NYSE$SM

SM Energy Co · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced Q4 and full year 2023 operating and financial results, year-end 2023 estimated net proved reserves, and its 2024 operating plan.

SM Energy reported strong Q4 2023 results with a net income of $247.1 million, or $2.12 per diluted common share, and net production of 14.1 MMBoe, or 153.5 MBoe/d. The company ended the year with record net proved reserves of 605 MMBoe and a strengthened balance sheet, achieving its target of less than $1 billion net debt.

  • Net income for Q4 2023 was $247.1 million, or $2.12 per diluted common share.
  • Adjusted EBITDAX for Q4 2023 was $445.1 million.
  • Q4 2023 net production was 14.1 MMBoe, or 153.5 MBoe/d.
  • The Company ended 2023 with cash and cash equivalents of $616.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$609M

Previous: $671M-9.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.56

Previous: $1.29+20.9%
Total Production

14.1M

Previous: 13.1M+7.4%
Oil Production

6.1M

Previous: 5.7M+6.5%
Gas Production

33.5B

Previous: 32.1B+4.3%
NGL Production

2.5M

Previous: 2.1M+17.8%
Adjusted EBITDAX

$445M

Previous: $374M+19.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$223M

No prior period
Net Income

$247M

Previous: $258M-4.4%
Operating Income

$310M

Previous: $343M-9.6%
Gross Profit

$280M

Previous: $375M-25.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.73M

Previous: $4.91M+16.6%

Revenue & EPS history

SM Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$609M

Q4 2023-9.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

SM Energy's 2024 operating plan targets value creation through operational execution, returning capital to stockholders, and maintaining portfolio quality, with capital expenditures expected to range between $1.16 and $1.20 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Focusing on operational execution to deliver low breakeven, high return wells.
  • Returning capital to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends.
  • Maintaining and expanding portfolio quality and depth.
  • Net production volumes are expected to range between 56-59 MMBoe.
  • Capital program is expected to increase the allocation to Midland Basin activity.

Headwinds

  • Capital expenditures adjusted for capital accruals are expected to range between $1.16 and $1.20 billion, excluding acquisitions.
  • Capital expenditures are weighted to the first half of the year, which includes approximately 60% of 2024 well completions.
  • Net production is expected to be approximately 13.0 MMBoe, or approximately 143 MBoe/d, at 43%-44% oil, which includes the effect of adverse weather during January.
  • LOE is expected to average between $5.30-$5.60/Boe, which includes workover activity.
  • DD&A is expected to average between $12-$13/Boe.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.3%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+114.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q4 2025-3.9%+9.3%+48.4%
Q3 2025-5.8%-12.5%-3.3%
Q1 2025-3.9%-10.4%-1.1%
Q4 2024-4.4%-14.8%-21.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-3.3%+6.3%
Q2 2024+11.2%+14.0%+3.2%
Q1 2024+6.4%+8.6%+7.0%
Q4 2023+6.5%+6.9%+25.5%
Q3 2023+2.3%-5.1%-4.2%
Q2 2023+3.4%+7.6%+19.0%
Q1 2023+7.1%+0.7%+5.0%
Q4 2022-0.6%+1.0%-11.0%
Q3 2022+4.3%+8.8%-6.9%
Q2 2022-6.0%-5.1%+9.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+7.8%+42.5%
Q4 2021-5.2%+9.2%+23.7%
Q3 2021+6.4%+13.0%-11.1%
Q2 2021-0.1%+1.4%+1.8%
Q1 2021-12.9%-9.7%+9.6%
Q4 2020-20.4%-3.9%+31.7%
Q3 2020+15.0%+31.4%+224.3%
Q2 2020-19.4%-21.9%-28.7%
Q1 2020+114.3%+88.9%+86.2%
Q4 2019+1.4%-11.3%-85.8%
Q3 2019+5.3%+22.4%+4.5%
Q2 2019+0.2%-1.2%-4.9%
Q1 2019-7.4%-4.3%-27.0%
Q4 2018-10.8%-11.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-4.4%-0.2%-16.2%
Q2 2018+3.6%+4.7%+9.4%
Q1 2018-0.9%+1.6%-2.8%
Q4 2017-11.6%-6.4%-14.9%
Q3 2017-0.3%-0.2%+2.0%
Q2 2017-6.0%-9.4%-15.4%
Q1 2017-4.9%-6.1%-25.4%
Q4 2016-7.8%-10.7%-24.6%
Q3 2016-3.5%-8.7%+19.4%
Q2 2016+18.7%+16.3%+49.1%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+16.9%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+12.9%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014-5.6%
Q4 2013-13.7%
Q3 2013+4.1%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013-5.5%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+12.0%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011+5.0%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010-11.6%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q4 2008+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q3 2009+9.6%
Q3 2010+9.6%
Q2 2010-3.7%
Q2 2009-3.7%
Q4 2009-3.7%

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