NYSE$WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a comprehensive loss attributable to common shareholders and a decrease in book value per share and adjusted book value per share.

White Mountains Insurance Group reported a decrease in adjusted book value per share of 2% in Q1 2021, impacted by a mark-to-market decline in MediaAlpha and a loss from NSM's sale of Fresh Insurance. However, underlying operating results were sound, with BAM achieving its strongest first quarter and Ark's gross written premiums more than doubling year over year.

  • Adjusted book value per share decreased by 2% in Q1 2021, including dividends.
  • BAM experienced its strongest first quarter on record, driven by primary market penetration and a significant assumed reinsurance transaction.
  • Ark's gross written premiums increased by more than 2x year over year, with renewal pricing up more than 10%.
  • NSM posted solid growth in both pro forma controlled premiums and pro forma adjusted EBITDA.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$178M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

-$30.33

No prior period
Book Value Per Share

$1.23K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$75.3M

No prior period
Net Income

-$75.3M

No prior period
Operating Income

$17.2M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$174M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$471M

No prior period
Total Assets

$6.9B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

White Mountains · Revenue · Quarterly

$178M

Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 13 quarters(62%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

White Mountains · -$5.7M total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Asset Management
    $24.1M
  • Financial Guarantee
    -$6.7M
  • Other Operations
    -$23.1M

Forward guidance

Market conditions remain attractive, and White Mountains is optimistic about profitable growth in the book.

Tailwinds

  • Operational execution has been strong.
  • Hiring is more or less complete.
  • Driven by a good January renewal season.
  • Gross written premiums were $405 million in the quarter, more than double 2020 levels.
  • Blended renewal pricing up over 10%.

Headwinds

  • Catastrophe losses were unusually heavy in the first quarter.
  • Heavy cat losses in the quarter added 17 points to the loss ratio.
  • Adjusted combined ratio of 108% for the quarter.
  • COVID-19 pandemic is negatively impacting the finances of municipalities to varying degrees.
  • Over time, financial stress could emerge.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

34 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-4.2%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-0.9%-4.2%
Q4 2025+2.5%+0.8%+1.8%
Q3 2025-0.2%+1.5%+7.2%
Q1 2025+0.9%-0.8%-2.7%
Q4 2024-3.4%-7.3%-4.4%
Q3 2024+5.8%+7.4%+11.8%
Q2 2024-3.0%-4.5%+0.2%
Q1 2024-1.4%-6.1%-6.1%
Q4 2023+1.3%+6.1%+9.4%
Q3 2023-0.4%+3.3%+0.1%
Q2 2023-0.5%+0.1%-1.7%
Q1 2023+0.3%-1.9%-0.8%
Q4 2022+1.8%+2.6%-6.7%
Q3 2022+0.8%-1.3%-3.7%
Q2 2022+0.9%+3.6%+10.1%
Q1 2022+8.3%+7.6%+19.3%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.1%+1.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%+2.7%-6.3%
Q2 2021+1.7%+1.1%-0.2%
Q1 2021-3.2%-4.0%-8.7%
Q4 2020+3.0%+9.6%+10.3%
Q3 2020+0.4%-2.5%+3.8%
Q2 2020+7.7%+3.2%-0.2%
Q4 2019+0.5%+0.8%-11.8%
Q3 2019+0.8%+1.7%+1.6%
Q2 2019+1.7%+2.7%+1.1%
Q1 2019-0.9%+2.7%+5.5%
Q4 2018+1.1%+3.3%+2.9%
Q3 2018+1.0%+0.8%+6.1%
Q2 2018+0.3%+0.7%-1.3%
Q1 2018-0.0%-0.4%+4.2%
Q4 2017-3.0%+0.1%+2.6%
Q3 2017+1.8%+0.4%-1.1%
Q2 2017-0.5%-1.3%+2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.8%+1.3%
Q4 2016-2.0%-1.2%+1.5%
Q3 2016-0.2%-0.3%+3.2%
Q2 2016+0.6%+1.1%+0.9%
Q1 2016-0.1%
Q4 2015+6.0%
Q3 2015-3.8%
Q2 2015+3.5%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.2%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-0.3%
Q3 2013+0.4%
Q2 2013-0.2%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012+0.0%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012-4.2%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2010-2.0%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2008-0.8%
Q4 2010-0.8%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q3 2009+1.4%
Q2 2010-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q2 2009-1.8%

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