NASDAQ$AGIO

Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Agios reported second quarter results, achieving key objectives across malignant hematology, solid tumors, and rare genetic diseases. Mitapivat clinical programs made significant progress, including proof-of-concept in sickle cell disease. A $255 million sale of IDHIFA® royalty extended cash runway through the end of 2022.

Agios Pharmaceuticals reported total revenue of $37.3 million for Q2 2020, which includes $27.6 million of net product revenue from sales of TIBSOVO®. Net loss was $90.5 million. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $794 million as of June 30, 2020.

  • TIBSOVO® net sales of $27.6 million, an increase of 22% from the first quarter of 2020.
  • Completed a $255 million purchase agreement with Royalty Pharma for IDHIFA® (enasidenib) royalty rights and outstanding regulatory milestone payments.
  • Established clinical proof-of-concept for mitapivat in sickle cell disease.
  • Presented data on mitapivat in non-transfusion-dependent α- and ß-thalassemia.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$37.3M

Previous: $26.2M+42.4%
EPS (adj)

-$1.31

Previous: -$1.87+29.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$8.69M

Previous: -$3.31M-162.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$99.2M

Previous: -$113M+12.4%
Net Income

-$90.5M

Previous: -$110M+17.7%
Operating Income

-$90.2M

Previous: -$114M+20.8%
Gross Profit

$36.7M

Previous: $25.9M+41.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$296M

No prior period
Total Assets

$976M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$24.5M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Agios · Revenue · Quarterly

$37.3M

Q2 2020+42.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Agios provided guidance for full-year 2020 U.S. revenue for TIBSOVO® of $105-115 million and expects cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities will fund operations through the end of 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Deliver full-year 2020 U.S. revenue for TIBSOVO® of $105-115 million.
  • Report data from ACTIVATE and ACTIVATE-T, the company’s two global pivotal trials for mitapivat in adults with pyruvate kinase (PK) deficiency, between the end of 2020 and mid-2021.
  • Finalize robust pivotal development plan for mitapivat in thalassemia, including both α-and ß-thalassemia, as well as transfusion dependent and non-transfusion dependent patient populations, by the end of 2020.
  • Initiate first-in-human study in healthy volunteers for AG-946, a next-generation PKR activator, in Q3 2020.
  • Receive European Medicines Agency CHMP opinion for TIBSOVO® in relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with an IDH1 mutation by the end of 2020.

Headwinds

  • Risks and uncertainties related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic to Agios’ business, operations, strategy, goals and anticipated milestones.
  • Agios’ results of clinical trials and preclinical studies, including subsequent analysis of existing data and new data received from ongoing and future studies.
  • The content and timing of decisions made by the U.S. FDA, the EMA or other regulatory authorities, investigational review boards at clinical trial sites and publication review bodies.
  • Agios’ ability to obtain and maintain requisite regulatory approvals and to enroll patients in its planned clinical trials.
  • Unplanned cash requirements and expenditures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+19.2%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-15.0%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%+11.1%+18.5%
Q4 2025+1.3%+0.4%+0.5%
Q3 2025+2.8%-4.7%-30.4%
Q1 2025+4.2%-4.6%+8.1%
Q4 2024+1.5%+2.4%-5.7%
Q3 2024-3.1%+0.9%+28.3%
Q2 2024-5.3%-8.2%-1.1%
Q1 2024+2.6%-2.6%+8.0%
Q4 2023+2.4%+4.6%+15.6%
Q3 2023+5.6%+9.1%+7.5%
Q2 2023-2.0%+0.1%+8.4%
Q1 2023+11.7%+11.1%+13.9%
Q4 2022-5.3%-4.6%-18.0%
Q3 2022-6.9%-2.0%+13.3%
Q2 2022+19.2%+9.7%+27.7%
Q1 2022-6.3%-9.7%-18.5%
Q4 2021+11.8%+16.9%+4.5%
Q3 2021-7.3%-9.1%-31.3%
Q2 2021-3.8%-5.8%-9.9%
Q1 2021+0.7%-3.4%+0.6%
Q4 2020-10.3%-7.5%-6.1%
Q3 2020-5.5%+0.2%+7.7%
Q2 2020-8.3%-10.7%-18.9%
Q1 2020-15.0%-9.4%+18.8%
Q4 2019+4.3%+7.9%-24.9%
Q3 2019+6.4%+9.2%+23.0%
Q2 2019-12.6%-15.5%-21.1%
Q1 2019+3.2%-5.1%-13.2%
Q4 2018+9.7%+6.8%+20.3%
Q3 2018+11.6%+13.1%+4.3%
Q2 2018-9.0%-7.3%-6.9%
Q1 2018-0.9%+1.1%+17.5%
Q4 2017+3.0%+1.5%+8.4%
Q3 2017+0.0%+3.6%-4.8%
Q2 2017-0.8%-3.6%+4.5%
Q1 2017+6.8%+7.5%+5.1%
Q4 2016+17.3%+9.3%+16.3%
Q3 2016+7.3%+17.2%+23.6%
Q2 2016-6.3%-11.0%-21.0%
Q1 2016-7.2%
Q4 2015-8.3%
Q3 2015-2.6%
Q2 2015-12.4%
Q1 2015+13.3%
Q4 2014-7.3%
Q3 2014-1.6%
Q2 2014+1.4%
Q1 2014-10.3%
Q3 2013+3.2%
Q2 2013+6.4%
Q4 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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