NASDAQ$AGIO

Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Agios reported Q4 2023 financial results with PYRUKYND® U.S. net revenue of $7.1 million and cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $806.4 million.

Agios Pharmaceuticals reported fourth quarter 2023 financial results, including U.S. PYRUKYND® net revenue of $7.1 million and cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $806.4 million as of December 31, 2023. The company also announced positive results from the Phase 3 ENERGIZE study and presented positive results from the Phase 2 portion of the RISE UP pivotal study.

  • PYRUKYND® U.S. net revenue was $7.1 million in Q4 2023, a 4% decrease from Q3 2023.
  • Positive topline data was announced from the Phase 3 ENERGIZE study of mitapivat in non-transfusion-dependent thalassemia.
  • Positive results were presented from the Phase 2 portion of the RISE UP pivotal study of mitapivat in sickle cell disease.
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $806.4 million as of December 31, 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.1M

Previous: $4.31M+64.8%
EPS (adj)

-$1.72

Previous: -$1.66-3.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$234K

Previous: $113K-307.1%
Net Income

-$95.9M

Previous: $36.5M-362.7%
Operating Income

-$95.9M

Previous: -$389M+75.4%
Gross Profit

$5.11M

Previous: $3.9M+31.2%
R&D Expense

$76.1M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$13.8M

Previous: $11.5M+20.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Agios · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.1M

Q4 2023+64.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 12 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Agios expects that its cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities together with anticipated product revenue, interest income and vorasidenib milestone will enable the company to fund its operating expenses and capital expenditures at least into 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Topline data from the Phase 3 ENERGIZE-T study of mitapivat in transfusion-dependent thalassemia (mid-year).
  • File for FDA approval of mitapivat in thalassemia (year-end)
  • Complete enrollment in the Phase 3 portion of the RISE UP study of mitapivat (year-end)
  • Complete enrollment in the Phase 3 ACTIVATE-kids study of mitapivat (mid-year).
  • Report topline data from Phase 3 ACTIVATE kids-T study (year-end)

Headwinds

  • Risks and uncertainties related to the impact of pandemics or other public health emergencies to Agios’ business
  • Uncertainty regarding any milestone or royalty payments related to the sale of its oncology business or its in-licensing of TMPRSS6 siRNA, and the uncertainty of the timing of any such payments
  • Uncertainty of the results and effectiveness of the use of Agios’ cash and cash equivalents
  • General economic and market conditions
  • Competitive factors

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+19.2%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-15.0%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%+11.1%+18.5%
Q4 2025+1.3%+0.4%+0.5%
Q3 2025+2.8%-4.7%-30.4%
Q1 2025+4.2%-4.6%+8.1%
Q4 2024+1.5%+2.4%-5.7%
Q3 2024-3.1%+0.9%+28.3%
Q2 2024-5.3%-8.2%-1.1%
Q1 2024+2.6%-2.6%+8.0%
Q4 2023+2.4%+4.6%+15.6%
Q3 2023+5.6%+9.1%+7.5%
Q2 2023-2.0%+0.1%+8.4%
Q1 2023+11.7%+11.1%+13.9%
Q4 2022-5.3%-4.6%-18.0%
Q3 2022-6.9%-2.0%+13.3%
Q2 2022+19.2%+9.7%+27.7%
Q1 2022-6.3%-9.7%-18.5%
Q4 2021+11.8%+16.9%+4.5%
Q3 2021-7.3%-9.1%-31.3%
Q2 2021-3.8%-5.8%-9.9%
Q1 2021+0.7%-3.4%+0.6%
Q4 2020-10.3%-7.5%-6.1%
Q3 2020-5.5%+0.2%+7.7%
Q2 2020-8.3%-10.7%-18.9%
Q1 2020-15.0%-9.4%+18.8%
Q4 2019+4.3%+7.9%-24.9%
Q3 2019+6.4%+9.2%+23.0%
Q2 2019-12.6%-15.5%-21.1%
Q1 2019+3.2%-5.1%-13.2%
Q4 2018+9.7%+6.8%+20.3%
Q3 2018+11.6%+13.1%+4.3%
Q2 2018-9.0%-7.3%-6.9%
Q1 2018-0.9%+1.1%+17.5%
Q4 2017+3.0%+1.5%+8.4%
Q3 2017+0.0%+3.6%-4.8%
Q2 2017-0.8%-3.6%+4.5%
Q1 2017+6.8%+7.5%+5.1%
Q4 2016+17.3%+9.3%+16.3%
Q3 2016+7.3%+17.2%+23.6%
Q2 2016-6.3%-11.0%-21.0%
Q1 2016-7.2%
Q4 2015-8.3%
Q3 2015-2.6%
Q2 2015-12.4%
Q1 2015+13.3%
Q4 2014-7.3%
Q3 2014-1.6%
Q2 2014+1.4%
Q1 2014-10.3%
Q3 2013+3.2%
Q2 2013+6.4%
Q4 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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