NYSE$TX

Ternium SA-ADR · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Ternium reported solid Q2 2025 results with sequential improvement in margins and strong cash generation despite softer steel volumes in some markets.

Ternium delivered $3.95 billion in revenue and $259 million in net income for Q2 2025, supported by higher realized steel prices, strong cash generation, and stable mining operations.

  • Revenue totaled $3.95 billion, relatively flat sequentially but down 13% YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose to $403 million with a 10% margin
  • Free cash flow generation was strong at $190 million, driven by $1.0 billion in operating cash flow
  • Steel shipments were down sequentially due to softer demand in Mexico and the U.S.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.95B

Previous: $4.48B-11.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.28

Previous: -$0.11+1263.6%
Free Cash Flow

$190M

No prior period
Net Income

$259M

Previous: -$722M+135.9%
Operating Income

$199M

Previous: $318M-37.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Ternium · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.95B

Q2 2025-11.8%vs Q2 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ternium · $3.93B total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Steel
    $3.81B
  • Mining
    $120M

Forward guidance

Ternium expects continued EBITDA improvement in Q3 2025, driven by cost optimization and a partial recovery in Mexican shipments, though global trade tensions and import pressures pose ongoing risks.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA expected to improve in Q3 2025
  • Cost management initiatives underway to enhance margins
  • Steel shipments expected to increase in Mexico
  • Southern Region remains stable after Q2 rebound
  • Strong cash flow provides flexibility for investments

Headwinds

  • Ongoing U.S.–Mexico trade tensions affecting steel demand
  • Steel prices declined YoY across all regions
  • High imports continue to pressure Brazil’s steel market
  • Cash operating income in Mining segment declined YoY
  • Net cash position down $268 million from Q1

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2025

Historical avgQ2 2025

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-15.6%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%-6.6%-0.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%+0.2%-13.3%
Q3 2025-6.0%-3.8%-2.4%
Q2 2025+3.8%-2.8%+5.0%
Q1 2025-2.3%+0.4%-7.3%
Q4 2024-4.0%-5.3%+0.8%
Q3 2024+6.3%-5.4%-13.4%
Q2 2024-3.4%-8.0%-5.5%
Q1 2024+0.1%+1.1%+1.5%
Q4 2023+8.0%+5.8%+9.1%
Q3 2023-3.5%-2.9%+4.8%
Q2 2023-8.4%-7.9%-6.4%
Q1 2023+1.3%+4.1%-8.0%
Q4 2022+8.2%+7.9%+5.7%
Q3 2022+11.9%+10.3%+14.2%
Q2 2022-2.6%-1.2%-15.4%
Q1 2022+3.7%+2.6%+6.6%
Q4 2021-9.4%-12.6%-0.4%
Q3 2021-15.6%-17.8%-14.7%
Q2 2021+4.6%+5.7%+10.4%
Q1 2021-1.7%-4.8%-10.0%
Q4 2020+3.4%-2.8%+14.0%
Q3 2020+0.5%+9.3%+44.6%
Q2 2020+7.7%+11.6%+24.0%
Q1 2020+5.7%-8.9%+11.3%
Q4 2019-4.9%-3.6%-49.0%
Q3 2019+5.1%+5.3%+10.7%
Q2 2019-5.7%-6.5%-21.8%
Q1 2019+7.8%+7.8%+0.5%
Q4 2018-5.8%-2.7%-10.4%
Q3 2018+9.7%+11.4%-0.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%-2.0%-23.8%
Q1 2018+11.3%+4.6%-0.5%
Q4 2017-0.3%+0.0%-13.1%
Q3 2017-5.5%-7.4%-9.8%
Q2 2017-1.2%-2.6%-0.6%
Q1 2017-1.8%-0.8%+1.3%
Q4 2016+10.7%+8.7%+11.0%
Q3 2016+9.8%+14.1%+6.9%
Q2 2016+9.6%+7.9%-6.1%
Q1 2016+6.0%
Q4 2015+9.6%
Q3 2015+11.9%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014-0.3%
Q3 2014-9.6%
Q2 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q3 2013+3.8%
Q2 2013-0.2%
Q4 2012+9.9%
Q1 2013-2.9%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-7.4%
Q4 2011+9.6%
Q1 2012+3.9%
Q3 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q4 2010+4.8%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q3 2010+6.5%
Q2 2010-1.3%
Q1 2010+0.7%

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