NYSE$SM

SM Energy Co · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

SM Energy reported strong Q3 2025 results with record production and solid financial performance despite lower oil prices.

SM Energy delivered robust third-quarter results driven by record production volumes and high oil content, offsetting lower commodity prices. Adjusted EBITDAX increased 22% year-over-year, while the company generated strong free cash flow and reduced leverage.

  • Total production reached 19.7 MMBoe, or 213.8 MBoe/d, with oil production at 113.9 MBbl/d
  • Net income was $155.1 million and adjusted EBITDAX was $588.2 million
  • Adjusted free cash flow increased 80% YoY to $234.3 million
  • Cash balance increased to $162.3 million, while Net Debt-to-EBITDAX improved to 1.1x

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$811M

Previous: $644M+26.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.33

Previous: $2.09-36.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.24B

Previous: -$958M-29.8%
Free Cash Flow

$234M

Previous: -$717M+132.7%
Net Income

$155M

Previous: $241M-35.5%
Operating Income

$246M

Previous: $331M-25.5%

Revenue & EPS history

SM Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$811M

Q3 2025+26%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

SM Energy narrowed full-year production guidance and increased capex due to acquisitions of additional working interests. Q4 2025 production is guided slightly lower sequentially.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year production guidance narrowed to 207-208 MBoe/d with 53-54% oil mix
  • LOE guidance reduced to ~$5.85 per Boe
  • Transportation and tax expenses lowered
  • Increased working interests in high-return wells
  • Strong inventory quality across all three basins

Headwinds

  • Capital expenditures raised to $1.375–$1.395 billion for FY25
  • Q4 production expected to decline to 206–212 MBoe/d
  • Lower realized oil prices impacting margins
  • Increased DD&A from higher Uinta Basin contribution
  • Interest expense remains elevated due to recent note issuance

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.3%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+114.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q4 2025-3.9%+9.3%+48.4%
Q3 2025-5.8%-12.5%-3.3%
Q1 2025-3.9%-10.4%-1.1%
Q4 2024-4.4%-14.8%-21.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-3.3%+6.3%
Q2 2024+11.2%+14.0%+3.2%
Q1 2024+6.4%+8.6%+7.0%
Q4 2023+6.5%+6.9%+25.5%
Q3 2023+2.3%-5.1%-4.2%
Q2 2023+3.4%+7.6%+19.0%
Q1 2023+7.1%+0.7%+5.0%
Q4 2022-0.6%+1.0%-11.0%
Q3 2022+4.3%+8.8%-6.9%
Q2 2022-6.0%-5.1%+9.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+7.8%+42.5%
Q4 2021-5.2%+9.2%+23.7%
Q3 2021+6.4%+13.0%-11.1%
Q2 2021-0.1%+1.4%+1.8%
Q1 2021-12.9%-9.7%+9.6%
Q4 2020-20.4%-3.9%+31.7%
Q3 2020+15.0%+31.4%+224.3%
Q2 2020-19.4%-21.9%-28.7%
Q1 2020+114.3%+88.9%+86.2%
Q4 2019+1.4%-11.3%-85.8%
Q3 2019+5.3%+22.4%+4.5%
Q2 2019+0.2%-1.2%-4.9%
Q1 2019-7.4%-4.3%-27.0%
Q4 2018-10.8%-11.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-4.4%-0.2%-16.2%
Q2 2018+3.6%+4.7%+9.4%
Q1 2018-0.9%+1.6%-2.8%
Q4 2017-11.6%-6.4%-14.9%
Q3 2017-0.3%-0.2%+2.0%
Q2 2017-6.0%-9.4%-15.4%
Q1 2017-4.9%-6.1%-25.4%
Q4 2016-7.8%-10.7%-24.6%
Q3 2016-3.5%-8.7%+19.4%
Q2 2016+18.7%+16.3%+49.1%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+16.9%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+12.9%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014-5.6%
Q4 2013-13.7%
Q3 2013+4.1%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013-5.5%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+12.0%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011+5.0%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010-11.6%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q4 2008+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q3 2009+9.6%
Q3 2010+9.6%
Q2 2010-3.7%
Q2 2009-3.7%
Q4 2009-3.7%

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