NYSE$SM

SM Energy Co · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth quarter and full year 2022 operating and financial results, year-end 2022 estimated proved reserves and its 2023 operating plan.

SM Energy reported a net income of $258.5 million, or $2.09 per diluted common share, for the fourth quarter of 2022. The company's fourth quarter production was 13.1 MMBoe or 142.9 MBoe/d. Cash and cash equivalents at year-end 2022 were $445.0 million.

  • Net income for the fourth quarter 2022 was $258.5 million, or $2.09 per diluted common share.
  • The Company repurchased 1,365,255 shares from announcement of its return of capital program on September 7, 2022 through year-end and initiated payment of the $0.15 quarterly dividend on November 7, 2022.
  • Fourth quarter production was 13.1 MMBoe or 142.9 MBoe/d.
  • Cash and cash equivalents at year-end 2022 were $445.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$671M

Previous: $855M-21.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.29

Previous: $1.14+13.2%
Total Production

13.1M

Previous: 14.6M-10.0%
Oil Production

5.7M

Previous: 7.8M-26.6%
Gas Production

32.1B

Previous: 31.3B+2.7%
NGL Production

2.1M

Previous: 1.6M+32.2%
Adjusted EBITDAX

$374M

Previous: $407M-8.1%
Net Income

$258M

Previous: $425M-39.2%
Operating Income

$343M

Previous: $474M-27.8%
Gross Profit

$375M

Previous: $509M-26.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$445M

Previous: $333M+33.7%
Total Assets

$5.72B

Previous: $5.23B+9.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.91M

Previous: $4.63M+6.2%

Revenue & EPS history

SM Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$671M

Q4 2022-21.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

SM Energy expects production volumes year-over-year to remain flat to low single digit growth at 52.5-54.5 MMBoe, or 144-150 MBoe/d at 43% oil. Capital expenditures adjusted for capital accruals are expected to be approximately $1.1 billion, excluding acquisitions.

Tailwinds

  • Production volumes year-over-year are expected to remain flat to low single digit growth at 52.5-54.5 MMBoe, or 144-150 MBoe/d at 43% oil.
  • Capital expenditures adjusted for capital accruals are expected to be approximately $1.1 billion, excluding acquisitions.
  • The capital program increased the allocation to Midland Basin activity due to the expectation of lower natural gas prices in 2023.
  • Total net wells drilled is expected to approximate 85-90, roughly split equally between Midland Basin and South Texas.
  • South Texas activity is expected to be concentrated on Austin Chalk development.

Headwinds

  • Price deck approximates early February strip prices at $80.00 per Bbl WTI; $3.00 per MMBtu natural gas; $34.00 per Bbl NGLs.
  • Hedges currently in place.
  • Processing ethane for the full year.
  • LOE is expected to average between $5.75-6.00/Boe, which includes workover activity.
  • Transportation is expected to approximate $2.50/Boe, which includes a reduction to South Texas natural gas transportation costs of approximately $0.35/Mcf starting in July 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.3%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+114.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q4 2025-3.9%+9.3%+48.4%
Q3 2025-5.8%-12.5%-3.3%
Q1 2025-3.9%-10.4%-1.1%
Q4 2024-4.4%-14.8%-21.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-3.3%+6.3%
Q2 2024+11.2%+14.0%+3.2%
Q1 2024+6.4%+8.6%+7.0%
Q4 2023+6.5%+6.9%+25.5%
Q3 2023+2.3%-5.1%-4.2%
Q2 2023+3.4%+7.6%+19.0%
Q1 2023+7.1%+0.7%+5.0%
Q4 2022-0.6%+1.0%-11.0%
Q3 2022+4.3%+8.8%-6.9%
Q2 2022-6.0%-5.1%+9.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+7.8%+42.5%
Q4 2021-5.2%+9.2%+23.7%
Q3 2021+6.4%+13.0%-11.1%
Q2 2021-0.1%+1.4%+1.8%
Q1 2021-12.9%-9.7%+9.6%
Q4 2020-20.4%-3.9%+31.7%
Q3 2020+15.0%+31.4%+224.3%
Q2 2020-19.4%-21.9%-28.7%
Q1 2020+114.3%+88.9%+86.2%
Q4 2019+1.4%-11.3%-85.8%
Q3 2019+5.3%+22.4%+4.5%
Q2 2019+0.2%-1.2%-4.9%
Q1 2019-7.4%-4.3%-27.0%
Q4 2018-10.8%-11.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-4.4%-0.2%-16.2%
Q2 2018+3.6%+4.7%+9.4%
Q1 2018-0.9%+1.6%-2.8%
Q4 2017-11.6%-6.4%-14.9%
Q3 2017-0.3%-0.2%+2.0%
Q2 2017-6.0%-9.4%-15.4%
Q1 2017-4.9%-6.1%-25.4%
Q4 2016-7.8%-10.7%-24.6%
Q3 2016-3.5%-8.7%+19.4%
Q2 2016+18.7%+16.3%+49.1%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+16.9%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+12.9%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014-5.6%
Q4 2013-13.7%
Q3 2013+4.1%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013-5.5%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+12.0%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011+5.0%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010-11.6%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q4 2008+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q3 2009+9.6%
Q3 2010+9.6%
Q2 2010-3.7%
Q2 2009-3.7%
Q4 2009-3.7%

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