NYSE$TEX

Terex Corporation · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Terex's Q2 2020 earnings were impacted by COVID-19, but the company saw markets stabilize and began to recover, while also taking aggressive cost reduction actions and generating positive free cash flow.

Terex reported a challenging Q2 2020 with revenue down 47% year-over-year due to COVID-19 impacts, but markets stabilized and began to recover. The company achieved a 20% decremental operating margin through aggressive cost reduction actions and generated positive free cash flow of $71 million. Terex is focused on maintaining liquidity and managing costs in line with customer demand.

  • Second quarter sales stabilized, but were below pre-COVID-19 levels.
  • Terex delivered strong overall decremental margin performance of approximately 20%.
  • Over $40 million of SG&A costs were taken out in the second quarter, down 30% year-over-year.
  • Positive free cash flow of $71 million was generated in the quarter through net working capital reduction.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$691M

Previous: $1.31B-47.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.05

Previous: $1.21-104.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.2M

Previous: $75.1M-112.3%
Net Income

-$9.2M

Previous: $75.1M-112.3%
Operating Income

$7.4M

Previous: $126M-94.1%
Gross Profit

$107M

Previous: $272M-60.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$426M

Previous: $368M+15.9%
Total Assets

$2.86B

Previous: $3.6B-20.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.6M

Previous: $12.5M-63.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Terex · Revenue · Quarterly

$691M

Q2 2020-47.2%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Terex · $264M total across 1 segment · Q2 2020

  • Materials Processing
    $264M

Forward guidance

Terex expects revenue over the second half of 2020 to be approximately the same as the first half of this year. The company remains fully committed to aggressively managing its overall cost structure in line with reductions in customer demand, such that we maintain our decremental margin target of 25% for the full year for the Company as a whole and for each of our segments. Based upon current customer demand outlook and cost reductions, Terex expects to be free cash flow positive for calendar year 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Markets have stabilized, although at a much lower level of demand than 2019.
  • Revenue over the second half of 2020 is expected to be approximately the same as the first half of this year.
  • The company is committed to maintaining a decremental margin target of 25% for the full year.
  • Terex expects to be free cash flow positive for calendar year 2020.
  • The company has a $600 million revolving credit facility fully available.

Headwinds

  • Customer demand could change negatively or positively very quickly depending upon developments with respect to the pandemic.
  • The potential for variability of results to expectations is higher than normal.
  • Year-over-year quarterly revenue declines will be greater in AWP versus MP.
  • Fourth quarter decremental margins are expected to be better than the third quarter due to summer shutdowns.
  • Net working capital reductions will be a primary source of second-half 2020 free cash flow generation.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

29 / 72 earnings

Positive

+26.7%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%+3.3%-6.5%
Q4 2025+16.6%+16.8%+0.3%
Q3 2025-2.3%-19.3%-19.0%
Q1 2025+9.0%+7.0%+23.7%
Q4 2024-3.1%-5.0%-14.6%
Q3 2024-4.7%-5.6%+1.0%
Q2 2024-10.6%-17.7%-13.6%
Q1 2024-1.6%-6.9%+1.8%
Q4 2023-8.0%-13.9%-8.5%
Q3 2023-2.3%-0.1%+6.5%
Q2 2023+2.1%+1.7%+1.4%
Q1 2023+8.0%+4.1%+3.7%
Q4 2022+11.7%+10.0%+3.4%
Q3 2022+10.6%+5.8%+24.8%
Q2 2022+6.3%+9.5%+1.0%
Q1 2022+0.6%+6.1%+3.2%
Q4 2021-3.8%+0.1%-13.0%
Q3 2021+1.7%+1.7%-2.4%
Q2 2021+1.2%+3.6%+10.9%
Q1 2021+2.3%+7.8%+8.7%
Q4 2020+0.6%+2.5%+20.6%
Q3 2020-0.8%+4.5%+28.6%
Q2 2020-3.1%+0.7%+2.6%
Q1 2020-10.1%-12.4%+3.5%
Q4 2019-8.3%-7.9%-40.1%
Q3 2019-4.4%+3.3%-2.6%
Q2 2019-2.1%-14.0%-28.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-1.9%-16.5%
Q4 2018+0.2%+7.1%-0.5%
Q3 2018-6.6%-5.1%-1.0%
Q2 2018-6.6%-5.0%-8.7%
Q1 2018+2.7%+6.8%+8.4%
Q4 2017-3.0%-5.1%-10.2%
Q3 2017-3.9%-1.1%+0.2%
Q2 2017-4.5%+0.2%-2.1%
Q1 2017-5.8%-5.2%-3.7%
Q4 2016-1.8%-5.2%-6.5%
Q3 2016-5.2%-4.1%+28.2%
Q2 2016-3.3%+1.5%+0.6%
Q1 2016-1.9%
Q4 2015+8.1%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014+6.6%
Q3 2014-10.2%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013-3.9%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013-3.8%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012-7.0%
Q3 2012-5.5%
Q2 2012+26.7%
Q1 2012+2.6%
Q4 2011-2.3%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-10.6%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010-7.5%
Q3 2010+3.3%
Q2 2010+7.5%
Q1 2009+1.3%
Q1 2010+6.7%
Q4 2009-2.4%
Q4 2007-2.4%
Q3 2009-2.6%
Q3 2008-2.6%
Q2 2008+8.0%
Q2 2009+8.0%
Q4 2008+8.0%

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