NYSE$TEX

Terex Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Terex's performance was affected by industry channel adjustments and macro factors, but the acquisition of ESG is expected to be financially accretive.

Terex reported an EPS of $1.46 on sales of $1.2 billion. The company has acquired Environmental Solutions Group (ESG) which is expected to add approximately $40 million in EBITDA in the fourth quarter. The company expects full-year EPS to be between $5.85 and $6.25 and EBITDA of $635 to $670 million on revenue of $5 to $5.2 billion.

  • EPS was $1.46 on sales of $1.2 billion.
  • Acquired Environmental Solutions Group (ESG), expected to add approximately $40 million in EBITDA in Q4.
  • Full-year EPS expected to be between $5.85 and $6.25 and EBITDA of $635 to $670 million on revenue of $5 to $5.2 billion.
  • Global team adapted quickly to in quarter industry channel adjustments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.21B

Previous: $1.29B-6.1%
EPS

$1.31

Previous: $1.75-25.1%
Operating Margin

10.5%

Previous: 12.7%-17.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$28.8M

Previous: -$32.5M+11.4%
Free Cash Flow

$88M

Previous: $119M-26.2%
Net Income

$88M

Previous: $119M-26.2%
Operating Income

$122M

Previous: $163M-25.2%
Gross Profit

$245M

Previous: $293M-16.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$352M

Previous: $352M-0.1%
Total Assets

$3.78B

Previous: $3.46B+9.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $8.5M-41.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Terex · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.21B

Q3 2024-6.1%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Terex · $541M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Materials Processing
    $541M+18.1%

Forward guidance

The company's outlook is largely consistent with revised guidance provided in mid-September, updated now to include the expected fourth quarter contribution of ESG.

Tailwinds

  • Sales forecast range has been updated to $5 billion to $5.2 billion, which includes approximately $200 million of fourth quarter revenue from ESG.
  • Expect full-year EBITDA of between $635 and $670 million, which includes approximately $40 million of Q4 EBITDA from ESG.
  • We reduced corporate and other expenses to about $18 million per quarter in the second half of the year, from our previous run rate of approximately $20 million.
  • We are lowering our full-year tax rate to 19% as we reflect the benefit of several favorable discrete tax items partially offset by unfavorable geographic mix.
  • We expect full-year EPS of $5.85 to $6.25.

Headwinds

  • Free cash flow forecast for the full year is approximately $200 million, impacted by the lower operating income outlook and anticipated higher year end inventories.
  • Expect MP sales to be approximately $1.9 billion for the full year, with nice margins in the range of 14.1% to 14.3%.
  • For AWP, we expect our 2024 sales to total approximately $3 billion, with an operating margin between 11.5% and 11.8% for the full year.
  • We expect to see a sequential volume decline in Q4, mostly reflecting seasonality and fewer working days.
  • The lower volume will put pressure on AWP margins as we reduce production in the fourth quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

29 / 72 earnings

Positive

+26.7%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%+3.3%-6.5%
Q4 2025+16.6%+16.8%+0.3%
Q3 2025-2.3%-19.3%-19.0%
Q1 2025+9.0%+7.0%+23.7%
Q4 2024-3.1%-5.0%-14.6%
Q3 2024-4.7%-5.6%+1.0%
Q2 2024-10.6%-17.7%-13.6%
Q1 2024-1.6%-6.9%+1.8%
Q4 2023-8.0%-13.9%-8.5%
Q3 2023-2.3%-0.1%+6.5%
Q2 2023+2.1%+1.7%+1.4%
Q1 2023+8.0%+4.1%+3.7%
Q4 2022+11.7%+10.0%+3.4%
Q3 2022+10.6%+5.8%+24.8%
Q2 2022+6.3%+9.5%+1.0%
Q1 2022+0.6%+6.1%+3.2%
Q4 2021-3.8%+0.1%-13.0%
Q3 2021+1.7%+1.7%-2.4%
Q2 2021+1.2%+3.6%+10.9%
Q1 2021+2.3%+7.8%+8.7%
Q4 2020+0.6%+2.5%+20.6%
Q3 2020-0.8%+4.5%+28.6%
Q2 2020-3.1%+0.7%+2.6%
Q1 2020-10.1%-12.4%+3.5%
Q4 2019-8.3%-7.9%-40.1%
Q3 2019-4.4%+3.3%-2.6%
Q2 2019-2.1%-14.0%-28.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-1.9%-16.5%
Q4 2018+0.2%+7.1%-0.5%
Q3 2018-6.6%-5.1%-1.0%
Q2 2018-6.6%-5.0%-8.7%
Q1 2018+2.7%+6.8%+8.4%
Q4 2017-3.0%-5.1%-10.2%
Q3 2017-3.9%-1.1%+0.2%
Q2 2017-4.5%+0.2%-2.1%
Q1 2017-5.8%-5.2%-3.7%
Q4 2016-1.8%-5.2%-6.5%
Q3 2016-5.2%-4.1%+28.2%
Q2 2016-3.3%+1.5%+0.6%
Q1 2016-1.9%
Q4 2015+8.1%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014+6.6%
Q3 2014-10.2%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013-3.9%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013-3.8%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012-7.0%
Q3 2012-5.5%
Q2 2012+26.7%
Q1 2012+2.6%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-10.6%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010-7.5%
Q3 2010+3.3%
Q2 2010+7.5%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+6.7%
Q4 2009-2.4%
Q4 2007-2.4%
Q3 2009-2.6%
Q3 2008-2.6%
Q2 2008+8.0%
Q2 2009+8.0%
Q4 2008+8.0%

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