NYSE$ROK

Rockwell Automation Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rockwell Automation reported strong Q4 2023 results, with sales and earnings growth and introduced fiscal 2024 guidance.

Rockwell Automation reported a strong fourth quarter with a 20.5% increase in sales and a 19.7% increase in adjusted EPS. The company's performance was driven by strong execution and improved lead times, with double-digit sales growth in all regions and business segments. Fiscal 2024 guidance was introduced, projecting continued growth.

  • Fourth quarter reported sales up 20.5% year over year, with organic sales up 17.7%.
  • Fourth quarter diluted EPS of $2.61, down (10)% year over year; adjusted EPS of $3.64, up 20% year over year.
  • Full year reported sales up 16.7% year over year; organic sales up 16.9% year over year.
  • Total ARR grew 16% year over year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.56B

Previous: $2.13B+20.6%
EPS (adj)

$3.64

Previous: $3.04+19.7%
Pre-Tax Margin

12.4%

Previous: 19.1%-35.1%
Segment Operating Margin

22.3%

Previous: 23.3%-4.3%
Effective Tax Rate

35.2%

Previous: 17.2%+104.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$63.2M

Previous: $40.8M-254.9%
Free Cash Flow

$776M

Previous: $359M+116.2%
Net Income

$303M

Previous: $336M-9.8%
Operating Income

$572M

Previous: $406M+41.0%
Gross Profit

$1.06B

Previous: $886M+19.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.07B

Previous: $491M+118.4%
Total Assets

$11.3B

Previous: $10.8B+5.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$23.3M

Previous: $19.3M+20.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Rockwell Automation · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.56B

Q4 2023+20.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rockwell Automation · $1.74B total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Intelligent Devices
    $1.17B+22.4%
  • Lifecycle Services
    $571M+11.5%

Forward guidance

Rockwell Automation provided fiscal year 2024 guidance, including reported sales growth of 0.5% - 6.5%, organic sales growth of (2.0)% - 4.0%, and diluted EPS of $11.49 - $12.99; Adjusted EPS of $12.00 - $13.50.

Tailwinds

  • Confident in Rockwell’s ability to grow share
  • Helping customers scale new production facilities
  • Addressing workforce challenges
  • Strengthening overall business resilience with new technologies and services
  • Streamlined organization and strong focus on productivity enable us to continue to grow earnings

Headwinds

  • Dynamic macro environment
  • Order normalization
  • Sales Growth Guidance: Reported sales growth of 0.5% - 6.5%
  • Sales Growth Guidance: Organic sales growth of (2.0)% - 4.0%
  • Diluted EPS Guidance: $11.49 - $12.99

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.6%+13.2%+14.4%
Q1 2026-5.4%-4.0%-14.0%
Q4 2025+2.8%+8.1%+11.5%
Q3 2025-5.0%-4.7%-1.8%
Q2 2025+12.0%+18.5%+28.2%
Q1 2025+12.6%+9.7%-2.4%
Q4 2024-7.4%-5.5%+0.5%
Q3 2024+3.3%+0.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024-1.4%-1.4%-8.0%
Q1 2024-14.4%-13.3%-5.9%
Q4 2023-1.2%-3.7%+5.4%
Q3 2023-9.5%-11.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+4.7%+3.1%+5.8%
Q1 2023+3.0%+1.4%+4.4%
Q4 2022-5.0%-1.9%+3.8%
Q3 2022+12.7%+15.1%+8.0%
Q2 2022-11.1%-14.2%-12.0%
Q1 2022-4.5%-2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+6.1%+6.0%+7.4%
Q3 2021+0.5%+3.2%+7.4%
Q2 2021-0.3%-2.8%-1.8%
Q1 2021-7.6%-4.7%-6.3%
Q4 2020-4.9%-5.9%-3.1%
Q3 2020-3.5%-4.7%+1.3%
Q2 2020+8.4%+0.8%+19.1%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.1%-6.7%
Q4 2019+10.5%+11.8%+14.7%
Q3 2019-2.5%-2.1%-12.4%
Q2 2019-5.5%-4.3%-18.1%
Q1 2019+5.3%+3.5%+9.4%
Q4 2018-2.7%-6.3%-8.8%
Q3 2018+8.0%+7.2%+2.7%
Q2 2018+2.0%+1.6%+9.9%
Q1 2018-2.4%-2.4%-9.4%
Q4 2017-5.5%-4.1%-4.0%
Q3 2017+1.1%+1.2%-2.1%
Q2 2017-0.5%-2.3%-0.5%
Q1 2017+7.7%+5.1%+6.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+12.0%+18.2%
Q3 2016-3.7%-5.5%-2.3%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015+7.9%
Q1 2015+2.6%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014-6.9%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+7.0%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+4.5%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+0.1%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-11.8%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q4 2010+3.8%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2009+2.0%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q2 2009-1.3%
Q4 2009-1.3%
Q4 2007-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%

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