NYSE$ROK

Rockwell Automation Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rockwell Automation reported strong Q4 2022 results, with double-digit growth in organic sales and earnings, driven by compelling customer value amidst supply chain challenges and inflation.

Rockwell Automation reported a strong finish to fiscal year 2022, with Q4 organic sales up 20.5% year-over-year and diluted EPS at $2.91, up over 300% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS was $3.04, a 30% increase year-over-year. The company introduced fiscal 2023 guidance, projecting continued growth.

  • Fourth quarter reported sales increased by 17.6% year-over-year, with organic sales up 20.5%.
  • Diluted EPS for the fourth quarter was $2.91, up over 300% year-over-year; Adjusted EPS was $3.04, up 30% year-over-year.
  • Full year orders exceeded $10 billion, representing a growth of over 20% year-over-year.
  • ARR grew 14% year-over-year, with total ARR exceeding 8% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.13B

Previous: $1.81B+17.6%
EPS (adj)

$3.04

Previous: $2.33+30.5%
Pre-Tax Margin

19.1%

Previous: 0.2%+9450.0%
Segment Operating Margin

23.3%

Previous: 17.9%+30.2%
Effective Tax Rate

17.2%

Previous: -1634.9%+101.1%
Capital Expenditures

$40.8M

Previous: $43.7M-6.6%
Free Cash Flow

$359M

Previous: $160M+123.8%
Net Income

$336M

Previous: $74.6M+350.4%
Operating Income

$406M

Previous: $4.3M+9337.2%
Gross Profit

$886M

Previous: $719M+23.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$491M

Previous: $662M-25.9%
Total Assets

$10.8B

Previous: $10.7B+0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.3M

Previous: $13.8M+39.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Rockwell Automation · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.13B

Q4 2022+17.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rockwell Automation · $1.47B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Intelligent Devices
    $957M+11.7%
  • Lifecycle Services
    $512M+12.1%

Forward guidance

Rockwell Automation anticipates continued growth in fiscal year 2023, with reported sales growth of 7.5% - 11.5% and diluted EPS of $9.54 - $10.34. The guidance reflects record backlog and assumes continued supply chain stabilization.

Tailwinds

  • Record backlog.
  • Underlying customer demand.
  • More resilient operating model.
  • Reported sales growth of 7.5% - 11.5%.
  • Organic sales growth of 9.0% - 13.0%.

Headwinds

  • Assumes continued supply chain stabilization.
  • Currency translation impact of approximately (2.5)%.
  • Inorganic sales growth of approximately 1.0%.
  • Potential for volatility in quarterly earnings due to investment in PTC Inc.
  • Risks related to security vulnerabilities and breaches of hardware and software products.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.6%+13.2%+14.4%
Q1 2026-5.4%-4.0%-14.0%
Q4 2025+2.8%+8.1%+11.5%
Q3 2025-5.0%-4.7%-1.8%
Q2 2025+12.0%+18.5%+28.2%
Q1 2025+12.6%+9.7%-2.4%
Q4 2024-7.4%-5.5%+0.5%
Q3 2024+3.3%+0.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024-1.4%-1.4%-8.0%
Q1 2024-14.4%-13.3%-5.9%
Q4 2023-1.2%-3.7%+5.4%
Q3 2023-9.5%-11.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+4.7%+3.1%+5.8%
Q1 2023+3.0%+1.4%+4.4%
Q4 2022-5.0%-1.9%+3.8%
Q3 2022+12.7%+15.1%+8.0%
Q2 2022-11.1%-14.2%-12.0%
Q1 2022-4.5%-2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+6.1%+6.0%+7.4%
Q3 2021+0.5%+3.2%+7.4%
Q2 2021-0.3%-2.8%-1.8%
Q1 2021-7.6%-4.7%-6.3%
Q4 2020-4.9%-5.9%-3.1%
Q3 2020-3.5%-4.7%+1.3%
Q2 2020+8.4%+0.8%+19.1%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.1%-6.7%
Q4 2019+10.5%+11.8%+14.7%
Q3 2019-2.5%-2.1%-12.4%
Q2 2019-5.5%-4.3%-18.1%
Q1 2019+5.3%+3.5%+9.4%
Q4 2018-2.7%-6.3%-8.8%
Q3 2018+8.0%+7.2%+2.7%
Q2 2018+2.0%+1.6%+9.9%
Q1 2018-2.4%-2.4%-9.4%
Q4 2017-5.5%-4.1%-4.0%
Q3 2017+1.1%+1.2%-2.1%
Q2 2017-0.5%-2.3%-0.5%
Q1 2017+7.7%+5.1%+6.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+12.0%+18.2%
Q3 2016-3.7%-5.5%-2.3%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015+7.9%
Q1 2015+2.6%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014-6.9%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+7.0%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+4.5%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+0.1%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-11.8%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q4 2010+3.8%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2009+2.0%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q2 2009-1.3%
Q4 2009-1.3%
Q4 2007-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%

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