NYSE$SLVM

Sylvamo Corp. · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sylvamo's Q2 2024 earnings exceeded expectations, driven by favorable price and mix, and improved operational efficiency.

Sylvamo reported a net income of $83 million, or $1.98 per diluted share, and an adjusted EBITDA of $164 million. The company benefited from improved price and mix, volume increases in Latin America, and lower operating costs.

  • Net income reached $83 million ($1.98 per diluted share) compared to $43 million ($1.02 per diluted share) in the previous quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $164 million (18% margin) versus $118 million (13% margin) in the first quarter.
  • Cash from operating activities was $115 million, a significant increase from $27 million in the prior quarter.
  • Free cash flow improved to $62 million from $(33) million in the first quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$933M

Previous: $919M+1.5%
EPS

$1.98

Previous: $1.14+73.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$164M

Previous: $124M+32.3%
Free cash flow

$62M

Previous: $33M+87.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$113M

Previous: -$105M-7.6%
Net Income

$83M

Previous: $49M+69.4%
Operating Income

-$767M

Previous: -$786M+2.4%
Gross Profit

-$681M

Previous: -$719M+5.3%
Total Assets

$2.69B

Previous: $2.82B-4.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $8M-37.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Sylvamo · Revenue · Quarterly

$933M

Q2 2024+1.5%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sylvamo · $906M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America
    $476M-19.2%
  • Latin America
    $246M-8.9%
  • Europe
    $184M+41.5%

Forward guidance

Sylvamo anticipates an adjusted EBITDA between $170 million and $185 million for the third quarter of 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Volume is projected to increase by $10 million to $15 million, driven by Latin America and North America
  • Total planned maintenance outage expenses are expected to decrease by $28 million
  • Company refinanced long-term debt to extend debt maturity and take advantage of favorable financing market
  • Board of directors declared a 50% dividend increase for the third quarter from $0.30 per share to $0.45 per share
  • Company is on target to achieve run rate savings of $110 million by the end of 2024.

Headwinds

  • Price and mix are expected to be slightly unfavorable up to $5 million due to mix
  • Operations and other costs are expected to increase by $10 million to $15 million due primarily to higher unabsorbed fixed costs from economic downtime
  • Input and transportation costs are projected to increase by $5 million to $10 million due to fiber in Latin America and energy in North America
  • Uncoated freesheet conditions improved in the first half of the year, with year-over-year demand down slightly in Latin America.
  • Company continues to develop a pipeline of more than $200 million of high-return capital projects, which will allow company to grow earnings and cash flows as company reinvests in business in the coming years.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

13 / 22 earnings

Positive

+23.3%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-17.0%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.2%-12.5%-12.3%
Q4 2025+5.1%-9.5%-20.3%
Q3 2025+0.1%+8.7%+13.1%
Q1 2025-12.6%-6.1%-10.6%
Q4 2024-7.3%-5.2%-14.1%
Q3 2024-14.7%-11.4%-6.5%
Q2 2024+11.3%+13.0%+10.3%
Q1 2024+2.7%+6.1%+6.0%
Q4 2023+23.3%+20.8%+24.7%
Q3 2023+7.4%+10.5%+18.4%
Q2 2023-17.0%-16.4%-15.6%
Q1 2023-7.9%-7.3%-5.2%
Q4 2022-1.3%-1.1%+2.9%
Q3 2022+8.4%+13.7%+32.3%
Q2 2022+3.0%+4.9%-8.0%
Q1 2021+6.7%+8.7%+4.1%
Q1 2022+14.4%+20.7%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.0%-8.8%+1.5%
Q4 2019-5.0%-8.8%+1.5%
Q4 2021+7.1%+13.6%-2.9%
Q4 2020+6.5%+10.1%+1.3%
Q3 2021+4.2%+11.0%+5.6%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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