NYSE$SM

SM Energy Co · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong operational execution, increased return of capital, and closed transactions adding 22,800 net midland acres.

SM Energy reported a solid financial performance for Q2 2023, marked by strong operational execution and increased capital returns to stockholders. Net income reached $149.9 million, with production exceeding guidance at 14.1 MMBoe. The company also strategically acquired acreage to support future growth.

  • Net income was $149.9 million, or $1.25 per diluted common share.
  • Production for the second quarter 2023 was 14.1 MMBoe, or 154.4 MBoe/d, at 42% oil, exceeding guidance.
  • Returned $86.8 million to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends.
  • Acquired approximately 20,000 net acres in Dawson and north Martin Counties, Texas.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$551M

Previous: $992M-44.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.28

Previous: $2.19-41.6%
Total Production

14.1M

Previous: 13.3M+5.7%
Oil Production

5.9M

Previous: 6.1M-4.4%
Gas Production

33.7B

Previous: 31.5M+106861.3%
NGL Production

2.6M

Previous: 1.9M+31.6%
Adjusted EBITDAX

$390M

Previous: $560M-30.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$639M

Previous: -$366M-74.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$489M

Previous: -$42.3M-1057.1%
Net Income

$150M

Previous: $323M-53.7%
Operating Income

$209M

Previous: $513M-59.2%
Gross Profit

$405M

Previous: $827M-51.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$378M

Previous: $267M+41.6%
Total Assets

$5.99B

Previous: $5.34B+12.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.16M

Previous: $4.48M-7.1%

Revenue & EPS history

SM Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$551M

Q2 2023-44.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

SM Energy provided guidance for the full year and third quarter of 2023, including production and capital expenditure forecasts.

Tailwinds

  • Full year 2023 production is expected to be 53.5-55.5 MMBoe, or 147-152 MBoe/d at 43%-44% oil.
  • Third quarter 2023 production is expected to be approximately 14.0 MMboe or 152 MBoe/d, at approximately 44% oil and 60%-61% liquids.
  • Full year 2023 LOE is expected to be $5.25-$5.50 per Boe.
  • Third quarter 2023 capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $235-240 million.
  • Plans to drill approximately 22 net wells and turn-in-line approximately 28 net wells in the third quarter of 2023.

Headwinds

  • Capital expenditures for full year 2023 (net of the change in capital accruals), excluding acquisitions: $1,050 million
  • Exploration expense for full year 2023: ~$60 million, inclusive of additional geologic and geophysical expenses associated with acquisitions
  • Transportation per Boe at ~$2.50
  • Production and ad valorem taxes per Boe at $2.90-$3.00
  • G&A ~$120 million, including $15-20 million for non-cash compensation; and, DD&A $12-$13 per Boe

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.3%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+114.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q4 2025-3.9%+9.3%+48.4%
Q3 2025-5.8%-12.5%-3.3%
Q1 2025-3.9%-10.4%-1.1%
Q4 2024-4.4%-14.8%-21.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-3.3%+6.3%
Q2 2024+11.2%+14.0%+3.2%
Q1 2024+6.4%+8.6%+7.0%
Q4 2023+6.5%+6.9%+25.5%
Q3 2023+2.3%-5.1%-4.2%
Q2 2023+3.4%+7.6%+19.0%
Q1 2023+7.1%+0.7%+5.0%
Q4 2022-0.6%+1.0%-11.0%
Q3 2022+4.3%+8.8%-6.9%
Q2 2022-6.0%-5.1%+9.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+7.8%+42.5%
Q4 2021-5.2%+9.2%+23.7%
Q3 2021+6.4%+13.0%-11.1%
Q2 2021-0.1%+1.4%+1.8%
Q1 2021-12.9%-9.7%+9.6%
Q4 2020-20.4%-3.9%+31.7%
Q3 2020+15.0%+31.4%+224.3%
Q2 2020-19.4%-21.9%-28.7%
Q1 2020+114.3%+88.9%+86.2%
Q4 2019+1.4%-11.3%-85.8%
Q3 2019+5.3%+22.4%+4.5%
Q2 2019+0.2%-1.2%-4.9%
Q1 2019-7.4%-4.3%-27.0%
Q4 2018-10.8%-11.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-4.4%-0.2%-16.2%
Q2 2018+3.6%+4.7%+9.4%
Q1 2018-0.9%+1.6%-2.8%
Q4 2017-11.6%-6.4%-14.9%
Q3 2017-0.3%-0.2%+2.0%
Q2 2017-6.0%-9.4%-15.4%
Q1 2017-4.9%-6.1%-25.4%
Q4 2016-7.8%-10.7%-24.6%
Q3 2016-3.5%-8.7%+19.4%
Q2 2016+18.7%+16.3%+49.1%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+16.9%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+12.9%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014-5.6%
Q4 2013-13.7%
Q3 2013+4.1%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013-5.5%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+12.0%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011+5.0%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010-11.6%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q4 2008+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q3 2009+9.6%
Q3 2010+9.6%
Q2 2010-3.7%
Q2 2009-3.7%
Q4 2009-3.7%

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