NYSE$SM

SM Energy Co · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported operating and financial results, initiated a return of capital program, and provided guidance.

SM Energy reported strong Q3 2022 results, with a net income of $481.2 million and adjusted EBITDAX of $460.2 million. The company initiated a return of capital program, including share buybacks and an increased fixed dividend. Production volumes were 12.7 MMBoe, or 137.8 MBoe/d, with 45% oil.

  • Net income in the third quarter was $481.2 million, or $3.87 per diluted common share.
  • Net-debt-to-adjusted EBITDAX was reduced to 0.6 times at third quarter end.
  • The Company launched a return of capital program that includes an increase in the fixed dividend to $0.60 per share annually, to be paid in quarterly increments of $0.15 per share, and authorization for share repurchases of up to $500.0 million.
  • Third quarter capital expenditures totaled $238.9 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$835M

Previous: $760M+9.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.82

Previous: $0.74+145.9%
Total Production

12.7M

Previous: 14.3M-11.3%
Oil Production

5.7M

Previous: 8.1M-29.6%
Gas Production

31.0M

Previous: 29.1B-99.9%
NGL Production

1.8M

Previous: 1.4M+29.7%
Adjusted EBITDAX

$460M

Previous: $347M+32.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$592M

Previous: -$554M-6.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$111M

Previous: -$468M+76.4%
Net Income

$481M

Previous: $85.6M+462.2%
Operating Income

$622M

Previous: $126M+392.9%
Gross Profit

$675M

Previous: $624M+8.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$498M

Previous: $29.8M+1572.6%
Total Assets

$5.65B

Previous: $5.06B+11.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.11M

Previous: $4.5M+13.5%

Revenue & EPS history

SM Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$835M

Q3 2022+9.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company provided full year and fourth quarter 2022 guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Full year capital expenditures (net of the change in capital accruals): $870-900 million, unchanged.
  • Fourth quarter capital expenditures (net of the change in capital accruals): $228-258 million.
  • Full year production: 52.5-53.0 MMBoe or 144-145 MBoe/d, at ~46% oil.
  • Fourth quarter production: 12.7-13.2 MMBoe, or 138-143 MBoe/d, at ~44% oil.
  • DD&A: ~$11.50/Boe, unchanged: Fourth quarter ~$11.50/Boe.

Headwinds

  • LOE: $5.10-$5.15/Boe, reflecting higher second half inflation. Fourth quarter ~$5.60/Boe.
  • Transportation: ~$3.00/Boe, unchanged. Fourth quarter ~$3.25/Boe.
  • Production and ad valorem taxes: ~$3.90/Boe, increased due to higher mid-year commodity prices and higher property tax assessments, respectively. Fourth quarter ~$3.50/Boe.
  • Exploration expense: ~$55 million, up slightly.
  • G&A: ~$110 million, unchanged.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.3%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+114.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q4 2025-3.9%+9.3%+48.4%
Q3 2025-5.8%-12.5%-3.3%
Q1 2025-3.9%-10.4%-1.1%
Q4 2024-4.4%-14.8%-21.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-3.3%+6.3%
Q2 2024+11.2%+14.0%+3.2%
Q1 2024+6.4%+8.6%+7.0%
Q4 2023+6.5%+6.9%+25.5%
Q3 2023+2.3%-5.1%-4.2%
Q2 2023+3.4%+7.6%+19.0%
Q1 2023+7.1%+0.7%+5.0%
Q4 2022-0.6%+1.0%-11.0%
Q3 2022+4.3%+8.8%-6.9%
Q2 2022-6.0%-5.1%+9.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+7.8%+42.5%
Q4 2021-5.2%+9.2%+23.7%
Q3 2021+6.4%+13.0%-11.1%
Q2 2021-0.1%+1.4%+1.8%
Q1 2021-12.9%-9.7%+9.6%
Q4 2020-20.4%-3.9%+31.7%
Q3 2020+15.0%+31.4%+224.3%
Q2 2020-19.4%-21.9%-28.7%
Q1 2020+114.3%+88.9%+86.2%
Q4 2019+1.4%-11.3%-85.8%
Q3 2019+5.3%+22.4%+4.5%
Q2 2019+0.2%-1.2%-4.9%
Q1 2019-7.4%-4.3%-27.0%
Q4 2018-10.8%-11.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-4.4%-0.2%-16.2%
Q2 2018+3.6%+4.7%+9.4%
Q1 2018-0.9%+1.6%-2.8%
Q4 2017-11.6%-6.4%-14.9%
Q3 2017-0.3%-0.2%+2.0%
Q2 2017-6.0%-9.4%-15.4%
Q1 2017-4.9%-6.1%-25.4%
Q4 2016-7.8%-10.7%-24.6%
Q3 2016-3.5%-8.7%+19.4%
Q2 2016+18.7%+16.3%+49.1%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+16.9%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+12.9%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014-5.6%
Q4 2013-13.7%
Q3 2013+4.1%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013-5.5%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+12.0%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011+5.0%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q2 2011-4.6%
Q1 2010-11.6%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q4 2008+7.1%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q3 2009+9.6%
Q3 2010+9.6%
Q2 2010-3.7%
Q2 2009-3.7%
Q4 2009-3.7%

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