NYSE$THS

TreeHouse Foods Inc. · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong third quarter net sales and sequential improvement in profitability.

TreeHouse Foods reported a net sales increase of 16.4% to $875.0 million for the third quarter of 2022. The company's adjusted EBITDA margin was 8.8%, and adjusted EBITDA totaled $76.6 million.

  • Net sales increased by 18.0% to $1,299.4 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin for TreeHouse prior to the divestiture exceeded expectations with sequential improvement of 130 basis points to 6.9%, and adjusted EBITDA totaled $89.4 million.
  • Net sales increased 16.4% to $875.0 million, primarily driven by pricing.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin was 8.8%, and adjusted EBITDA totaled $76.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$875M

Previous: $1.1B-20.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.18

Previous: $0.46-60.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$55.1M

Previous: -$79.5M+30.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$169M

Previous: -$25.3M-568.8%
Net Income

-$90.5M

Previous: $6.7M-1450.7%
Operating Income

-$9.5M

Previous: $25.8M-136.8%
Gross Profit

$129M

Previous: $180M-28.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$74.7M

Previous: $67.4M+10.8%
Total Assets

$5.19B

Previous: $5.08B+2.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.1M

Previous: $1.7M+200.0%

Revenue & EPS history

TreeHouse · Revenue · Quarterly

$875M

Q3 2022-20.5%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

TreeHouse issued the following guidance for Q4 2022: Net sales are expected to grow 22% - 24% year-over-year, primarily driven by pricing. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $105 to $120 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin is anticipated in the range of 10.5% - 12.0%, representing substantial sequential improvement from the 8.8% in the third quarter, driven by the impact of pricing actions taken to date, peak seasonality and cost savings initiatives.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to grow 22% - 24% year-over-year, primarily driven by pricing.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $105 to $120 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin is anticipated in the range of 10.5% - 12.0%, representing substantial sequential improvement from the 8.8% in the third quarter, driven by the impact of pricing actions taken to date, peak seasonality and cost savings initiatives.
  • The Company is making steady improvement around service which it expects to continue into 2023.
  • Fiscal year 2023 net sales growth is expected to be strong due to the wraparound impact of TreeHouse's pricing actions to recover inflation in 2022.

Headwinds

  • Although the industry-wide labor and supply chain environment will continue to be challenging.
  • Given the current economic environment, demand for private label food and beverages is expected to remain strong.
  • Net interest in 2023 will reflect TreeHouse's $500 million debt repayment in October 2022, and result in a reduction of approximately $20 million in annual interest expense.
  • TreeHouse expects to receive interest income of approximately $40 million in 2023 related to the note receivable issued as part of the transaction.
  • Pre-pandemic growth for the Company's current portfolio of categories ranged from 3% to 5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

29 / 67 earnings

Positive

+23.3%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-36.5%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025
Q3 2025+23.3%+25.9%+25.4%
Q2 2025-6.5%-3.5%-10.7%
Q1 2025-5.5%-3.5%-6.6%
Q4 2024-0.6%-8.4%-15.2%
Q3 2024-15.1%-12.9%-8.5%
Q2 2024-5.1%+0.4%+5.1%
Q1 2024-4.7%-5.2%-0.9%
Q4 2023-14.2%-14.1%-14.1%
Q3 2023-9.0%-8.8%-2.8%
Q2 2023-9.9%-8.9%-14.0%
Q1 2023-1.4%-4.1%-10.4%
Q4 2022-1.4%+1.1%-2.1%
Q3 2022-2.5%-2.6%-2.1%
Q2 2022+8.0%+11.4%+3.5%
Q1 2022+22.7%+27.0%+28.1%
Q4 2021+15.4%+14.8%-5.6%
Q3 2021+3.9%
Q2 2021-6.3%
Q1 2021+0.8%
Q4 2020-2.5%
Q3 2020-6.0%
Q2 2020-4.6%
Q1 2020+5.2%
Q4 2019-0.7%
Q3 2019-11.0%
Q2 2019-3.8%
Q1 2019-13.0%
Q4 2018+0.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%
Q2 2018+8.6%
Q1 2018+20.6%
Q4 2017-11.0%
Q3 2017-36.5%
Q2 2017-11.6%
Q1 2017-12.1%
Q4 2016+12.1%
Q3 2016-20.5%
Q2 2016-1.5%
Q1 2016+8.1%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015+1.3%
Q2 2015-3.0%
Q1 2015-10.4%
Q4 2014-9.8%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q2 2014+3.1%
Q1 2014-4.0%
Q4 2013+10.7%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013+4.0%
Q1 2013-0.0%
Q4 2012+11.0%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012-12.7%
Q1 2012+0.1%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q4 2011+2.1%
Q3 2011-1.7%
Q2 2011+2.8%
Q1 2010+0.7%
Q1 2011+2.2%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q3 2009+5.9%
Q3 2010+5.9%
Q4 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+4.4%
Q2 2010+4.4%

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