2022.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA increased to $45.6 million, compared to $39.0 million in Q4 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$226M

Previous: $208M+8.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.62

Previous: $0.53+17.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$8.51M

Previous: $556K-1630.8%
Free Cash Flow

$37.7M

Previous: $33.9M+11.2%
Net Income

$31.2M

Previous: $17.8M+75.2%
Operating Income

$25.7M

Previous: $14.5M+77.4%
Gross Profit

$145M

Previous: $129M+12.8%
R&D Expense

$61.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$10.9M

Previous: $14.6M-25.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Alarm.com · Revenue · Quarterly

$226M

Q4 2023+8.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alarm.com · $222M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • SaaS and license revenue
    $145M+9.0%
  • Hardware and other revenue
    $76.8M-7.5%

Forward guidance

Alarm.com is providing its outlook for SaaS and license revenue for the first quarter of 2024 and its guidance for the full year 2024 based upon current management expectations.

Tailwinds

  • SaaS and license revenue is expected to be in the range of $148.6 million to $148.8 million for the first quarter of 2024.
  • SaaS and license revenue is expected to be in the range of $622.5 million to $623.5 million for the full year 2024.
  • Total revenue is expected to be in the range of $912.5 million to $933.5 million for the full year 2024.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $160.0 million to $164.0 million for the full year 2024.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net income attributable to common stockholders is expected to be in the range of $116.0 million to $118.1 million for the full year 2024.

Headwinds

  • Actual results may differ materially due to various risks and uncertainties.
  • Global economic uncertainty and financial market conditions may impact demand.
  • Supply chain disruptions could affect the Company's ability to deliver products.
  • Increased competition and evolving technologies could impact results.
  • The Company's ability to integrate acquired assets and businesses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

25 / 48 earnings

Positive

+22.7%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.3%-9.9%-3.4%
Q4 2025+0.8%+4.2%-1.8%
Q3 2025+5.8%+6.4%+10.5%
Q1 2025+1.5%+8.4%+5.4%
Q4 2024-1.7%-4.5%-6.6%
Q3 2024+9.5%+4.3%+17.9%
Q2 2024-5.0%-6.1%-14.9%
Q1 2024-1.0%-0.5%-9.2%
Q4 2023+4.3%+9.3%+5.9%
Q3 2023+8.8%+11.7%+9.5%
Q2 2023+22.7%+16.5%+17.8%
Q1 2023+4.8%+4.3%+6.2%
Q4 2022-2.0%-2.1%-4.8%
Q3 2022-14.0%+2.2%-11.0%
Q2 2022+3.6%+4.9%-3.4%
Q1 2022-10.9%-9.7%+1.8%
Q4 2021-1.1%+0.5%-1.1%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.8%-9.7%
Q2 2021+7.4%+3.5%+1.3%
Q1 2021-5.8%-4.6%-12.5%
Q4 2020-5.4%-1.9%-6.2%
Q3 2020+12.9%+8.6%+23.1%
Q2 2020-0.2%-2.7%-2.7%
Q1 2020+12.2%+11.3%+31.9%
Q4 2019+3.9%+4.4%-8.2%
Q3 2019-9.4%-11.2%-16.6%
Q2 2019+5.3%-2.1%+1.2%
Q1 2019-8.1%-15.4%-22.2%
Q4 2018-8.8%-9.0%-0.2%
Q3 2018+8.5%+3.2%+10.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+13.0%+23.9%
Q1 2018-3.2%-6.2%+6.7%
Q4 2017-6.3%-3.1%-2.2%
Q3 2017-12.8%-11.5%-18.7%
Q2 2017+5.7%+4.0%+13.8%
Q1 2017-3.2%-4.4%+6.1%
Q4 2016+3.8%+8.9%+2.5%
Q3 2016-9.2%-4.3%-9.3%
Q2 2016-2.8%-9.1%-17.1%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2013+3.0%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2014-2.7%
Q3 2015-2.7%
Q2 2015+2.4%
Q4 2014+2.4%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q1 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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