NYSE$TX

Ternium SA-ADR · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Ternium reported lower fourth quarter 2025 results with sequentially stable EBITDA and net income supported by deferred tax gains, while maintaining a solid net cash position.

Ternium generated fourth quarter 2025 net sales of 3775000000 and net income of 171000000, with Adjusted EBITDA of 395000000 and strong operating cash flow of 528000000, while continuing heavy capital investment.

  • Q4 net sales were 3775000000, reflecting lower realized steel prices.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached 395000000 with a 10.5% margin.
  • Net income was 171000000, including a 94000000 deferred tax gain.
  • Net cash position stood at 712000000 after 463000000 in capital expenditures.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.78B

Previous: $3.83B-1.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.62

Previous: -$0.42+247.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$395M

No prior period
Capital expenditures

$463M

No prior period
Net cash position

$712M

No prior period
Operating margin

5.2%

No prior period
Cash from operations

$528M

No prior period
Net Income

$171M

Previous: $278M-38.5%
Operating Income

$195M

Previous: $76.2M+156.0%
Gross Profit

$333M

Previous: $445M-25.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Ternium · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.78B

Q4 2025-1.6%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ternium · $3.93B total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Steel
    $3.81B
  • Mining
    $120M

Forward guidance

Ternium expects Adjusted EBITDA and margins to improve sequentially in the first quarter of 2026, supported by higher shipments in Mexico and improved revenue per ton, partially offset by higher unit costs.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA expected to increase in Q1 2026.
  • Shipments anticipated to rise, mainly in Mexico.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin projected to improve.
  • Government trade measures supporting local steel markets.
  • Improving demand in Argentina and commercial markets.

Headwinds

  • Higher costs per ton expected.
  • Exposure to tariff negotiations with the United States.
  • Uncertainty in automotive production and EV adjustments.
  • Risk of unfairly traded imports impacting local markets.
  • Ongoing global steel price volatility.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-15.6%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%-6.6%-0.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%+0.2%-13.3%
Q3 2025-6.0%-3.8%-2.4%
Q2 2025+3.8%-2.8%+5.0%
Q1 2025-2.3%+0.4%-7.3%
Q4 2024-4.0%-5.3%+0.8%
Q3 2024+6.3%-5.4%-13.4%
Q2 2024-3.4%-8.0%-5.5%
Q1 2024+0.1%+1.1%+1.5%
Q4 2023+8.0%+5.8%+9.1%
Q3 2023-3.5%-2.9%+4.8%
Q2 2023-8.4%-7.9%-6.4%
Q1 2023+1.3%+4.1%-8.0%
Q4 2022+8.2%+7.9%+5.7%
Q3 2022+11.9%+10.3%+14.2%
Q2 2022-2.6%-1.2%-15.4%
Q1 2022+3.7%+2.6%+6.6%
Q4 2021-9.4%-12.6%-0.4%
Q3 2021-15.6%-17.8%-14.7%
Q2 2021+4.6%+5.7%+10.4%
Q1 2021-1.7%-4.8%-10.0%
Q4 2020+3.4%-2.8%+14.0%
Q3 2020+0.5%+9.3%+44.6%
Q2 2020+7.7%+11.6%+24.0%
Q1 2020+5.7%-8.9%+11.3%
Q4 2019-4.9%-3.6%-49.0%
Q3 2019+5.1%+5.3%+10.7%
Q2 2019-5.7%-6.5%-21.8%
Q1 2019+7.8%+7.8%+0.5%
Q4 2018-5.8%-2.7%-10.4%
Q3 2018+9.7%+11.4%-0.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%-2.0%-23.8%
Q1 2018+11.3%+4.6%-0.5%
Q4 2017-0.3%+0.0%-13.1%
Q3 2017-5.5%-7.4%-9.8%
Q2 2017-1.2%-2.6%-0.6%
Q1 2017-1.8%-0.8%+1.3%
Q4 2016+10.7%+8.7%+11.0%
Q3 2016+9.8%+14.1%+6.9%
Q2 2016+9.6%+7.9%-6.1%
Q1 2016+6.0%
Q4 2015+9.6%
Q3 2015+11.9%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014-0.3%
Q3 2014-9.6%
Q2 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q3 2013+3.8%
Q2 2013-0.2%
Q4 2012+9.9%
Q1 2013-2.9%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-7.4%
Q4 2011+9.6%
Q1 2012+3.9%
Q3 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q4 2010+4.8%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q3 2010+6.5%
Q2 2010-1.3%
Q1 2010+0.7%

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