NYSE$TX

Ternium SA-ADR · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Ternium reported a sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA driven by improved margins and steel and iron ore shipments for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025.

Ternium announced its first quarter 2025 results, showing a sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA due to improved margins and higher steel and iron ore shipments. The company's net income was $142 million, and adjusted net income was $188 million, excluding a litigation-related provision. Capital expenditures were significant, primarily for the Pesquería industrial center expansion.

  • Adjusted EBITDA increased sequentially by 19% to $322 million, driven by improved margins and higher shipments.
  • Net income for the quarter was $142 million, with adjusted net income reaching $188 million after excluding a litigation provision.
  • Steel product shipments increased by 2% sequentially to 3.9 million tons, while mining product shipments rose by 4% to 1.8 million tons.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $518 million, mainly for the ongoing expansion at the Pesquería industrial center in Mexico.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.93B

Previous: $4.74B-17.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.55

Previous: $1.84-70.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$322M

No prior period
Capital expenditures

$518M

No prior period
Net cash position

$1.3B

No prior period
Operating margin

8.0%

No prior period
Cash from operations

$207M

No prior period
Net Income

$142M

Previous: $358M-60.4%
Operating Income

$132M

Previous: $667M-80.2%
Gross Profit

$531M

Previous: $1.09B-51.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Ternium · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.93B

Q1 2025-17.1%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ternium · $3.93B total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Steel
    $3.81B
  • Mining
    $120M

Forward guidance

Ternium expects a sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of 2025, driven by higher realized steel prices and slightly lower cost per ton, with relatively stable steel shipments.

Tailwinds

  • Expected sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2025.
  • Anticipated higher realized steel prices.
  • Slightly lower cost per ton expected.
  • Relatively stable steel shipments projected.
  • Sequential increase in shipments in Argentina due to macroeconomic improvements.

Headwinds

  • Volumes in Mexico are expected to remain subdued due to unresolved tariff issues.
  • Unresolved unfair trade practices in the Brazilian steel market.
  • Notable year-over-year increases in imports in Brazil during Q1 2025.
  • Total cost of Pesquería expansion plan increased to $4.0 billion.
  • New steel slab mill in Pesquería now expected to begin operations by Q4 2026, a delay from prior estimates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-15.6%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%-6.6%-0.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%+0.2%-13.3%
Q3 2025-6.0%-3.8%-2.4%
Q2 2025+3.8%-2.8%+5.0%
Q1 2025-2.3%+0.4%-7.3%
Q4 2024-4.0%-5.3%+0.8%
Q3 2024+6.3%-5.4%-13.4%
Q2 2024-3.4%-8.0%-5.5%
Q1 2024+0.1%+1.1%+1.5%
Q4 2023+8.0%+5.8%+9.1%
Q3 2023-3.5%-2.9%+4.8%
Q2 2023-8.4%-7.9%-6.4%
Q1 2023+1.3%+4.1%-8.0%
Q4 2022+8.2%+7.9%+5.7%
Q3 2022+11.9%+10.3%+14.2%
Q2 2022-2.6%-1.2%-15.4%
Q1 2022+3.7%+2.6%+6.6%
Q4 2021-9.4%-12.6%-0.4%
Q3 2021-15.6%-17.8%-14.7%
Q2 2021+4.6%+5.7%+10.4%
Q1 2021-1.7%-4.8%-10.0%
Q4 2020+3.4%-2.8%+14.0%
Q3 2020+0.5%+9.3%+44.6%
Q2 2020+7.7%+11.6%+24.0%
Q1 2020+5.7%-8.9%+11.3%
Q4 2019-4.9%-3.6%-49.0%
Q3 2019+5.1%+5.3%+10.7%
Q2 2019-5.7%-6.5%-21.8%
Q1 2019+7.8%+7.8%+0.5%
Q4 2018-5.8%-2.7%-10.4%
Q3 2018+9.7%+11.4%-0.1%
Q2 2018-0.5%-2.0%-23.8%
Q1 2018+11.3%+4.6%-0.5%
Q4 2017-0.3%+0.0%-13.1%
Q3 2017-5.5%-7.4%-9.8%
Q2 2017-1.2%-2.6%-0.6%
Q1 2017-1.8%-0.8%+1.3%
Q4 2016+10.7%+8.7%+11.0%
Q3 2016+9.8%+14.1%+6.9%
Q2 2016+9.6%+7.9%-6.1%
Q1 2016+6.0%
Q4 2015+9.6%
Q3 2015+11.9%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014-0.3%
Q3 2014-9.6%
Q2 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q3 2013+3.8%
Q2 2013-0.2%
Q4 2012+9.9%
Q1 2013-2.9%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-7.4%
Q4 2011+9.6%
Q1 2012+3.9%
Q3 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q4 2010+4.8%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q3 2010+6.5%
Q2 2010-1.3%
Q1 2010+0.7%

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