NYSE$YUMC

Yum China Holdings Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Yum China's financial performance was impacted by COVID-19 outbreaks, yet the company remained profitable and achieved revenue growth.

Yum China's fourth-quarter results were influenced by widespread COVID-19 outbreaks, leading to stringent public health measures. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a 1% increase in total revenues, reaching $2.29 billion. However, same-store sales declined by 11%.

  • Total revenues increased 1% year over year to $2.29 billion.
  • Same-store sales decreased 11% year over year.
  • Operating Profit increased to $633 million, primarily due to a non-cash gain.
  • Opened 563 gross new stores, or 373 net new stores.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.29B

Previous: $2.26B+1.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: $0.35-91.4%
Restaurant margin

7.5%

Previous: 15.1%-50.3%
Capital Expenditures

$207M

Previous: $135M+53.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$150M

Previous: $80M-287.5%
Net Income

$475M

Previous: $151M+214.6%
Operating Income

$633M

Previous: $180M+251.7%
Gross Profit

$206M

Previous: $361M-42.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.14B

Previous: $1.16B-1.9%
Total Assets

$13.2B

Previous: $10.9B+21.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $9M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Yum China · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.29B

Q4 2021+1.4%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Yum China · $2.12B total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • KFC
    $1.64B+2.3%
  • Pizza Hut
    $479M+1.7%

Forward guidance

The Company currently expects approximately 1,000 to 1,200 net new stores and capital expenditures in the range of $800 million to $1 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Approximately 1,000 to 1,200 net new stores.
  • Stepping up investments in supply chain.
  • Stepping up investments in infrastructure.
  • Stepping up investments in digital.
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $800 million to $1 billion.

Headwinds

  • Significant uncertainties from the COVID-19 situation.
  • Headwinds from the external environment.
  • Challenging and volatile business and operating environment given the uncertainties of COVID-19.
  • Weak macro environment.
  • Softening consumer sentiment and inflation headwinds.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

32 / 45 earnings

Positive

+15.6%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-16.1%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+1.0%-10.4%
Q4 2025+1.8%+13.3%+2.1%
Q3 2025+2.0%-0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025-7.2%-6.8%-6.5%
Q4 2024+9.1%+4.3%+9.2%
Q3 2024+7.3%+9.4%+4.5%
Q2 2024+13.0%+14.0%+14.0%
Q1 2024-7.9%-3.1%-12.1%
Q4 2023+12.4%+12.2%+14.4%
Q3 2023-16.1%-14.6%-18.7%
Q2 2023-4.0%-6.3%-9.9%
Q1 2023+0.8%+0.8%-8.0%
Q4 2022+2.7%+4.6%-1.4%
Q3 2022+12.0%+20.8%+32.5%
Q2 2022+4.8%+3.3%+6.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%-3.8%+7.1%
Q4 2021+2.7%+11.1%-3.7%
Q3 2021-2.4%-1.9%-13.9%
Q2 2021+1.9%+1.0%-1.5%
Q1 2021+5.8%+5.0%+11.9%
Q4 2020-4.3%+2.0%+3.3%
Q3 2020+0.4%-2.5%+8.2%
Q2 2020-3.5%-0.7%+7.4%
Q1 2020+8.7%+1.0%-3.4%
Q4 2019-1.3%-4.3%-3.9%
Q3 2019+1.2%-4.8%+1.4%
Q2 2019+0.2%-0.6%-0.2%
Q1 2019+5.6%+5.2%-13.9%
Q4 2018+9.6%+12.9%+15.4%
Q3 2018+15.6%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2018-2.2%-4.6%+7.2%
Q1 2018-13.5%-10.7%-8.1%
Q4 2017-6.6%-9.3%-5.6%
Q3 2017+2.3%+6.6%+4.8%
Q2 2017-13.2%-7.3%-7.8%
Q1 2016+1.9%+6.1%+10.0%
Q1 2017+10.0%+12.1%+21.0%
Q1 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2014+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2016-5.8%-7.7%-9.0%
Q3 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q4 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%

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