NYSE$WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter results, with ABVPS down 3% due to investment portfolio declines, but up 8% for the full year, driven by solid operating company results and investment returns.

White Mountains reported a decrease in book value per share and adjusted book value per share in Q4 2024, primarily due to mark-to-market declines in its investment portfolio, including MediaAlpha. However, the company saw growth in gross written premiums at Ark and Bamboo, and Kudu's portfolio surpassed $1 billion. The company had undeployed capital of approximately $700 million.

  • ABVPS decreased by 3% in Q4, mainly due to investment portfolio declines, including MediaAlpha.
  • Ark produced a 77% combined ratio and $264 million in gross written premiums, up 14% year-over-year.
  • Bamboo had a strong quarter with managed premiums and adjusted EBITDA up significantly year-over-year.
  • MediaAlpha's share price declined 38% in the quarter, resulting in a $122 million mark-to-market loss.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$358M

Previous: $454M-21.1%
EPS (adj)

-$50.78

Previous: $111.87-145.4%
Book Value Per Share

$1.75K

Previous: $1.66K+5.4%
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

No prior period
Net Income

-$130M

Previous: $363M-136.0%
Operating Income

-$121M

Previous: $328M-136.8%

Revenue & EPS history

White Mountains · Revenue · Quarterly

$358M

Q4 2024-21.1%vs Q4 2023

Revenue by segment

White Mountains · $6.8M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Asset Management
    $26.3M-53.0%
  • Financial Guarantee
    -$7.4M+70.0%
  • Other Operations
    -$12.1M-237.5%

Forward guidance

White Mountains anticipates continued growth in 2025, particularly for Bamboo, although the immediate focus is on supporting policyholders impacted by the wildfires in Los Angeles. Ark sees opportunities for profitable growth in 2025 despite a moderating rate environment.

Tailwinds

  • Ark anticipates profitable growth opportunities in 2025.
  • Bamboo expects continued growth in 2025.
  • Kudu continues to pursue a robust pipeline in 2025.
  • HG Global recorded a strong quarter with a record quarter for par value assumed.
  • Full year gross written premiums at Ark were $2.2 billion, up 16% year-over-year.

Headwinds

  • MediaAlpha's share price decline produced a $122 million mark-to-market loss.
  • Kudu had a tough quarter, impacted by rising interest rates and a strengthening dollar.
  • Bamboo has exposure to the recent California wildfires.
  • The California wildfires represent a significant industry loss event in the first quarter of 2025.
  • Returns were impacted by rising interest rates and related mark-to-market losses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

34 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-4.2%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-0.9%-4.2%
Q4 2025+2.5%+0.8%+1.8%
Q3 2025-0.2%+1.5%+7.2%
Q1 2025+0.9%-0.8%-2.7%
Q4 2024-3.4%-7.3%-4.4%
Q3 2024+5.8%+7.4%+11.8%
Q2 2024-3.0%-4.5%+0.2%
Q1 2024-1.4%-6.1%-6.1%
Q4 2023+1.3%+6.1%+9.4%
Q3 2023-0.4%+3.3%+0.1%
Q2 2023-0.5%+0.1%-1.7%
Q1 2023+0.3%-1.9%-0.8%
Q4 2022+1.8%+2.6%-6.7%
Q3 2022+0.8%-1.3%-3.7%
Q2 2022+0.9%+3.6%+10.1%
Q1 2022+8.3%+7.6%+19.3%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.1%+1.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%+2.7%-6.3%
Q2 2021+1.7%+1.1%-0.2%
Q1 2021-3.2%-4.0%-8.7%
Q4 2020+3.0%+9.6%+10.3%
Q3 2020+0.4%-2.5%+3.8%
Q2 2020+7.7%+3.2%-0.2%
Q4 2019+0.5%+0.8%-11.8%
Q3 2019+0.8%+1.7%+1.6%
Q2 2019+1.7%+2.7%+1.1%
Q1 2019-0.9%+2.7%+5.5%
Q4 2018+1.1%+3.3%+2.9%
Q3 2018+1.0%+0.8%+6.1%
Q2 2018+0.3%+0.7%-1.3%
Q1 2018-0.0%-0.4%+4.2%
Q4 2017-3.0%+0.1%+2.6%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.4%-1.1%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.3%+2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.8%+1.3%
Q4 2016-2.0%-1.2%+1.5%
Q3 2016-0.2%-0.3%+3.2%
Q2 2016+0.6%+1.1%+0.9%
Q1 2016-0.1%
Q4 2015+6.0%
Q3 2015-3.8%
Q2 2015+3.5%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.2%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-0.3%
Q3 2013+0.4%
Q2 2013-0.2%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012+0.0%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012-4.2%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2010-2.0%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2008-0.8%
Q4 2010-0.8%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q3 2009+1.4%
Q2 2010-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q2 2009-1.8%

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