NYSE$XPOF

Xponential Fitness Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Xponential Fitness reported a 40% increase in revenue and a 42% increase in North America system-wide sales compared to Q1 2022.

Xponential Fitness, Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023, revealing a 40% increase in revenue to $70.7 million and a 42% increase in North America system-wide sales to $317.8 million compared to the same period last year. The company raised its full-year 2023 outlook for North America system-wide sales, revenue, and Adjusted EBITDA.

  • Revenue grew by 40% to $70.7 million compared to Q1 2022.
  • North America system-wide sales increased by 42% to $317.8 million compared to Q1 2022.
  • North America same store sales grew by 20%, compared to 47% in Q1 2022.
  • North America quarterly run-rate average unit volume (AUV) was $542,000, compared to $450,000.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.98M

Previous: $3.38M-11.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.02

Previous: -$0.19+89.5%
North America System-Wide Sales

$318M

Previous: $225M+41.6%
North America Same Store Sales Growth

20.0%

Previous: 47.0%-57.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.13M

Previous: -$1.8M-18.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$12.1M

Previous: -$9.32M-30.0%
Net Income

-$9.98M

Previous: -$7.52M-32.8%
Operating Income

-$7.21M

Previous: -$14.8M+51.2%
Gross Profit

$2.96M

Previous: $3.38M-12.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$28.1M

Previous: $15.8M+78.1%
Total Assets

$484M

Previous: $435M+11.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.06M

Previous: $15.2M-60.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Xponential Fitness · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.98M

Q1 2023-11.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Xponential Fitness · $70.7M total across 5 segments · Q1 2023

  • Franchise Revenue
    $33M+29.3%
  • Equipment Revenue
    $13.1M+68.3%
  • Other Service Revenue
    $11.3M+71.4%
  • Merchandise Revenue
    $7.16M+17.8%
  • Franchise Marketing Fund Revenue
    $6.21M+40.0%

Forward guidance

Xponential Fitness is increasing its full-year 2023 guidance for system-wide sales, revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, and re-affirming guidance for net new studio openings.

Tailwinds

  • Net new studio openings in the range of 540 to 560, or an increase of 8% at the midpoint as compared to full year 2022.
  • North America system-wide sales in the range of $1.37 billion to $1.38 billion, or an increase of 33% at the midpoint as compared to full year 2022.
  • Revenue in the range of $290.0 million to $300.0 million, or an increase of 20% at the midpoint as compared to full year 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $102.0 million to $106.0 million, or an increase of 40% at the midpoint as compared to full year 2022.
  • Tax rate in the mid-to-high single digits.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

37%

7 / 19 earnings

Positive

+44.3%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-47.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.0%-21.7%-18.1%
Q4 2025-47.2%-31.3%-28.6%
Q3 2025+1.4%+1.1%+12.4%
Q1 2025-7.5%+13.0%+9.1%
Q4 2024-38.4%-29.4%-39.4%
Q3 2024-3.5%+0.7%-2.4%
Q2 2024-23.5%-19.3%-24.8%
Q1 2024+3.8%-20.8%-7.0%
Q4 2023+44.3%+38.9%+69.8%
Q3 2023-3.2%-8.0%-15.7%
Q2 2023-7.3%-6.0%+5.3%
Q1 2023-8.8%-11.7%-20.2%
Q4 2022+15.5%+16.1%+19.7%
Q3 2022+15.2%+21.9%+22.1%
Q2 2022+19.4%+26.7%+23.0%
Q1 2022-9.9%+1.9%-2.1%
Q4 2021-7.1%-7.8%+12.5%
Q3 2021+24.5%+22.2%+16.2%
Q2 2021-1.2%+3.6%+0.1%
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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