NYSE$YUMC

Yum China Holdings Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Yum China's Q4 2023 performance showed strong growth, driven by system sales increase and strategic expansion.

Yum China reported a strong fourth quarter in 2023, with total revenues increasing by 19% to $2.49 billion and operating profit growing by 170% to $110 million. The company opened 542 net new stores, reaching a total of 14,644 stores. They also increased the dividend by 23% and stepped up 2024 share repurchases to $1.25 billion

  • Total system sales grew 21% year over year excluding foreign currency translation, driven by net new unit contribution and same-store sales growth.
  • Opened 542 net new stores in the fourth quarter, reaching a total of 14,644 stores as of December 31, 2023.
  • Operating profit grew 170% to $110 million, with core operating profit growing 324%.
  • The board declared a 23% increase in cash dividend to $0.16 per share and the Company plans to repurchase $1.25 billion of its common stock in 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.49B

Previous: $2.09B+19.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.25

Previous: $0.13+92.3%
Same-store sales growth

4.0%

Previous: -4.0%+200.0%
Restaurant margin

10.7%

Previous: 10.4%+2.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$212M

Previous: $170M-224.5%
Net Income

$97M

Previous: $53M+83.0%
Operating Income

$110M

Previous: $41M+168.3%
Gross Profit

$309M

Previous: $244M+26.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$18M

Previous: $11M+63.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Yum China · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.49B

Q4 2023+19.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Yum China · $2.79B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • KFC
    $2.19B+8.4%
  • Pizza Hut
    $599M+6.8%

Forward guidance

In 2024, Yum China plans to open approximately 1,500 to 1,700 net new stores and make capital expenditures in the range of approximately $700 million to $850 million.

Tailwinds

  • Open approximately 1,500 to 1,700 net new stores.
  • Reach a total store count of 20,000 by 2026.
  • Achieve a high-single-to-double-digit CAGR for system sales and operating profit, and a double-digit CAGR for EPS, using 2023 as the base year excluding F/X.
  • Return a minimum of $3 billion to shareholders through quarterly dividends and share repurchases.
  • Make capital expenditures in the range of approximately $700 million to $850 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

32 / 45 earnings

Positive

+15.6%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-16.1%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+1.0%-10.4%
Q4 2025+1.8%+13.3%+2.1%
Q3 2025+2.0%-0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025-7.2%-6.8%-6.5%
Q4 2024+9.1%+4.3%+9.2%
Q3 2024+7.3%+9.4%+4.5%
Q2 2024+13.0%+14.0%+14.0%
Q1 2024-7.9%-3.1%-12.1%
Q4 2023+12.4%+12.2%+14.4%
Q3 2023-16.1%-14.6%-18.7%
Q2 2023-4.0%-6.3%-9.9%
Q1 2023+0.8%+0.8%-8.0%
Q4 2022+2.7%+4.6%-1.4%
Q3 2022+12.0%+20.8%+32.5%
Q2 2022+4.8%+3.3%+6.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%-3.8%+7.1%
Q4 2021+2.7%+11.1%-3.7%
Q3 2021-2.4%-1.9%-13.9%
Q2 2021+1.9%+1.0%-1.5%
Q1 2021+5.8%+5.0%+11.9%
Q4 2020-4.3%+2.0%+3.3%
Q3 2020+0.4%-2.5%+8.2%
Q2 2020-3.5%-0.7%+7.4%
Q1 2020+8.7%+1.0%-3.4%
Q4 2019-1.3%-4.3%-3.9%
Q3 2019+1.2%-4.8%+1.4%
Q2 2019+0.2%-0.6%-0.2%
Q1 2019+5.6%+5.2%-13.9%
Q4 2018+9.6%+12.9%+15.4%
Q3 2018+15.6%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2018-2.2%-4.6%+7.2%
Q1 2018-13.5%-10.7%-8.1%
Q4 2017-6.6%-9.3%-5.6%
Q3 2017+2.3%+6.6%+4.8%
Q2 2017-13.2%-7.3%-7.8%
Q1 2016+1.9%+6.1%+10.0%
Q1 2017+10.0%+12.1%+21.0%
Q1 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2014+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2016-5.8%-7.7%-9.0%
Q3 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q4 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%

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