NYSE$YUMC

Yum China Holdings Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Yum China's results were negatively impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak, but the company sustained operating profitability through cost management and support from landlords and government agencies.

Yum China's first quarter 2020 results were significantly impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak, with total revenues declining 24% year-over-year to $1.75 billion and operating profit declining 68% to $97 million. However, the company managed to sustain operating profitability through effective cost management, labor productivity improvement, and one-time relief from landlords and government agencies.

  • Total revenues declined 24% year over year to $1.75 billion.
  • Total system sales declined 20% year over year.
  • Same-store sales declined 15% year over year.
  • Operating Profit declined 68% year over year to $97 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.75B

Previous: $2.3B-23.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.16

Previous: $0.59-72.9%
Same-store sales growth

-15.0%

No prior period
Restaurant margin

10.7%

Previous: 18.5%-42.2%
Delivery sales contribution

35.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$87M

Previous: -$110M+20.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$25M

Previous: $112M-122.3%
Net Income

$62M

Previous: $222M-72.1%
Operating Income

$97M

Previous: $303M-68.0%
Gross Profit

$1.75B

Previous: $2.3B-23.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.05B

No prior period
Total Assets

$6.58B

Previous: $6.76B-2.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$7M

Previous: $6M+16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Yum China · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.75B

Q1 2020-23.9%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Yum China · $1.59B total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • KFC
    $1.27B
  • Pizza Hut
    $324M

Forward guidance

The Company expects the COVID-19 outbreak is likely to have a material and extended adverse impact on its operational and financial results for full year 2020.

Tailwinds

  • To open between 800 and 850 new stores (gross), excluding Huang Ji Huang.
  • To make capital expenditures between $500 million and $550 million
  • The Company pioneered contactless delivery and contactless takeaway in late January to enhance preventative health measures.
  • Our digital infrastructure enabled us to stay nimble and communicate quickly with customers and employees online and through mobile technology.
  • We were able to inform our members about compelling offers through our APPs, while efficiently adjusting labor hours based on rapidly changing traffic and sales patterns.

Headwinds

  • Future operations, as well as the Company’s cash flows and financial position, may be materially and adversely influenced by further developments related to this global outbreak.
  • Potential additional announcements and actions from governments and local authorities
  • Disruption in our supply chain
  • Our inability to provide safety measures to protect our employees
  • Global infections continue to rise.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

32 / 45 earnings

Positive

+15.6%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-16.1%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+1.0%-10.4%
Q4 2025+1.8%+13.3%+2.1%
Q3 2025+2.0%-0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025-7.2%-6.8%-6.5%
Q4 2024+9.1%+4.3%+9.2%
Q3 2024+7.3%+9.4%+4.5%
Q2 2024+13.0%+14.0%+14.0%
Q1 2024-7.9%-3.1%-12.1%
Q4 2023+12.4%+12.2%+14.4%
Q3 2023-16.1%-14.6%-18.7%
Q2 2023-4.0%-6.3%-9.9%
Q1 2023+0.8%+0.8%-8.0%
Q4 2022+2.7%+4.6%-1.4%
Q3 2022+12.0%+20.8%+32.5%
Q2 2022+4.8%+3.3%+6.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%-3.8%+7.1%
Q4 2021+2.7%+11.1%-3.7%
Q3 2021-2.4%-1.9%-13.9%
Q2 2021+1.9%+1.0%-1.5%
Q1 2021+5.8%+5.0%+11.9%
Q4 2020-4.3%+2.0%+3.3%
Q3 2020+0.4%-2.5%+8.2%
Q2 2020-3.5%-0.7%+7.4%
Q1 2020+8.7%+1.0%-3.4%
Q4 2019-1.3%-4.3%-3.9%
Q3 2019+1.2%-4.8%+1.4%
Q2 2019+0.2%-0.6%-0.2%
Q1 2019+5.6%+5.2%-13.9%
Q4 2018+9.6%+12.9%+15.4%
Q3 2018+15.6%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2018-2.2%-4.6%+7.2%
Q1 2018-13.5%-10.7%-8.1%
Q4 2017-6.6%-9.3%-5.6%
Q3 2017+2.3%+6.6%+4.8%
Q2 2017-13.2%-7.3%-7.8%
Q1 2016+1.9%+6.1%+10.0%
Q1 2017+10.0%+12.1%+21.0%
Q1 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2014+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2016-5.8%-7.7%-9.0%
Q3 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q4 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%

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