NYSE$YUMC

Yum China Holdings Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Yum China's Q3 2020 results reflected resilience with revenue growth and strategic expansion.

Yum China's total revenues increased by 1% to $2.35 billion, with system sales also growing by 1%. The company opened 312 new stores, reaching a total of 10,150 stores. Operating Profit increased significantly to $556 million, and Adjusted Operating Profit rose to $320 million.

  • Total revenues increased 1% year over year to $2.35 billion.
  • Opened 312 new stores during the quarter, reaching 10,150 stores in total.
  • Operating Profit increased 86% year over year to $556 million.
  • Adjusted Operating Profit increased 7% year over year to $320 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.35B

Previous: $2.32B+1.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.66

Previous: $0.58+13.8%
Restaurant margin

18.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$284M

Previous: -$310M+8.4%
Free Cash Flow

$155M

Previous: -$87M+278.2%
Net Income

$439M

Previous: $223M+96.9%
Operating Income

$556M

Previous: $300M+85.3%
Gross Profit

$2.35B

Previous: $2.32B+1.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.78B

Previous: $1.36B+31.5%
Total Assets

$10.4B

Previous: $6.71B+54.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$10M

Previous: $6M+66.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Yum China · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.35B

Q3 2020+1.3%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Yum China · $2.16B total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • KFC
    $1.65B
  • Pizza Hut
    $511M

Forward guidance

Yum China expects to open more than 900 gross new stores in 2020 and anticipates that the COVID-19 outbreak will continue to have a material adverse impact on its operational and financial results in 2020.

Tailwinds

  • To open more than 900 new stores (gross), an increase compared to the previous target of 800 to 850, primarily due to the acceleration of KFC store expansion, and the inclusion of Huang Ji Huang new builds
  • The company believes that it is well-positioned to capture future growth opportunities through its resilient business model, strong capabilities and dedicated team.
  • Sales were pressured by reduced travel, a shortened school holiday and some regional outbreaks, but our compelling value proposition and effective digital initiatives drove a sales recovery.
  • We expanded restaurant margin by realigning our cost structure and improving productivity.
  • We remain committed to driving sustainable growth and creating long-term value to our shareholders.

Headwinds

  • The COVID-19 outbreak will continue to have a material adverse impact on its operational and financial results in 2020.
  • Future operations, as well as the Company’s cash flows and financial position, may be materially and adversely influenced by further developments related to this global outbreak, including potential additional announcements and actions from governments and local authorities, disruption in our supply chain, our inability to provide safety measures to protect our employees, or other reasons.
  • Although the COVID-19 outbreak in China has improved over the past months, we are not out of the woods yet.
  • The lingering effect remains unpredictable.
  • Labor productivity improvement was partially due to the shortage in part-time workers. We intend to increase staffing levels in coming months to balance service and efficiency.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

32 / 45 earnings

Positive

+15.6%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-16.1%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%+1.0%-10.4%
Q4 2025+1.8%+13.3%+2.1%
Q3 2025+2.0%-0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025-7.2%-6.8%-6.5%
Q4 2024+9.1%+4.3%+9.2%
Q3 2024+7.3%+9.4%+4.5%
Q2 2024+13.0%+14.0%+14.0%
Q1 2024-7.9%-3.1%-12.1%
Q4 2023+12.4%+12.2%+14.4%
Q3 2023-16.1%-14.6%-18.7%
Q2 2023-4.0%-6.3%-9.9%
Q1 2023+0.8%+0.8%-8.0%
Q4 2022+2.7%+4.6%-1.4%
Q3 2022+12.0%+20.8%+32.5%
Q2 2022+4.8%+3.3%+6.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%-3.8%+7.1%
Q4 2021+2.7%+11.1%-3.7%
Q3 2021-2.4%-1.9%-13.9%
Q2 2021+1.9%+1.0%-1.5%
Q1 2021+5.8%+5.0%+11.9%
Q4 2020-4.3%+2.0%+3.3%
Q3 2020+0.4%-2.5%+8.2%
Q2 2020-3.5%-0.7%+7.4%
Q1 2020+8.7%+1.0%-3.4%
Q4 2019-1.3%-4.3%-3.9%
Q3 2019+1.2%-4.8%+1.4%
Q2 2019+0.2%-0.6%-0.2%
Q1 2019+5.6%+5.2%-13.9%
Q4 2018+9.6%+12.9%+15.4%
Q3 2018+15.6%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2018-2.2%-4.6%+7.2%
Q1 2018-13.5%-10.7%-8.1%
Q4 2017-6.6%-9.3%-5.6%
Q3 2017+2.3%+6.6%+4.8%
Q2 2017-13.2%-7.3%-7.8%
Q1 2016+1.9%+6.1%+10.0%
Q1 2017+10.0%+12.1%+21.0%
Q1 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2015+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2014+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.8%+19.8%
Q4 2016-5.8%-7.7%-9.0%
Q3 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q4 2015+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+4.9%+11.3%-2.8%

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